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The Arab Spring: Causes, Conditions, and Driving Forces
P. 595-624.
Publication based on the results of:
In book
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Karasev D., Rozov N., Grinin A., Selbin E., Mitchell L., Goldstone J. Springer, 2022
Issaev L., Manara magazine 2021 Vol. 5 No. 2
The main features of the post-Soviet policy Russia was pursuing in the Middle East at the turn of the century were the following: rejecting messianic ideas, great-Powerness and confrontation. Russia became more pragmatic; its policy stopped being “pro”, such as “pro-Arab” or “pro-Israeli”. Basically, Russia tried to follow its own interest, placing the emphasis, first ...
Added: May 11, 2021
Issaev L., Zakharov A., Middle East Policy 2022 Vol. 29 No. 3 P. 112-128
The ruling dynasty of Morocco is one of very few that tracks its royal bloodline back to the Prophet Muhammad himself. Did this lineage contribute to the fact that the North African monarchy was barely touched by the tumultuous Arab Spring of 2011–12? This article challenges such assertions. Despite its divine inception, Moroccan royal power ...
Added: August 23, 2022
Issaev L., Korotayev A., , in : New Wave of Revolutions in the MENA Region. A Comparative Perspective. : Cham : Springer, 2022. P. 1-31.
Added: November 7, 2022
Голдстоун Д. А., Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Полис. Политические исследования 2022 № 4 С. 108-119
Статья предлагает предварительное описание трех революционных волн XXI в., их ключевых характеристик и причин. Одна из целей данной статьи – развить аналитические инструменты, в частности углубить понимание самого понятия революции и революционных событий, а также типологию революционных событий. В целом настоящая статья предлагает теоретический и отчасти количественный анализ революционного процесса ХХI в. Предложен новый подход ...
Added: November 7, 2022
Leonid Grinin, , in : Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change. : Springer, 2022. P. 173-200.
This chapter studies the development of revolutions over 500 years since the beginning of the sixteenth century. It analyzes the patterns of transformation of revolutions during the Modern Era, in particular, the way their world-historical role, social bases, revolutionary ideologies, practices, and the information technologies they employed were changing throughout these centuries. It is shown ...
Added: August 3, 2022
Korotayev A., Issaev L., Malkov S. et al., , in : Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change. : Springer, 2022. P. 781-810.
Added: May 29, 2022
Медведев И. А., Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., / Высшая школа экономики. Series PS "Political Science". 2021.
Is there a relationship between education and the type of revolutionary action – violent or nonviolent? Past studies found a positive relationship between the education and nonviolence, but the influence that education produces on the form that revolution takes has not yet been explored. This paper examines it at a cross-national level with an analysis ...
Added: December 1, 2021
Korotayev A., Zinkina J., Middle East Studies Online Journal 2011 Vol. 2 No. 5 P. 57-95
It is not surprising that Mubarak’s administration “overlooked” the social explosion. Indeed, statistical data righteously claimed that the country was developing very successfully. Economic growth rates were high (even in the crisis years). Poverty and inequality levels were among the lowest in the Third World. Global food prices were rising, but the government was taking serious ...
Added: November 9, 2019
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Karasev D. et al., Springer, 2022
The 21st century has witnessed a considerable and increasing number of political revolutions around the world. This contradicts the popular belief of many experts in the 1970s that revolutions occurred mainly in monarchies and empires. Instead, the revolutions of this century have several new characteristics, which call for a renewed analysis of the subject.
This handbook ...
Added: May 29, 2022
Komyagin D., Реформы и право 2017 № 2 С. 3-17
The main contains in Article is the complex analysis of consequences of revolutionary events of 1917 in Russia for public finances and in general for the national economy. Scale of the comprehensive crisis are shown, the condition of monetary circulation, budgetary process, public expenses and income till 1917 is described and analysed. It is raised ...
Added: September 18, 2017
Kudryashova E., Leonov G. A., Kuznetsov N. V., IFAC-PapersOnLine 2015
In this paper an approach to modeling of the Tunisian social system in 2011–2014 is considered and the revolution, bifurcation, and controlled stabilization are discussed. Using statistical analysis of socio-economic indicators of Tunisia there are selected two bifurcation parameters, which have influenced on stability of socio-economic system of Tunisia. Based on this analysis the recommendations ...
Added: March 28, 2015
Korotayev A., Issaev L., Zinkina J. V., В кн. : Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков. : Учитель, 2022. Гл. 13. С. 34-74.
In the late 2010s countries of the Middle East and North Africa/The MENA has been swept by a new revolutionary wave, called "Arab Spring 2.0". This article proposes a preliminary description and analysis of this revolutionary wave in the MENA region. The scale of the protests in the late 2010s approached scale of the "Arab ...
Added: August 16, 2023
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Islamic Quarterly 2019 Vol. 63 No. 3 P. 427-452
In the paper Islamism is described as a multi-faceted, multi-dimensional, changing and inconsistent phenomenon. Islamism possesses many levels and manifestations. It is impossible to comprehend modern Muslim (and all the more Arab) societies without an account of the impact of Islam as simultaneously an ideology, cultural environment, modus agenda and mode of life. It would ...
