?
Economic development and revolutions. A cross-national investigation
Conflict Management and Peace Science. 2026. P. 1–23.
In the field of civil war studies, there is a consensus that the risk of war decreases as income increases. Nevertheless, such consensus has not been reached in the field of civil resistance and unarmed revolutions. This paper proposes a curvilinear framework positing two opposite trends in economic development. On the one hand, it increases the state resources for preventing illegal displacement and makes revolt costly for rebels. Conversely, it boosts resources needed for civil resistance. Utilizing independent sources on revolutions and employing parametric and non-parametric methods, we have identified robust support for the inverted “U-shape” relationship between income level and the risk of unarmed revolutions. This finding reconciles the discrepancies observed in previous studies and provides a different perspective on the “middle-income trap.”
Language:
English
Publication based on the results of:
Курылев К. П., Degterev D. A., Грачиков Е. Н. et al., Постсоветские исследования 2022 Т. 5 № 7 С. 754–763
This article is based on the understanding of the results of a one-name methodological
seminar organized and conducted by the Department of Theory and History of International Relations
of the Russian Academy of Sciences on September 8, 2022, in which the issues of the nature and
features of the USSR foreign policy for the period from 1971 to ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Амара Д., Degterev D. A., Эгамов Б., Проблемы национальной стратегии 2022 № 2(71) С. 76–101
The article presents an analysis of the UN personnel, engaged in African peacekeeping operations, from the perspective of emerging blocks of the «collective West» and the «collective non-West». The rationale for choosing the UN African peacekeeping missions as the subject for the study is that they are the most numerous, multi-format, expensive, and lethal ones ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Lukin A., Telos 2026 No. 215 P. 11–41
The year 2026 marks the sixtieth anniversary of the beginning in China of the “Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution” – an unprecedented political campaign both in its duration and in the tragic nature of its results and consequences. Despite the publication of numerous books and articles devoted to it in various countries around the world, its ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Talking about the [same] revolution? A comparative analysis of main datasets of revolutionary events
Guseinov R., Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., Defence and peace economics 2026 P. 1–31
We conduct a comparative analysis of the main datasets on revolutionary events, including The Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns and Outcomes (NAVCO, versions 1.3 and 2.1), Cross-National Time-Series (CNTS), Revolutionary Episodes Dataset by Mark Beissinger, Revolutionary Database by HSE University (CSRA), and Historical Regime Data (HRD). To compare these sources systematically, we develop several complementary empirical instruments designed to identify and interpret differences across datasets. We ...
Added: July 17, 2026
Aleshin D., Бирюков Е. С., Булатов А. С. et al., Аспект Пресс, 2025.
Учебное пособие подготовлено коллективом российских экономистов-международников, преимущественно из МГИМО. Оно посвящено анализу особенностей незападных экономических систем, а также участия данных стран в международных экономических отношениях.
Структурно учебное пособие состоит из трех разделов и 23 глав. Первый раздел посвящен различным аспектам методологии анализа незападных экономических систем. Приводятся как современные западные концепции классификации экономических систем, так и критические, а также незападные подходы к развитию (в том числе периферийная ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Degterev D. A., Степанова В. С., Международное право и международные организации 2025 № 3 С. 93–109
The issues of monetary cooperation between France and the member states of the West African Monetary Union (WAMU) have received wide coverage in academic literature. However, the phenomenon of the CFA franc as the "last colonial currency" of Africa is considered mainly in a journalistic vein, in a political and historical context, less often – ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Degterev D. A., Кирикова Т. Н., Россия и мир: научный диалог 2025 № 4 С. 37–57
This study focuses on the African policy of the Trump administration during his second term. The authors analyze why the formal framework for strategic planning in Africa proved too restrictive for the new US administration. Particular attention is paid to the consistent decline in international aid as a part of US African strategy. During Trump’s ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Pozanenko A., Социологические исследования 2026 № 6 С. 64–71
Due to persistent territorial socio-economic imbalances, some residents of Russian villages and small towns leave for a long time to work without changing their place of permanent residence. Such internal temporary labor migration is referred to by some researchers as otkhodnichestvo, and migrants as otkhodniks, by analogy with the pre–revolutionary and early Soviet migration of ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Degterev D. A., Абрамова Е. А., Россия и современный мир 2025 № 1(126) С. 77–99
The process of sovereignization initiated in the Sahel countries with the
formation of the Alliance of Sahel States (ASS) in September 2023, followed by the
establishment of the Confederation of the Sahel Alliance in July 2024, has extended into
the humanitarian sphere, including information sovereignty – and more broadly, value
sovereignty. In this context, the residual yet still significant ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Абрамова Е. А., Degterev D. A., Актуальные проблемы Европы 2025 № 4(128) С. 154–173
In the process of rapid changes in the geopolitical situation in
the Sahel region, it is not only the reconfiguration of the balance of power that
deserves attention, but also the formation of a regional security complex, the core of which is the Alliance of Sahel States (ASS – Mali, Niger and Burkina
Faso). This study proposes a model ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Degterev D. A., Федоров А. В., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Политология 2025 Т. 27 № 4 С. 713–733
In recent years, the agenda of reparations to Africa by Western countries for the crimes of the transatlantic slave trade and colonialism has been gaining increasing popularity in both academic and political discourse. The study analyzes contemporary discourse in both political, legal and economic terms, as well as the representation of this issue in Russian ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Cham: Springer, 2026.
