The study is aimed at determining the factors influencing the trade credits dynamics for twenty three firms registered on the Macedonian Stock Exchange, as well as at checking for crisis effects from 2011 to 2015. The study includes a review of the literature on commercial credit factors; elaborately analyzed descriptive statistics of the collected data and dependent variable variance; tests for unobservable effects and their functional form; evaluation of panel regression and interpretation of the results. The authors have proved that net trade credits for these firms depends mainly on the growth potential of lagging firms and their vulnerability, and the crisis effects are significant only for the latter factor. Moreover, the overall efficiency of firms' assets and their ability to convert income into cash does not have a significant impact in the crisis and post-crisis periods. The growth opportunities and profitability demonstrate a negative impact, meaning that growing and more profitable firms on average tend to expand and receive more trade credits than counterparties. Profitability has a significant impact on trade credit and the effect is seen during the first year after the crisis. Thus, the dynamics of trade credits of registered Macedonian firms is largely determined by the internal factors of a firm, and not by the external macroeconomic situation. Therefore, better financial management is suggested to improve the trade credit policy. One of the directions for further research is the evaluation of the autoregressive component of the trade credit dynamics, as well as including spatial effects in the regression equation.
Since 2013, Initial Coin Offerings (ICO) have allowed companies to attract financing with the help of cryptocurrencies. Statistics of ICO shows that the ICO market is increasing and demand for funds continues to grow with claims of over $ 15 billion raised in the first half of 2018. The increasing volumes of investment in ICO projects as an alternative method to venture capital or IPO are caused by, for example, the possibility of reselling the received tokens at a higher price after the launch of the project or obtaining the company’s services at lower prices. While the importance of the topic is growing, there is the absence of fundamental works emphasizing the determinants of an ICO’s success. The scientific novelty of the forthcoming research consists in the formation of the model evaluation of ICO success. Using econometric analysis based on data for 1392 projects, we show that the volatility of the main cryptocurrencies has a significant impact on the success of ICO. The constraints of the platform for Smart Contacts (ERC‑20) and dependence on the Ethereum volatility overcome all other factors. Our data contributes to existing literature and shows the insignificance of the sector of the project, almost all location region and fluctuation of influence of quality of the team. This result may be explained by the uncertainty of the investor about the project (weak signals), absence of the regulation and legal framework. This result is beneficial for owners of companies since it is an argument for decreasing costs for marketing.
The qualitative and efficient functioning of any enterprise that allows using a full-fledged policy, including both financial decisions. These solutions have both short-term and long-term focus, which al-lows you to assess the risks and characteristics of current activities, and design a model of behavior that brings the maximum result.
Currently, much of the work in this area is concentrated in the framework of long-term planning: the structure of capital, the ratio of the company's loan and equity capital, and the cost of capital. At the same time, investments in short-term activities and amounts of funds used in working capital are a significant share in the firm's balance sheet, and, therefore, may affect its financial performance. So, ac-cording to Rosstat data for 2016, the share of short-term financial investments of organizations was 88.7%.
Working capital means the amount invested in the current activity of the company, minus the cur-rent requirements for it. Consequently, working capital is the difference between current assets and cur-rent liabilities of the company. A competent working capital management policy allows the company to efficiently distribute the company's resources to improve the quality of its activities, observing a balance between the projected risks and performance. The urgency of the work is conditioned by the need for quality management of short-term aspects of the company's activities in order to achieve its maxi-mum effectiveness.
The purpose of the article is to determine the relationship between the components of working capital and the performance of companies in the Russian market.
This article reviews the problem of choosing an optimal strategy of behavior in the system of WTO trade dispute for Russia. The analysis is based on evaluating prospects of new WTO members. To conduct this analysis we examined the Chinese experience that has demonstrated that they prefer to use the system of “changeable measures” and an alternative tool ─ the prolongation of the trade dispute. Furthermore, it can be said that China preferred to accumulate experience on the first stage of membership. The analysis using game theory has demonstrated that Russia should actively participate in the WTO, not to disturb the WTO rules. This policy leads to the healthy competition and effective development in long-term.
The econometric model has demonstrated that language and trade experience affect on the result of a trade dispute. Mainly the increase of the third parties leads to a Respondent losing the trade dispute.