Added: December 3, 2020
Dobrohotov A. L., / Basic Research Programme. Series HUM "Humanities". 2017. No. WP BRP 148/HUM/2017.
The article is dedicated to the philosophical reaction offered by several Russian symbolists to the revolution of 1917. It demonstrates the “re-grouping” of the Silver Age Symbolism, which laid bare the underlying differences in its value foundations. The article considers this refracted unity in the ideational world of Symbolism in the journalistic writings of Vyach. ...
Added: April 12, 2017
Grinin L. E., Grinin A., Korotayev A., Humanities and Social Sciences Communications 2022 Vol. 9 Article 124
The 20th century revolutionary process had a big impact on the World System and significantly changed its entire configuration. However, there are essential gaps in terms of theoretical approaches, in particular, in terms of the typology of revolutions. Moreover, there is clearly insufficient research related to qualitative and quantitative analysis and consideration of the revolutions ...
Added: April 13, 2022
Dekalchuk A. A., / Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ. Series IR "International Relations". 2015. No. WP BRP 23/IR/2015.
By studying the process of reform of the Schengen acquis in 2011-2013 inspired by the Arab Spring and the inflow of migrants to the Mediterranean shores of the European Union, in this paper I seek to show how policy entrepreneurs exploit windows of opportunity that open following an external shock (a notion I use to ...
Added: December 29, 2015
Korotayev A., Khokhlova A., Неприкосновенный запас. Дебаты о политике и культуре 2023 Т. 148 № 2 С. 206-223
События в арабском мире, имевшие место в 2011 году, выступили в качестве триггера глобальной волны нестабильности, значительно превысившей масштабы самой «арабской весны» и затронувшей все регионы мира. Однако в разных мир-системных зонах эта глобальная дестабилизация проявилась по-разному и не вполне синхронно. В самом 2011-м особенно заметный подъем демонстраций, беспорядков и забастовок наблюдался в арабском мире ...
Added: August 1, 2023
Truevtsev K. M., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2012 № 1 С. 21-32
Статья посвящена событиям в арабском мире в 2011 году. В ней описывается ход волнений в арабских странах, технология их развития, участники и структуры, задействованные в них. При этом показывается, что волнения охватили не только наиболее часто упоминаемые в периодической печати 4 – 5 стран, а подавляющее большинство стран-членов Лиги арабских государств и привели к практическим ...
Added: December 13, 2012
Царегородцева И. А., Islamology 2017 Т. 7 № 1 С. 122-137
The pivotal goal of the study is to reveal the role of the Islamist parties and movements in politics in Egypt and Tunisia before and after the protests of the ‘Arab spring’. In addition, it seeks to explain how various Islamist groups interacted with each other and which factors determined the nature of their interaction. ...
Added: May 10, 2017
Dagaev D., Lamberova N., Sobolev A. et al., / Centre for Economic Policy Research. Series ISSN 0265-8003 "Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper Series". 2013. No. 9787.
There has been a wide-spread belief that elections with a wide franchise following removal of an oppressive dictator lead to establishment of a government that is not vulnerable to mass protest. At the same time, most of the post-World War II non-constitutional exits of recently-installed autocratic leaders were caused by elite coups, rather than popular ...
Added: December 18, 2013
Novikov D. V., Русский журнал 2013 № 12 03 14
Hegel's conception of the revolution and the concept of "transgression" of G.Bataille. Conection between the stage of the revolution and the drama of history. Does revolution, understood as a "transgression" or "shabbad" permits to think freedom beyond death? ...
Added: March 24, 2014
Shishkina A., В кн. : Арабский кризис: Угрозы большой войны. : М. : Издательская группа URSS, 2016. С. 187-195.
Данная статья посвящена рассмотрению основных характеристик гражданского общества с точки зрения западной традиции и их применимости к реалиям арабских стран в условиях социально-политического кризиса. Автор приходит к выводу, что на сегодняшний день такие важные показатели как уровень политической мобилизации населения, участие женщин в общественно-политической жизни общества, образование молодежи и др. в арабских странах находятся в ...
Added: June 3, 2016
Issaev L., Shishkina A., , in : Political Narratives in the Middle East and North Africa: Conceptions of Order and Perceptions of Instability. : Dordrecht : Springer, 2020. P. 95-114.
The second decade of the twenty-first century is characterised by Russia’s active involvement in Middle Eastern issues. Unexpectedly, Russia decided to return to the Middle East, and Damascus appeared to be the gate to the region. Russian policy in the Middle East ceased to be ideological following the collapse of the Soviet Union, and no ...
Added: January 14, 2020
Korotayev A., Shishkina A., Khokhlova A., , in : Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change. : Springer, 2022. P. 813-849.
The Arab Spring acted as a trigger for a global wave of socio-political destabilization that significantly exceeded the scale of the Arab Spring itself and affected absolutely all the World System zones. From 2011 to 2015 explosive global growth has been observed for the vast majority of indicators of socio-political destabilization: anti-government demonstrations, riots, general ...
Added: November 23, 2022