In this ambitious two-volume open access collection of essays, a diverse group of scholars worldwide reflects on the past, present and future of the (comparative) regionalism research program. Volume I provides building blocks for regionalism studies in the coming years by indicating what a pluralistic theoretical and methodological toolbox to study regions could look like, ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Strelnikova I., Агафонов Д. И., Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН 2026 № 1 С. 97–110
Арктический регион, занимавший особое положение в дискурсе международно-политической науки на протяжении более чем 10 лет, поэтапно приобретал различные и зачастую диаметрально противоположные образы на страницах зарубежных и русскоязычных исследований. Долгое время основой исключительно мирного и конструктивного взаимодействия арктических держав в этой части света служило успешное функционирование главного регионального форума – Арктического совета, призванного содействовать международному ...
Added: July 14, 2026
Routledge, 2025.
Negative images of Africa, which define the continent as being riven with poverty, crime, or war, are increasingly being challenged. Examples of soft power, such as Nigeria’s Nollywood, athletic successes in Kenya, Rwanda’s commercial diplomacy, and South Africa’s liberal constitution, are all reasserting African agency and shaping more positive understandings of the continent.
This book considers ...
Added: July 13, 2026
Абрамова И. О., Аду Я. Н., Анише Т. Э. et al., Институт Африки РАН, 2025.
Данная монография посвящена анализу концепции суверенитета африканских государств как в теоретическом, так и практическом ключе. Рассматриваются экономический, ментальный, языковой и культурный, информационный и образовательный аспекты африканского суверенитета. Исследуется роль региональных интеграционных группировок, а также внешних акторов в контексте суверенизации Африки. Особое внимание уделяется роли РФ в укре- плении суверенитета стран континента.
Монография формирует целостное представление по ...
Added: July 13, 2026
Suleymanov I., Science Diplomacy Review 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 3–14
Added: July 9, 2026
Sizova A., Барнаул: Алтайский государственный педагогический университет, 2026.
В сборник включены научные статьи, посвященные различным аспектам социально-экономической и культурной истории Сибири в контексте внутренней и внешней политики России. Сборник посвящен 70-летию со дня рождения известного ученого, педагога, просветителя и общественного деятеля, доктора исторических наук, профессора Александра Владимировича Старцева (1956–2019).
Сборник предназначен для специалистов в области отечественного исторического сибиреведения, а также всех, кто интересуется историей ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Erlikh M., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 2(121) С. 175–201
This study offers an interdisciplinary analysis of two key foreign aid programs — the Marshall Plan and the Washington Consensus — through the prism of the evolution of the political and economic theories. The author documents significant differences in the assessments of these initiatives: while the Marshall Plan is viewed by experts as a predominantly ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Мазырин В. М., М.: ИКСА РАН, 2026.
Research collection “Towards progress: Vietnam in XXI century” brings together selected articles by famous Russian orientalist Vladimir M. Mazyrin, written in 2006–2025 on a wide range of development issues in modern Vietnam. These articles are grouped into thematic parts. ...
Added: July 6, 2026
Kozlov N., Semenova M., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2026 Vol. 20 No. 2 P. 108–135
This paper introduces a novel approach to identifying and operationalizing political connections of banks. We manually code 2,598 bankers who owned or worked in 115 Russian banks between 2015 and 2021 to classify political connections and uncover their institutional patterns through cluster analysis. We propose a set of variables that capture the origins, relevance, and ...
Added: July 6, 2026
Гусейнов Р. И., Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 20 № 2 С. 15–27
This paper investigates the relationship between fiscal stability and revolutionary onsets. Classic researchers of revolutions, such as Jack Goldstone, have provided theoretical arguments for the importance of fiscal factors, but any substantial quantitative cross-national large-n research has not been conducted yet. Logistic regression analysis with an interaction term that we have performed confirms our main ...
Added: July 2, 2026
Андрей И. Жданов, Андрей В. Коротаев, Социология власти 2026 Т. 38 № 2 С. 118–167
Imagining a cosmic future touches on many topics — but typically avoids the topic of death, burial, and attitudes toward deceased ancestors. Most of these developments concern life-support systems. This article analyzes the debate between American anthropologist Elizabeth Povinelli and Russian cosmists. The subject of this debate is immortality and attitudes toward ancestors in the ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Chernomorchenko I., Ilya Medvedev, Korotayev A., Cross-Cultural Research 2026 P. 1–49
This study investigates which structural factors most strongly predict armed and unarmed revolutionary destabilization across Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), as well as Asia using country–year data for 1950–2022 and a set of economic, demographic, political, and climatic indicators. It employs an interpretable machine learning framework (CatBoost with SHAP values ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Вадим Устюжанин, Дмитрий Семичев, Леонид Гринин et al., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 1 С. 9–61
The revolutionary process in the 21st century has undergone significant changes, and with the destabilization of democracy and the transformation of the world order, the number of revolutionary episodes has only increased, acquiring new goals and forms. In the countries of the Global South, as the population grew, millions of people began to come out ...
Added: March 25, 2026