Человек в ситуации неопределенности
The article assesses the situation in the Russian economy after a two-year recovery and the outlined signs of stagnation associated with both the slowdown of the global economy and the exhaustion of domestic sources of improved market conditions. The approaches to identifying the factors that initiate growth and are different from the factors that support it are considered. In this case, emphasis was placed on the factors of uncertainty of the economic situation and the lack of domestic demand. The approaches to accelerating growth based on macroeconomic and structural policy measures are formulated, forecasts of the Russian economy dynamics for the coming years are analyzed.
Mystery plays a fundamental though not fully acknowledged role in modernity, serving as an important means for the re-enchantment of social life. Thus, under certain conditions, seemingly unimportant events can attract enormous attention and emotional involvement. One of those cases is the Dyatlov Pass Tragedy that occurred in 1959 in the Northern Urals, where nine hikers died under mysterious and still unknown circumstances. Nowadays, a half-century later, there are thousands of lay researchers searching for the truth and constructing competing explanatory accounts. In this paper, I propose the ‘trigger-narrative model,’ explaining the relation between mystery, governing narratives, and forms of sacrality, and apply it to the Dyatlov case. I argue that mystery is a ‘complex emotional attractor’—a symbolic mechanism shaped by the configuration of ‘elementary attractors’—‘strange’ things, symbols, or events, challenging commonsense narratives, which eventually maintains uncertainty and emotional tension. Every pattern of perception concerning mystery can be characterized by the tie between a trigger and its corresponding narrative; this tie is based on the transgression of the narrative by a trigger event. This model allows us to understand the cultural construction of mystery, which is crucially important for explaining how deep cultural structures energize people’s urges, concerns, and fascinations.
The article substantiates that uncertainties, instabilities, and fluctuations accompanying the development processes in the modern world not only create difficulties for us, but also form a basis for our individual and collective creativity. The future is open and not given to us in advance, and it is in the power of a man to make a deliberate and measured choice of the further path of development from a whole spectrum of possibilities in states of instability or at points of bifurcation. The world is constructed by men and with their active participation taking into account some preferred images of the future. Such scientists and thinkers of the 20th century as Ilya Prigogine and Ivan Frolov combined philosophy and science and taught us to develop integrative, holistic, interdisciplinary strategies for understanding the present and constructing the future, guided by humanitarian values and a culture of reason.
The world is changing rapidly. The novelty, variability, uncertainty of the future – have become the norm of life. Internal motivation, initiative, self-regulation become important vital qualities. The development of not only cognition, but also meta-knowledge becomes the norm of educational practice. It is important that education in this situation develops subjectivity and the ability to preadaptation. At the same time, it is important that the practice of education develops on the basis of psychological research. A review of existing studies is given and planned experimental studies in this direction are described.
The world is changing rapidly. The novelty, variability, uncertainty of the future – have become the norm of life. Internal motivation, initiative, self-regulation become important vital qualities. The development of not only cognition, but also meta- knowledge becomes the norm of educational practice. It is important that education in this situation develops subjectivity and the ability to preadaptation. At the same time, it is important that the practice of education develops on the basis of psychological research. A review of existing studies is given and planned experimental studies in this direction are described.
The distractive effects on attentional task performance in different paradigms are analyzed in this paper. I demonstrate how distractors may negatively affect (interference effect), positively (redundancy effect) or neutrally (null effect). Distractor effects described in literature are classified in accordance with their hypothetical source. The general rule of the theory is also introduced. It contains the formal prediction of the particular distractor effect, based on entropy and redundancy measures from the mathematical theory of communication (Shannon, 1948). Single- vs dual-process frameworks are considered for hypothetical mechanisms which underpin the distractor effects. Distractor profiles (DPs) are also introduced for the formalization and simple visualization of experimental data concerning the distractor effects. Typical shapes of DPs and their interpretations are discussed with examples from three frequently cited experiments. Finally, the paper introduces hierarchical hypothesis that states the level-fashion modulating interrelations between distractor effects of different classes.
This article describes the expierence of studying factors influencing the social well-being of educational migrants as mesured by means of a psychological well-being scale (A. Perrudet-Badoux, G.A. Mendelsohn, J.Chiche, 1988) previously adapted for Russian by M.V. Sokolova. A statistical analysis of the scale's reliability is performed. Trends in dynamics of subjective well-being are indentified on the basis the correlations analysis between the condbtbions of adaptation and its success rate, and potential mechanisms for developing subjective well-being among student migrants living in student hostels are described. Particular attention is paid to commuting as a factor of adaptation.