Foresight for STI: What and Why
Miles I. D., Saritas O., Sokolov A. Netherlands: Springer, 2016
, , et al., Weak Signals on the Future of Mobile Commerce in Russia / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2016. No. 68.
In parallel to the developments in the Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs), mobile commerce (m-commerce) has become a large business and technology area with ever-growing market potentials. Comparable to the rest of the world, the m-commerce sector has been developing rapidly in Russia, which provides opportunities for domestic and international enterprises. There are a number ...
Added: October 20, 2016
, , , Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2017 Vol. 119 P. 268-279
A key element of any government's Science, Technology and Innovation policy is stable analytical infrastructure to support strategic decision making. Experience from many countries shows that substantial policy decision making requires collecting and analysing a broad range of information to develop proactive and future-oriented policies. Accordingly, infrastructure providing this information as well as evidence for ...
Added: June 2, 2016
, , , , in: Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation. .: Netherlands: Springer, 2016.. P. 63-94.
Added: September 23, 2016
, , , , in: Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation. .: Netherlands: Springer, 2016.. P. 43-62.
Added: September 23, 2016
, Горизонты экономики 2017 № 2 (35) С. 13-23
Today, macroeconomic processes are determined by factors of political turbulence, rapid development of innovations and other economic shocks. In this regard, the problem of choosing methods and models that adequately meet modern needs and allows achieving reliable results of macroeconomic forecasting becomes more relevant. The article proves the relevance of DSGE modeling methodology to existing ...
Added: April 20, 2017
, , , , in: Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation. .: Netherlands: Springer, 2016.. P. 237-254.
Added: September 23, 2016
, , Гражданское общество в России и за рубежом 2017 № 1 С. 40-45
Predicting the future in the social sphere is possible within several methodological approaches. The article describes the methodology of foresight that allows to develop several options for shaping the future based on current conditions, as well as on perceptions and opportunities of core stakeholders. The article describes basic principles of the foresight methodology, denoted the ...
Added: June 21, 2017
, , , Netherlands: Springer, 2016
Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should ...
Added: September 23, 2016
, , , Smart Energy 2021 Vol. 3 Article 100025
The global electric power industry is under pressure due to economic downturn, decreasing demand, lowering energy prices, and growing non-payments. National electric power industries face similar challenges. These challenges pose threats to many other sectors of economy due to ongoing digital transformation. The paper focuses on the Russian electric power industry future development trajectories, as ...
Added: June 7, 2021
, , et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2017 No. 119 P. 194-204
Developing competitive national shipbuilding industries is a strategic priority for many countries. Shipbuilding has evolved into a high tech industry over the last few decades that is strongly driven by customer needs and wishes. Consequently economic development of the industry is now far more complex than previously. International competition in the shipbuilding industry is very ...
Added: October 3, 2016
, , , , in: Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation. .: Netherlands: Springer, 2016.. P. 21-42.
Added: September 23, 2016
, , , Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2016 Vol. 110 P. 153-166
Roadmapping is a complex long-term planning instrument that allows for setting strategic goals and estimating the potential of new technologies, products, and services. Until recently, roadmapping was used mainly for strategic planning, either from a technological or amarket research perspective. Roadmaps emphasized either technological development or satisfaction of market demands but rarely both. Consequently, roadmaps ...
Added: February 28, 2016
, Foresight 2020 Vol. 20 No. 5/6 P. 563-577
Purpose Given the importance of competitive intelligence (CI) to the economic performance of firms, understanding whether CI practice is impacted by firm size or by their awareness of CI maybe important when creating programs designed to improve firms’ CI performance. This paper aims to address this by examining the extent to which the CI practices of ...
Added: November 1, 2021
Global challenges and trends in agriculture: impacts on Russia and possible strategies for adaptation
, , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 218-250
Purpose – This paper aims to analyse the mainstream and emerging global challenges and trends in the global agriculture sector. The analysis leads to a discussion on the present state of the Russian agroindustry and possible future strategies for adaptation in the context of the rapidly changing global environment. Design/methodology/approach – The design of this study is based on the ...
Added: June 23, 2017
, , , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 473-490
Purpose Dynamic changes in the world bring challenges for making long-term future-oriented policy and strategy. A number of recent developments like drops in oil prices, increasing global conflicts, mass immigration, and economic stagnation have had disruptive effects on long-term policies and strategies. This new fast-changing landscape requires approaches and tools, which may help to practice adaptive ...
