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Article

Прогнозирование успеваемости в вузе по результатам ЕГЭ

Прикладная эконометрика. 2011. Т. 1. № 21. С. 56-69.

This paper presents the results of econometric study on predicting first-year grade point average and dropout probability with national examination (EGE) results at the bachelor program in Economics in the Higher School of Economics. The use of a sum of four exams - math, social studies, Russian language and foreign language - shows worse fitting than a sum of three exams, excluding foreign language. In models with separate exams as regressors, the greatest effect on dependent variable provides math grades.