?
EU sectoral stocks amid geopolitical risk, market sentiment, and crude oil implied volatility: An asymmetric analysis of the Russia-Ukraine tensions
Resources Policy. 2023. Vol. 82. Article 103515.
This study examines the asymmetric relationships between EU sectoral stocks and oil, oil implied volatility, geopolitical risk, and market sentiment during turbulent times of geopolitical unrest. In a set of parametric and nonparametric quantile-based techniques, we employ daily data on eleven sectors of economic activity in addition to crude oil prices (WTI) and three sentiment-driven indices tracking the crude oil volatility (OVX), geopolitical risk (GPR), and investor sentiment (VIX) over the period between January 2020 and October 2022. Findings from the causality-in-quantile-means test suggest that the sectoral stock returns from the EU are asymmetrically predicted by WTI, OVX, VIX and GPR. The findings from the quantile regression and quantile-on-quantile regression metrics demonstrate that (i) in bearish periods, EU sectoral stocks could hedge against GPR, (ii) WTI does not serve as a hedge for EU stocks regardless of the sector of economic activity, and (iii) OVX and VIX possess some hedging and safe-haven attributes against EU stocks. These findings have notable implications for market regulation and portfolio management.
Keywords: хеджирование диверсификацияdiversificationквантильная регрессиягеополитический рискhedgeEconomic policy uncertaintyсентимент инвесторов investor sentimentQuantile-on-quantile regressiongeopolitical riskRussian-Ukrainian conflictроссийско-украинский конфликтSafe-havenCausality-in-quantilesактивы-убежищаQuantile regression modelнеопределенность экономической политикиквантильная причинность
Gokhberg L., Abdrakhmanova G., Kutsenko E. et al., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 4 С. 5–20
This article examines the methodological and practical issues associated with the transition to the new edition of the All-Russian Classifier of Economic Activities (OKVED) – OKVED3. The relevance of the study stems from the need to reflect contemporary structural changes in the economy, related to the transformation of the existing economic activities and emergence of ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Makarov I. A., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 4 (140) С. 164–182
Три с половиной года остаётся до 2030-го – окончания срока реализации Целей устойчивого развития (ЦУР) – главной международной инициативы, устанавливающей долгосрочные ориентиры для будущего человечества. Уже очевидно, что она провалилась: преодоление бедности, решение экологических проблем и построение инклюзивного и справедливого общества остались красивой мечтой. Кто-то может воспринимать ЦУР как памятник человеческой наивности. Но надо понимать, что эта ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Fedorova E., Ledyaeva S., Stepanov V., International Review of Economics and Finance 2026
This study investigates the influence of low-quality information, specifically fake news, on short
term stock returns, contributing to the discourse on signal theory and behavioral economics.
Employing a machine learning approach, the authors developed a robust fake news dataset from
publicly available sources. Sentiment analysis was conducted using a FinBERT model fine-tuned
for stock market contexts, alongside extensive dataset ...
