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News
May 25, 2026
HSE Scientists Train Neural Network to 'Hear' Faults in Electric Motors
Researchers at the AI and Digital Science Institute of the HSE Faculty of Computer Science have developed a new method—the Signature-Guided Data Augmentation (SGDA) framework—that achieves 99% accuracy in motor fault detection and 86% accuracy in fault classification. The application of this approach can reduce industrial equipment repair costs, minimise downtime, and improve production safety. The study results have been published in Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence.
May 25, 2026
'The Humanities Serve as a Conscience'
Maria Mizernaia studies Soviet literature and the history of book publishing. In this interview for the HSE Young Scientists project, she discusses plans to publish a novel about besieged Leningrad, AI-provoked reflections on what it means to be human, and how novels can help satisfy our dopamine hunger.
May 25, 2026
Is It Possible to Predict a Citys Life Based on the Shape of Its Neighbourhoods?
Is it possible to predict, based on the configuration of streets and buildings, where a café will open or where traffic congestion will occur? Participants in the Spatial Analysis and Modelling of Urban Processes research and study group use open data and machine learning to identify universal patterns. Alexander Sheludkov and Eduard Somov discuss the purpose of comparing cities, the need for new forms of urban statistics, and how open data is transforming approaches to urban studies.

 

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Interaction: Participation and Recruitment

P. 43–62.
Miles I. D., Saritas O., Sokolov A.
Language: English
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Keywords: форсайт технологическое прогнозированиеscience, technology and innovationtechnology forecastingForesightSTIнаука, технологии, инновации