There are a lot of models of bankruptcies prediction, which differ in methods of modeling and in set of factors. These methods are mainly belong to 5 groups: the classic statistical methods, regression analysis, the method of discriminant analysis, logit-analysis methods, methods of fuzzy sets and neural network methods. Combinations of these methods also can take place. The last three groups of methods are currently being developed especially quickly. As for the choice of factors bankruptcy, prevails heuristics. There is no formal methodology for selection and comparison groups of economic indicators to build the model of bankruptcies, as well as effective methods for data preprocessing. In this paper we propose an original method for the choice of indicators, followed by the construction of neural network model diagnostic of bankruptcies based on Bayesian approach.
The relevance of the article is determined by the critical situation in the population’s mortality rate and health standards as well as by the state of things in the birth rate, marriage and family sphere in the context of threats that the demographic processes instability can bring to the Russian economy as a whole. The article discusses approaches to the concept of «demographic security», analyzes crisis phenomena in the demographic and migration processes and in the human reproduction sphere that threaten the economic growth of Russian regions. The centerpiece of the article is devoted to problems of the contemporary Russia related to alcoholism, drug addiction and smoking. The authors focus on current issues of the family policy and preservation of the family institution in Russia highlighting the problems associated with the spread of informal marriage, the growing number of abandoned children and challenges of adoption and child custody. The authors investigated in detail the issues of the birth rate increase, particularly in the aftermath of the social stratification of Russian society, and pay special attention to the issues of the male working population health maintenance in modern Russia, as well as to gender disproportions in the demographic structure of the population and education. The measures of the demographic and family policy proposed in the article to remedy the situation established in modern Russia can be used by federal and regional government authorities.
The article analyzes the influence of the WTO regulation function on energy markets in general. The WTO system does not include any specific agreement on energy trading for historical reasons. However, with new WTO members, who export hydrocarbons, including Russia, the regulation of energy sales is becoming more important. The analysis of theoretical papers and the WTO legislation identifies WTO rules that indirectly influence the global energy market. Hence, the analysis in the article is focused on consequences of Russia’s WTO accession in different aspects of the energy dialogue with the EU. As a result, the author demonstrates problematic issues in the Russia-EU energy cooperation and the way the WTO solves or complicates them for Russia. Moreover, there is a comprehensive analysis of current and potential disputes between Russia and the EU, and prospects of their settlement by means of a special WTO Dispute Settlement Body.
Being at the interface of the accounting and the valuation methodology fields, the issues of accounting and valuation of corporate investment assets are regulated by financial reporting standards and valuation standards. The practical application of the real estate valuation methodology for drawing up financial reports has certain specifics. Among primary issues that are currently not covered by accounting and reporting standards and the valuation theory the following are addressed in this article: valuation of the incurred costs component as separated from the land price, valuation of leased objects, valuation in case of planned transfer to another assets category. The above issues are analyzed in the paper.The article is a summaryof the practical experience and the analysis of standards application problems carried out by the author in 2008-2012. The article analyzes different approaches to valuation of investment assets and reporting in specific cases, highlights pros and cons of each approach and the effect of a particular approach on performance indicators and conclusions made by users of financial reports. Perhaps the above issues will be partially addressed and solved in new requirements for leasing relations accounting in the IFRS and comments of the International Valuation Standards Committee; however, at present these issues remain open and require the attention of practical experts and the scientific community. The research materials and the presented analysis can be used in the practice of appraisers and specialists of financial departments.
The paper analyses applicability of the market multipliers for the diagnostics of overheating of the stock market and the formation of a financial bubble. Advantages and shortcomings of employed multipliers are discussed Historical averages of multipliers are provided. Examples are given of diagnosing the overvaluation by using the multipliers. The author concludes concludes that the optimal multiplier for estimating the overvaluation of the stock market is the P/E coefficient, however other coefficients can also be used if their limitations are taken into account.
Estimate and search for factors that influence the capitalization of public oil companies are of great interest to researchers. The impact of various external and internal factors on the value of oil companies’ stocks was considered. This includes changes in oil prices, stock market index movements, inflation fluctuations, financial and production indicators. The study includes building models with calculated standard errors by the Driscoll- Kraay method based on quarterly data for the eight biggest public oil companies operating in the upstream and downstream segments, from the first quarter of 2006 to the third quarter of 2017. Such indicators as total oil production by OPEC countries, greenhouse gas emissions by companies, and the sum of shareholder’s funds owned by large institutional investors were used for the first time when building the model to identify factors affecting the market capitalization of oil companies. One of the key results is the conclusion that quarterly production volumes turned out to be the most significant factor having a positive impact on the cost of oil firms. That is, investors are laying the idea of compensating for losses from lowering the cost of oil by increasing its production and selling a larger volume in the value of shares in companies. At the same time, such indicators of production efficiency as profitability in the upstream and downstream segments lose their significance depending on the period under consideration.