Added: September 12, 2026
Карпова Д. А., Sizova I., Gordin V. E., Креативные индустрии 2026 Т. 2 № 2 С. 10–31
This article examines the musealisation of industrial heritage and its role in regional and corporate branding. The relevance of this study stems from deindustrialisation processes, the growth of industrial tourism, and the need to preserve historical memory, which is particularly important in the context of Russian realities—the lack of a legal definition of the concept ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Veselova L. S., Морозова В. С., Дарчиева А. А., Управленец 2026 Vol. 17 No. 4 P. 66–78
На фоне развивающихся торгово-экономических отношений между Россией и Китаем российские десерт- ные бренды получают новые возможности для выхода на китайский рынок. Однако их присутствие ограничено преи- мущественно приграничными регионами, а продвижение сдерживается недостаточной адаптацией к социокультурным особенностям китайских потребителей. Статья посвящена разработке практических рекомендаций по формированию стратегии адаптации российских десертных брендов к специфике китайского рынка. ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Kilinc-Ata N., Warong M. M., SN Business & Economics 2026 Vol. 6 Article 326(2026)
Green transitions are widely expected to attract cleaner capital and accelerate decarbonization; however, emerging-economy evidence increasingly challenges this assumption. This study examines the dynamic relationship between energy transition indicators and capital inflows in BRICS+ economies over the period 1996–2022, explicitly testing the “Green Haven” hypothesis under conditions of global uncertainty. Unlike much of the existing ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Warong M. M., International Journal of Diplomacy and Economy 2026
This study conducted in Indonesia between 2000 and 2023, demonstrates a complex, non-linear interplay between the economic environment and the emergence of clean energy start-ups. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Markov Switching models, the research shows that start-up formation coincides with periods of lower GDP growth, suggesting that innovation is often spurred by necessity. Two ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Кореневский В. В., Экономика и математические методы 2026 Т. 25 № 3 С. 853–878
The US presidential election is a lengthy and complex process, during which candidates present their views and programs for reforming the country's politics and economy, while mass media broadcast these positions to a wide audience. In the most recent election, the topic of cryptocurrencies was used in the campaign for the electorate for the first ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Veselova A., Dikova D., Aray Y., Asia Pacific Journal of Management 2026
We examine board of directors’ gender diversity and corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure of Russian firms, and test for their effects on the market valuation of these firms. The Russian context is unique because gender disparity of boards and top management remains high in Russia due to historical legacy, absence of specific diversity-promoting regulations and ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Mozias P., Социальные и гуманитарные науки. Отечественная и зарубежная литература. Серия 9: Востоковедение и африканистика 2026 № 2 С. 173–208
Abstract. Over the years of market reforms, China has moved from an autarkic economy to the position of the world’s largest trading power, becoming a global leader both in export volume and in total foreign trade turnover. For a long time, China’s export success was commonly explained by her use of comparative advantages in labor-intensive ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Soldatova A., Сберегательное дело за рубежом 2025 № 2 С. 58–67
This article examines REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) and their Russian counterparts, closed-end real estate mutual funds (ZPIFs). It examines the advantages and risks of investing in such funds, REIT classifications, international practices, and the operating characteristics of Russian ZPIFs. Comparative tables are provided illustrating the differences between foreign REITs and domestic ZPIFs, as well ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Plotnikov S., Оганова Ю. А., Гришанов Д. А., В кн.: Инноватика и предпринимательство: теория и практика: Сборник материалов Школы инноватики и предпринимательства Национального исследовательского университета «Высшая школа экономики». Выпуск 5Вып. 5.: М.: МАКС Пресс, 2025. С. 69–79.
This article examines approaches to the development of quantum computing in Russia, its role in shaping a new area of the economy, strategic approaches to the development of technological platforms, issues of technological sovereignty, and organizational mechanisms for managing national projects in this area. Particular attention is paid to the diversification of quantum platforms, cooperation ...
Added: August 30, 2026
Lysenok N., Enterprise Development and Microfinance 2026 Vol. 36 No. 4s P. 81–92
This paper decomposes the performance of volatility-informed multi-strategy trading in constituents of the MOEX index, using six systematic strategies on 17 liquid stocks that account for about 80% of Russian equity market capitalization, evaluated walk-forward over 2022–2025. Two results emerge. First, diversification arithmetic: with an average pairwise return correlation of 0.09 and negatively correlated trend ...
Added: August 2, 2026
Baysha O., Trofimov V., Российская школа связей с общественностью 2026 № 40 С. 171–191
A growing number of scholars are warning about the dangers of the reproduction by generative AI of socio-political and ideological biases absorbed by models from the texts on which they were trained. If a given model was trained on Western media texts, it may generate narratives that reproduce West centric views of world events. This ...
Added: April 21, 2026
Salamatov V., Базелюк В. Н., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 № 3 (57) С. 218–238
The article is dedicated to analyzing the experience of the Islamic Republic of Iran under prolonged sanction pressure that has been ongoing since 1979. The main focus is on three key aspects: historical stages of sanctions implementation, their impact on the economy, politics, and social sphere of the country, as well as Iran's methods of ...