In book

Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation
Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation
Miles I. D., Saritas O., Sokolov A. Netherlands: Springer, 2016.
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In conditions of deep uncertainty with weak signals and wildcard events, it is becoming increasingly challenging to establish priorities for science and technology development. This context creates new demands on public administration and the governance of science, such as adherence to the principles of cooperation, receptivity to change, flexibility and scientific validity. These criteria correspond ...
Added: May 21, 2026
Human capital transformation under the influence of global trends
Anna Grebenyuk, Milshina Y., Sergey Shashnov et al., Foresight 2026 Vol. 28 No. 1 P. 45–65
Purpose The article proposes an approach for assessing the impact of global trends on human capital and its components. This study aims to contribute to the development of new approaches for assessing the impact of a set of global trends on human capital and its individual components. Design/methodology/approach A special methodology was developed based on the use of ...
Added: January 29, 2026
Evaluating Delphi survey accuracy in transportation: Evidence from Japanese technology foresight
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This research evaluates the accuracy of Delphi surveys in technology foresight with a focus on the transportation sector by determining the realization status of topics forecasted in the three Science and Technology Forecast Surveys administered by Japan's National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP) in 1992, 1997, and 2001. The analysis included 167 topics, ...
Added: January 16, 2026
Информационные технологии в России: сценарии развития
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Исследование Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний (ИСИЭЗ) НИУ ВШЭ посвящено развитию информационных технологий в России в среднесрочной перспективе (до 2028 года). Фокус сделан на четырех сценариях, в условиях которых изучено развитие семи основных технологических направлений: искусственный интеллект, интернет вещей, кибербезопасность, высокопроизводительные вычисления, пользовательский опыт, производственные технологии и робототехника, а также информационные системы и приложения. Определены ...
Added: October 13, 2025
Административные механизмы имплементации технологического прогнозирования в государственную технологическую политику: опыт Республики Корея
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Added: July 18, 2025
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The chapter outlines the crucial role of Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) in global economic and societal development, emphasising their contributions to creating industries, generating employment and addressing Grand Challenges. Foresight, defined as a systematic, participatory future-intelligence-gathering process, is presented as an essential tool for supporting policy-making, particularly in developing countries. The chapter explores the ...
Added: June 4, 2025
Using Big Data for Foresight: Scientometric and Semantic Analysis for South Africa
Saritas O., Kotsemir M., , in: 21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa.: Cham: Springer, 2024. P. 115–208.
The South Africa 2030 Foresight study, utilizing big data analytics, aimed at advancing the national innovation system and enhancing knowledge generation capacity. This chapter presents outcomes from bibliometric and semantic analyses conducted by ISSEK HSE. Bibliometric analysis explored South Africa’s research competences, scientific capacity and global collaborators, revealing mature and emerging research areas. Semantic analysis ...
Added: February 14, 2025
Foresight Methodology and Commonly Used Methods in the New Generation Foresight
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This chapter provides an overview of the Foresight methods, which were used in the South African Foresight for STI (SAForSTI) process. The SAForSTI 2030 exercise brought together a variety of qualitative and quantitative Foresight methods with innovations in their use. Over years, Foresight has embraced a spectrum of quantitative and qualitative methods from various disciplines ...
Added: January 9, 2025
21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa
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Using a new methodology for foresight studies, this book presents new findings and policy recommendations to improve living conditions and make progress toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Using the case of South Africa, the respective chapters show how social and economic challenges can be addressed in an inclusive and sustainable way. The book ...
Added: January 9, 2025
Setting S&T perspective priorities in an era of complexity and uncertainty: a case for megacities
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Purpose. The purpose of this study is to create a methodological approach for identifying priority areas for science and technology (S&T) development and its empirical application within the city of Moscow. This research uncovers a wide range of multicultural and multidisciplinary global trends that will affect the development of major cities in an era of ...
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The challenges the futures studies face are particularly complex, interconnected, and contradictory, and cannot be resolved using linear approaches. Prognostic science needs tools matching the new contextual complexity, which would allow to capture a much wider range of driving forces, and their potential effects, in a non-linear perspective, to improve the accuracy of forecasts and ...
Added: January 25, 2024
ANTICIPATED TRAJECTORIES OF DEVELOPMENT IN GLOBAL INDUSTRIES AND THE EVOLUTION OF CORPORATE PARENTING STYLES OF MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS
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World Investment Report 2020 by UNCTAD identified several possible trajectories of development for many industries, namely re-shoring, regionalization, diversification, and replication. We argue that those trajectories of development may result in changes to prevailing corporate parenting styles and may also lead to the emergence of less common parenting styles. We present a typology of corporate ...
Added: September 21, 2022
The evolution of Foresight: What evidence is there in scientific publications?
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This study examines the recent evolution of Foresight as a well-recognized tool for long-term policy and strategy making and discusses the future directions the activity might take. The science mapping approach is used for the analysis. Drawing on big data, science mapping provides an evolutionary overview of scientific domains across time and helps to identify ...
Added: September 12, 2022
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Sokolova A., Futures 2022 Vol. 135 Article 102875
One of the central objectives in foresight development is increasing its effectiveness and impact upon decision-making. This paper is focused on improving the link between foresight and science, technology, and innovation (STI) policy by overcoming the barriers that stand in the way at the very beginning of a foresight study. For this purpose, the key ...
Added: May 24, 2022
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The article contributes to the research discussion around the human-natural and social-ecological systems by identification of a comprehensive list of global trends related to integrated interaction between environmental systems and human development, including climate change, pollution, new quality of economic growth, and challenges for education and healthcare. The foresight study behind it encompasses a combination ...
Added: May 13, 2022
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This article presents the results of a comprehensive research of foreign and Russian studies in the field of corporate foresight, identifies their key research questions, conducts a structural analysis of cases, gives a classification and summarizes characteristics of domestic projects using foresight methods since the 90s of the past century. The search for an effective ...
Added: March 20, 2022
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Miles I., Saritas O., Sokolov A., Rio de Janeiro: EDITORA FIOCRUZ, 2021.
This book sets out to draw out the key lessons from the experience of the last few decades. It will focus particularly on Foresight dealing with Science, Technology and Innovation (ForSTI—Foresight for STI). The meaning of these terms will need to be spelled out in more detail, but at this point we shall note that the STI field ...
Added: March 18, 2022
Science. Technology. Innovation: 2022: Pocket Data Book
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This pocket data book contains main S&T and innovation indicators for the Russian Federation. The publication includes the most recent statistical data on R&D input and output, as well as international comparisons. The data book includes information of the Russian Federal State Statistics Service, Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation, Russian ...
Added: January 17, 2022
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Daim T., Bukhari E., Bakry D. et al., Foresight and STI Governance 2021 Vol. 15 No. 2 P. 12–24
Identifying technology trends can be a key success factor for companies to be competitive and take advantage of technological trends before they occur. The companies always work to plan for future products and services. For that, it is important to turn to methods that are used for technology forecasting. These tools help the companies to ...
Added: December 12, 2021
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Gokhberg L., Ditkovsky K. A., Kotsemir M. N. et al., М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2022.
This pocket data book contains main S&T and innovation indicators for the Russian Federation. The publication includes the most recent statistical data on R&D input and output, as well as international comparisons. The data book includes information of the Russian Federal State Statistics Service, Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation, Russian Federal Service ...
Added: November 26, 2021
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