Added: September 12, 2017
, Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 139-151
Purpose – The purpose of the study is to present and critically assess the outcomes of the Foresight study of the Russian energy sector, undertaken in 2014 in the course of a large-scale national Foresight exercise – ‘Science and Technology (S&T) Foresight 2030’. Design/methodology/approach - Methods applied in the Foresight study include literature review, statistical, bibliometric ...
Added: January 25, 2017
, Foresight and STI Governance 2020 Vol. 14 No. 4 P. 34-45
The modern theory of complex systems changes our view of historical processes, accompanied by uncertainties, instabilities and ambiguities. The knowledge of this theory allows us to master a system or holistic thinking, and to understand the laws of functioning and growth of not just structural, but dynamic complexity. Uncertainties and chaotic elements that indicate any state of ...
Added: December 25, 2020
, , Framing emerging nanotechnologies: steps towards a forward-looking analysis of skills / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2013. No. 15.
How can we think about the implications of radical technological change for employment and skills? Given the long lead-times required to train professionals, this is an important question, and standard approaches to modeling employment and occupational trends only provide limited parts of the answer. Innovation studies provide us with some further tools for tackling the ...
Added: July 24, 2013
, , Foresight and STI Governance 2014 Vol. 8 No. 4 P. 64-83
Theoretical and applied studies about monitoring technology trends are carried out by organizations at global, national, sectoral, and corporate levels. Demand for them comes from the government, business, academic institutions, as well as the general public. Qualitative methods (expert interviews, surveys, workshops, etc.) play a significant role in large practical projects. At the same time, ...
Added: January 16, 2015
, , in: Proceedings of the XXV ISPIM Conference, Innovation for Sustainable Economy & Society - ISBN 978-952-265-591-2. .: [б.и.], 2014..
This paper deals with the creation of a new approach of roadmapping for emerging technologies on the example of applying nanotechnology for water treatment. The suggested approach combines revealing both possibilities of production and prospective consumer requirements in relation to innovative outcomes. The integrated roadmap allows revealing and estimating urgent challenges connected with insufficient water ...
Added: January 12, 2015
, , , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies. .: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013.. P. 121-136.
Nanotechnology applications are proliferating, though the number commercialised is far outstripped by those under development. This chapter presents an approach to identifying the most promising nanoindustry product groups, the technological breakthroughs associated with these, and prospects for emergence of nanotechnology markets. In the Russian context, it suggested that significant niches in these nanotechnology markets can ...
Added: June 4, 2013
, , , in: BALWOIS. International Conference on water, climate and environment, 28 May – 2 June 2012, Ohrid, Republic of Macedonia. .: Skopje: Faculty of civil engineering, 2012..
One of the most important issues for the world society in the XXI century is a task to provide pure water for citizens. As evidenced results of expert survey, made by the Higher School of Economics significant part of water sources for drinking water in Russia doesn’t meet necessary requirements. And one of the most adequate ...
Added: October 18, 2012
, В кн.: Инновационное развитие современной экономики: теория и практика: сборник материалов VII научно-практической конференции студентов, аспирантов и молодых ученых. .: М.: Издательский центр ЕАОИ, 2011.. С. 55-58.
Современная экономика характеризуются все более возрастающими темпами изменения научно-технологического и инновационного пространства и постоянно увеличивающимися потоками информации. В таких условиях обеспечить эффективность экономической деятельности, не проводя ее оперативный и квалифицированный мониторинг, практически невозможно. Для обеспечения устойчивого развития требуются изучать на постоянной основе, на какие рубежи выйдут наука, техника и технологии не только в краткосрочном, но и в долгосрочном ...
Added: July 30, 2015
Долгосрочное прогнозирование развития авиационной промышленности: международный опыт и возможности для России
, В кн.: 13-я Международная конференция «АВИАЦИЯ И КОСМОНАВТИКА — 2014». .: СПб.: Мастерская печати, 2014.. С. 552-554.
В настоящее время в авиационной промышленности все большую популярность приобретают прогнозные исследования, нацеленные на выявление перспективных направлений развития, проводимые по методологии Форсайта. ...
Added: December 25, 2014