Added: February 13, 2026
Stolbov M., Shchepeleva M., Economic Systems 2025 P. 1–14
We investigate the time-varying role of Russia in the international causal network of financial stress. The network is derived using the factor-adjusted network estimation for high-dimensional time series (FNETS), which is applied to text-based financial stress indices for 66 countries. We run this technique for sequentially expanding time windows (ranging from 2000Q1:2013Q4 to 2000Q1:2023Q4). Based ...
Added: February 12, 2026
Fayzulin M., Teplova T., Kurkin A., Прикладная эконометрика 2025 Т. 79 С. 99–121
The paper analyses the dynamic connectedness between trading volumes in the Russian stock market and the global cryptocurrency (Bitcoin) market during periods of external shocks (the COVID‑19 crisis and the Russia‑Ukraine conflict) from 2019. Using the TVP‑VAR model and estimates of system variable connectivity, liquidity spillovers (cash flows) are identified between the considered asset classes. For the first time, we analyse the network connectedness of investor sentiment for the most popular Russian stocks and Bitcoin and estimate the role of sentiment in liquidity spillovers. The results demonstrate that Bitcoin’s daily trading volume predominantly acts as a recipient of shocks from the Russian stock market. Meanwhile, the overall coherence in the system was higher during the COVID‑19 crisis period compared to the Special Military Operation (SMO). The study confirms the existence of a correlation between investor sentiment on the Russian stock and cryptocurrency markets. At the beginning of the analyzed period,in 2019, when interest in crypto assets investing began to grow rapidly, this correlation was strongly pronounced.
There is a connectedness between two sentiment indices: on the stock market and crypto‑assets. The intensity of the correlation prevails in the COVID‑19 inception period, significantly exceeding the level observed in the SMO period. This sentiment metrics behaviour may imply adaptation of the Russian stock market to external shocks, as well as retail investors’ expectations of short‑term SMO in early 2022. ...
Added: February 6, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Golovan S., Econometrics and Statistics 2026 Vol. 37 P. 199–213
The purpose is to enable inference in case of quantile regression with endogenous covariates and clustered data. It is proven that the instrumental variable quantile regression estimator is consistent where there is correlation of errors within clusters, and an asymptotic distribution for the estimator, which may be used for inference for a given quantile τ, is derived. As regards inference based on the entire instrumental ...
Added: January 13, 2026
Makeeva N., Наволоцкая П. А., Iskyandyarov R. et al., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 6 С. 135–154
This paper analyzes the informational value and predictive power of retail investor sentiment, formed by news flows and social media publications, for the dynamics of the Russian stock market. The aim of the study is to assess the informational value and predictive power of sentiment indicators, calculated using the FinBERT model, for key stock market ...
Added: December 2, 2025
Zaiane S., Tizaoui J., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2025.
This study investigates the complex, non-linear relationship between Earnings Management (EM) and ESG performance in banks operating in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Using a multi-method approach (Quantile, Threshold, and Quantile-on-Quantile Regression) on data from 2010–2024, we find that EM most severely harms median-ESG performers, exhibits a sharp negative impact beyond a specific threshold, and ...
Added: November 16, 2025
Regina Gataullina, Maria Kokoreva, Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2025 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 38–52
This study investigates the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and corporate risk-taking in Russian firms, focusing on the moderating effects of corporate governance mechanisms. Using a panel dataset of 126 companies listed on the Moscow Exchange Broad Market Index from 2010 to 2021, the study applies a fixed-effects model to examine how corporate governance ...
Added: October 7, 2025
Molostvov V., Advances in Systems Science and Applications 2025 Vol. 25 No. 1 P. 1–11
A two-criteria vector optimization problem – finding Pareto-optimal solutions in linear systems with interval uncertainty of coefficients – is considered. The problem of resource allocation to multiple activities is investigated. The uncertainty-adjusted income is a bilinear function, linear by strategy under fixed uncertainty and by uncertain parameters under fixed strategy. Guaranteed income is a linear ...
Added: August 26, 2025