Оценка влияния внешних факторов на цифровую зрелость органов государственного управления в субъектах Российской Федерации

Регион: Экономика и Социология. 2026. № 2. С. 31–55.

Styrin E. M., Ataeva A., Жатикова Д. В., Ушаков М. О.

There remains a pronounced interregional differentiation in the level of digital development across the Russian Federation, which necessitates a comprehensive analysis of the factors influencing the digital maturity of public administration bodies in the country’s regions. This article offers a quantitative assessment of the impact of external socioeconomic, institutional, and technological factors on the level of digital maturity of government agencies in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, as well as identifies statistically significant predictors based on panel data models.

Within the framework of a PEST analysis, 38 macro-level factors potentially affecting digital maturity were examined, of which 17 measurable indicators were selected and grouped into categories: economic conditions of the region; public support and investment in the digital sphere; education and employment levels; innovation development; and the availability of IT infrastructure. A panel data set was compiled for 84 regions of the Russian Federation for the period 2021–2023, and fixed effects models were constructed.

The analysis confirmed the statistical significance of such factors as gross regional product, budget expenditures, education level, innovation activity of organizations, number of employees in the ICT sector, and citizen satisfaction with digital platform solutions. The findings demonstrate that the digital maturity of regional public authorities is shaped by a complex set of external conditions, which should be taken into account when developing digital transformation strategies.

Keywords: панельные данные, государственное управление, public administration, регионы России, external factors, Russian regions, PEST-анализ, PEST-analysis, цифровая трансформация, цифровая зрелость, digital maturity, внешние факторы

Publication based on the results of: Citizen-state interaction in the context of digital transformation: Political, psychological, and managerial factors and barriers (2025)