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Выборы-2016: рутина или перемены? Что означает парламентская кампания для будущего российской политической системы?
The article analyzes key factors influencing the electoral campaign for the State Duma (lower House of Russian parliament) in 2016, including but not limited to effects of recent reforms in the party and electoral systems; it discusses chances of main political parties and candidates and forecasts results of elections for party lists and single-mandate districts. Further the article considers impact of the elections for the Russian political system. The principal conclusion made by the authors is that layout of political forces in the next Duma will undergo only limited changes; the Russian regime will succeed in holding reasonably fair and legitimate elections, the results of which will satisfy the public. However the new Duma, or the Russian party system in general will not undergo any significant positive development and will remain poorly fit to meet the challenges that face the country.