Introduction. In the age of economic globalization mergers and acquisitions acquire relevance in business as strategic development of companies. M&A deals are generally evaluated with respect to their efficiency for buying companies and/or target companies. There are quite many researches and empirical studies related to the above line of inquiry. However, most of them are realized for public companies holding shares listed on stock exchanges. At that, in recent decades M&A deals are more topical for private companies operating at growing capital markets. Due to imperfection of a growing capital market, lack of reliable information on the private target company the investors require the method considering the market characteristics for the purpose of reasonable calculating the deal price and the premium in its structure.
In this regard, the present study focuses at developing of methodologies of the premium evaluation in M&A deals for private companies on the growing capital markets.
M&A deals in BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) in the period of 2005-2015 years are used as subject of research.
Methods. Both general scientific methods (analysis, synthesis, comparison, graphical approach) and special ones (statistical approach, coefficient method) were used as research methods.
Results. The present article offers the author approach to the evaluation of fair market value and premium in M&A deals for private companies at developing capital markets; assessment of the method is carried out.
Range of use. The proposed method can be used by both external and internal analysts for calculation and reasoning of the premium in the deals with private companies at developing capital markets.
The article presents major theoretical approaches to the “Global Value Chains” (GVC) concept and attempts to analyse their role in the modern world economy. It is stressed therefore, that increasing political and economic role of GVCs attracts progressively more attention of national governments and international institutions alike (including the Group of Twenty, the OECD, the WTO, the UNCTAD and the World Bank). In order to embrace major international trends in the field of GVCs and to outline the specific characteristics of Russia’s participation therein the authors have used the data from the jointly prepared by the OECD and the WTO “Trade in Value Added” (TiVA) database. Conducted analysis leads us to the point, that current Russia’s participation in GVCs does not allow the country to fulfil its economic potential to the maximum, as it participates predominantly in forward GVC linkages, that hinder realisation of Russia’s long-term socio-economic and scientific-technological and innovation development goals. Therefore, factors facilitating and restraining Russia’s participation in GVCs were assessed and corresponding recommendations as to the horizontal government policy measures and measures aimed at increasing the efficiency of Russia’s long-term strategy of participation in GVCs were formulated.
Introduction. At the current moment the convergence between Russian and international standards of credit risk assessment, accounting and reporting principles is highly emphasized (Basel, IFRS). The critical approach is required for IRB model application taking into account Russian real economy specifics, default statistics, existing pr gaps in international recommendations. In the article authors presented the most significant problems incorporated into the IRB approach and Basel II formula for minimum capital requirements. Methods. Authors graphically presented functional behavior of different variables from Basel formula of minimum capital requirements based on international rating agency’s (Moody’s, S&P) statistic data analysis for periods from 1970 till 2011 years. Also in the article critical literature (legislative, Russian/English most recent publications) overview was undertaken. Results. The article presents the summary overview of the most critical issues, topical problems, their introduced solutions in IRB application to Russian credit organizations. Discussion. Each problem described in the article is a separate basis for further scientific research and requires practical solutions to be found in the nearest future.
In the article the analysis of the influence of economic sanctions on the processes of Russia’s political and economic self-identification is carried out. Also the evaluation of reciprocal measures of Russia is carried out. The conducted research has shown that for stabilization of Russian economy it is necessary not only to re-direct the foreign trade relations, but also to develop national industries carrying out effective policy of import substitution.
Among a variety of innovative processes occurring in Russia in recent years, one of the most important is education reform. It is expected that upon the completion of the reform, Russian education system would meet the international standards of education and training. The fact that the role of mathematics in modern economics is increasing should be reflected in the educational process and the standards which are currently being developed by the Financial University. The paper suggests approaches to eliminate the existing discrepancy: with similar educational content in Russian and foreign universities, there is a deep gap in the study and application of quantitative methods. This gap leads to a decrease in the competitiveness of Russian graduates.