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Working paper

ВЫБОР НАПРАВЛЕНИЯ МИГРАЦИИ: РОЛЬ ПРОШЛОГО ОПЫТА

In this paper we study how the previous destination choices of household members might affect current location choice by labor migrants from Tajikistan in Russia. We use 2007 and 2009 waves of Tajikistan Living Standards Survey combined with Rosstat regional statistics to analyze the effect of 2007 destinations and receiving regions characteristics on 2008–2009 migrants’ location choice within Russia. Our results suggest existing inertia in the geography of migrants’ concentration: previously chosen destinations largely defi ne future ones. We fi nd that migration experience restricts the effect of receiving regions’ economic characteristics: their effect is weaker for repeated migrants in comparison with the new migrants. When controlled for the previous migration choices, regression coeffi cients for repeated migrants become statistically insignifi cant for migrant stock and drop for migrant fl ow.