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Факторы и индикаторы теневой экономики России: эмпирический анализ региональных данных
Вопросы статистики. 2022. Т. 29. № 5. С. 17–34.
The purpose of the research is to assess factors influencing the rescaling of the shadow economy in the Russian Federation (on the example of certain regions). The analysis was carried out using mathematical and statistical methods according to regional statistics for 2013–2019. In particular, a model of multiple indicators and factors (MIMIC) was built. It adapted to the panel data structure. Variables characterizing the tax burden, government regulation and the state of the labor market were used as factors. As indicators of the shadow economy – monetary variables and characteristics of the formal economy.
It is shown that in the conditions of economic difficulties there was a «compression» of the scale of the shadow economy in certain regions. According to the authors, a significant role in reducing the shadow component in the regional economy over the period under review was played by the improvement of the tax administration mechanism in the process of forming regional and local budgets (personal income tax, property taxes) as well as coordination of interdepartmental interaction in order to reliably determine the size of the taxable base. The positive role of preferential taxation regimes, which can be established by regional authorities, was proved. A significant impact on the scale of shadow activity of the structure of the regional economy and conditions in the labor market was discovered: a high share of the extractive industry and an increase in wages in the region compared to the average Russian level create incentives for participation in the formal economy and reducing the scale of the shadow economy.
The modeling results confirmed the relevance of shadow economy indicators: the larger size of the regional shadow economy entails less participation in the labor force and an increase in cash turnover.
The conclusions obtained from a new angle focus on the task of improving the investment climate, reducing pressure on entrepreneurship, and supporting small and medium-sized businesses.
Maghsoohi A., Pavlov V., Rouse P. et al., Health Care Management Science 2026 Vol. 29 No. 37
As the numbers of older people (65 +) rise globally, the pressure on acute hospitals to provide efficient and effective care while addressing resource inequities increases. In this study we introduce Recognising Episodes of Acute Complexity in Health (REACH), a novel Automatic Machine Learning (AutoML)-based predictive model that prioritises older patients and assigns them to complex ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт Европы Российской академии наук, 2026.
This edited volume examines the place of the European Union in the global economy during the first quarter of the twenty-first century against the backdrop of an emerging global economic order in which BRICS countries are playing an increasingly important role. Particular attention is paid to the evolution of the EU’s integration strategy – its ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Lola I. S., Семенова М. Т., Усов Н. А., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Деловой климат в оптовой торговле во II квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ на основе ежеквартальных конъюнктурных опросов руководителей 6,5 тыс. организаций оптовой торговли, проводимых Федеральной службой государственной статистики в 82 субъектах Российской Федерации. Обследования проводятся на ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D. et al., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Для расчета индекса экономического настроения (ИЭН ВШЭ) использовались результаты обследований деловой активности российских предприятий и организаций, а также потребительских ожиданий, в мониторинговом режиме проводимых Росстатом. В обследованиях принимают участие 17,5 тыс. руководителей организаций различных секторов экономики (около 6 тыс. крупных и средних предприятий добывающей и обрабатывающей промышленности, 6,2 тыс. строительных фирм, 3,4 тыс. организаций розничной торговли, около ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Lodiagin B., Petrov V., International Journal of Innovative Research and Scientific Studies 2026 Vol. 9 No. 7 P. 127–141
This study compares seven Russian regional airport public-private partnership projects to examine how governance arrangements relate to implementation performance and adaptation under uncertainty. The analysis draws on public documents, project-participant materials, industry reports, and business media available by May 2026. A qualitative multiple-case design combines thematic analysis with cross-case synthesis. The cases range from comparatively ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Pashkov S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 2 С. 32–44
This article discusses the methodological possibilities and specific features of constructing chain indices based on longitudinal sociological data. The relevance of the study stems from the shortage of diverse socio-economic indicators for promptly tracking fluctuations in the expectations and intentions of small business owners under heightened uncertainty. The authors show that the chain index methodology ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Slabolitskiy I. S., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 215–244
This paper proposes a new approach for modeling and forecasting key indicators of Russia's foreign economic activity based on a block-based architecture of a Bayesian Vector Autoregression model with exogenous variables (BVARX). In conditions of high external uncertainty and the absence of publicly available data on the physical volumes of foreign trade since 2022, the ...
Added: July 24, 2026
Лобоцкий М. Ю., Komarov M. M., Zaramenskikh E., Бизнес-информатика 2026 Т. 20 № 2 С. 7–21
By early 2026, AI agents ceased to be experimental tools and began to be considered as a form of business process automation. Based on the analysis of in-depth interviews, an expert session, a quantitative survey of Russian companies, and sources reflecting Russian and foreign experience in the deployment of AI agents, a fivelevel maturity model ...
Added: July 24, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Veselitskaya N., Malekova D. K., European Journal of Futures Research 2026 Vol. 14 P. 1–13
Foresight methods are often treated as transferable tools whose selection depends mainly on the object of analysis, the time horizon or the available data. This article argues that such a view is incomplete because foresight methods are embedded in governance settings and perform different institutional functions across them. The article does not claim that the ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Shekova E., Коваленко Б. Б., Екатерининская А. А. et al., СПб.: Академия русского балета им. А.Я. Вагановой, 2026.
Сборник статей посвящен актуальным проблемам управления творческими коллективами, финансированию государственных балетных театров, особенностям современных проектов и бизнес-планированию в сфере хореографического искусства. ...
Added: July 21, 2026
Tyurkin M., Azamat A., Cham: Springer, 2025.
This chapter explores the role of tokenization in blockchain technologies. Tokenization is a key enabler of the smart circular economy and organizational sustainability. Tokenization involves converting assets or value into digital tokens on a blockchain. This process offers new opportunities to enhance resource efficiency, transparency, and accountability within circular economy initiatives. By leveraging blockchain’s immutable ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Зинина Т. С., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет результаты ежегодного специализированного конъюнктурного мониторинга деловой активности ИТ-отрасли, проведенного в 2025 году. Выборка – около 700 организаций ИТ-отрасли (виды экономической деятельности 62, 63 согласно ОКВЭД2) из 30 субъектов Российской Федерации.
Программа обследования запущена с 2010 г. и основана на международном опыте измерения деловых тенденций ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Заболотнева П. А., Шаркова А. В., Новоселова И. Ю. et al., М.: Издательско-торговая корпорация «Дашков и Ко», 2025.
This monograph presents the author's research findings on improving the effectiveness of entrepreneurial activity. The relevance of the monograph's topic stems from the practical demand for applied research in the field of entrepreneurship development among Russian enterprises operating in the face of new challenges.
The monograph is intended for a wide range of readers, including representatives ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Abankina I., Зиньковский К. В., Креативные индустрии 2025 Т. 1 № 1 С. 53–66
The article presents an analysis of the demand for higher education in various fields of study in the context of public policy, the study is based on data from the HSE research “Monitoring of reception quality” for 2018–2024. The article proves that higher education in the creative industries sector directly depends on the income level ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Abankina I., Зиньковский К. В., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2025 Т. 3 № 68 С. 299–308
The article presents an analysis of the demand and supply in higher education in various fi elds in the context of public policy. By studying the demand from families for various higher education programs, three areas of public policy are identifi ed that directly affect the supply and demand in higher education. The fi rst ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Degterev D. A., Морозенская Е. В., Азия и Африка сегодня 2026 № 7 С. 73–77
Abstract
The International Scientific Conference “Strategies for Industrial Development of African Countries,” attended by representatives of the domestic and international (primarily African) academic community, as well as representatives of Russian government agencies and business circles, was held at the Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences by the Center for Transition Economy Studies ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Авксентьева М. В., Ашихмин Я. И., Ашихмина О. В. et al., М.: ФГБУ "Издательство "Наука", 2023.
Предложены основные направления совершенствования планирования, организации и оплаты медицинской помощи, лекарственного обеспечения, информатизации и оценки технологий здравоохранения. Рекомендованы такие мероприятия, как конкретизация программы государственных гарантий бесплатного оказания гражданам медицинской помощи, создание системы общедоступного лекарственного обеспечения, использование клинико-статистических групп для оплаты медицинской помощи при ряде хронических неинфекционных заболеваний в амбулаторных условиях, формирование механизма привлечения соплатежей при ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Emelyanova O., Восток. Афро-азиатские общества: история и современность 2024 No. 1 P. 153–164
Food security in Japan has been under observation of analytics in both Japan and abroad as it is one of the key national security issues. Leading academic researchers of this issue in Japan include Suzuki N., Takeya T.,Yamamoto R. and Oguchi H. However, the main focus of their analysis is the social aspect. The English ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Aleshin D., Бирюков Е. С., Булатов А. С. et al., Аспект Пресс, 2025.
Учебное пособие подготовлено коллективом российских экономистов-международников, преимущественно из МГИМО. Оно посвящено анализу особенностей незападных экономических систем, а также участия данных стран в международных экономических отношениях.
Структурно учебное пособие состоит из трех разделов и 23 глав. Первый раздел посвящен различным аспектам методологии анализа незападных экономических систем. Приводятся как современные западные концепции классификации экономических систем, так и критические, а также незападные подходы к развитию (в том числе периферийная ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Tulaeva S. A., Semushkina E. S., Мир России: Социология, этнология 2026 Т. 35 № 3 С. 47–75
Most studies investigating involvement in collective action in environmental protection relate it either to general sociocultural attitudes in society at the macro level or to the strategic actions of eco-activists in specific cases at the micro level. In the first case, this makes it possible to explain variations in environmental actions between different societies/countries; in ...
Added: June 23, 2026
Biryukova A., Zasimova L. S., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 2 С. 40–57
The paper examines changes in the economic affordability of cigarettes in Russian regions in 2011–2023. Using fixed-effects models, it estimates the impact of prices, incomes, and tobacco affordability (the ratio of per capita income to cigarette price), on three indicators: retail sales of cigarettes per capita, adult population spending on tobacco products, and the share of these ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Styrin E. M., Ataeva A., Жатикова Д. В. et al., Регион: Экономика и Социология 2026 № 2(130) С. 31–55
There remains a pronounced interregional differentiation in the level of digital development across the Russian Federation, which necessitates a comprehensive analysis of the factors influencing the digital maturity of public administration bodies in the country’s regions. This article offers a quantitative assessment of the impact of external socioeconomic, institutional, and technological factors on the level ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Furmanov K. K., Predvoditeleva M., Balaeva O., Прикладная эконометрика 2026 № 2(82) С. 67–85
The paper studies changes in technical efficiency of the hotels, hostels, and other accommodation facilities in regions of Russia that possibly took place due to the 2018 FIFA World Cup. The production frontier for the accommodation facilities is estimated using 2015–2021 data on Russian regions, regional technical efficiency before and after the World Cup is ...
Added: April 27, 2026