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  • Форсайт — инструмент определения приоритетов научно-технологического и инновационного развития в транспортном секторе
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News
April 30, 2026
HSE Researchers Compile Scientific Database for Studying Childrens Eating Habits
The database created at HSE University can serve as a foundation for studying children’s eating habits. This is outlined in the study ‘The Influence of Age, Gender, and Social-Role Factors on Children’s Compliance with Age-Based Nutritional Norms: An Experimental Study Using the Dish-I-Wish Web Application.’ The work has been carried out as part of the HSE Basic Research Programme and was presented at the XXVI April International Academic Conference named after Evgeny Yasin.
April 30, 2026
New Foresight Centre Study Identifies the Most Destructive Global Trends for Humankind
A team of researchers from the HSE International Research and Educational Foresight Centre has examined how global trends affect the quality of human life—from life expectancy to professional fulfilment. The findings of the study titled ‘Human Capital Transformation under the Influence of Global Trends’ were published in Foresight.
April 28, 2026
Scientists Develop Algorithm for Accurate Financial Time Series Forecasting
Researchers at the HSE Faculty of Computer Science benchmarked more than 200,000 model configurations for predicting financial asset prices and realised volatility, showing that performance can be improved by filtering out noise at specific frequencies in advance. This technique increased accuracy in 65% of cases. The authors also developed their own algorithm, which achieves accuracy comparable to that of the best models while requiring less computational power. The study has been published in Applied Soft Computing.

 

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Форсайт — инструмент определения приоритетов научно-технологического и инновационного развития в транспортном секторе

Русский инженер-транспортник. 2014. Т. Сентябрь. С. 28–34.
Vishnevskiy K., Karasev O., Veselitskaya N., Razheva (Edelkina) A., Klubova M.
Priority areas: management
Language: Russian
Keywords: форсайтсудостроениеforesightдорожные картыавиастроениеroadmappingshipbuildingaircraft
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Применение показателей уровня готовности технологий при планировании комплексных научно-технологических проектов в авиастроении
Sukharev A., Vlasenko A., Экономика науки 2020 Т. 6 № 1-2 С. 52–61
Article describes the approach to selection of technology development directions during planning of complex science and technology programs in aviation. The approach involves identifying (1) product requirements, (2) alternative product concepts to meet the requirements and (3) technology portfolios and their comparison by risks, costs and time required to reach implementation readiness status. The results ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Being Innovative or Being on the Safe Side - Managing the Risk of Failure
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
Enabling the ‘Education Revolution’ through the Sustainability Mindset Principles
Cripps K., Ivanova E., Sridaran K. et al., / Series 0 "0". 2024.
Imagine a world where individuals are considering the impact on the long term of the decisions they are making. Where, as they analyze information, they wonder who are the stakeholders impacted – extending beyond the traditional ones to include Nature, the ecosystem as a stakeholder, and the next generations. Imagine young people reminding each other ...
Added: November 5, 2025
Информационные технологии в России: сценарии развития
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Исследование Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний (ИСИЭЗ) НИУ ВШЭ посвящено развитию информационных технологий в России в среднесрочной перспективе (до 2028 года). Фокус сделан на четырех сценариях, в условиях которых изучено развитие семи основных технологических направлений: искусственный интеллект, интернет вещей, кибербезопасность, высокопроизводительные вычисления, пользовательский опыт, производственные технологии и робототехника, а также информационные системы и приложения. Определены ...
Added: October 13, 2025
МАРКЕТИНГ В ЭПОХУ ТУРБУЛЕНТНОСТИ: ПЕРЕСМОТР ОСНОВ НА БАЗЕ ФОРСАЙТА
Chulok A., Российский журнал менеджмента 2025 Т. 23 № 2 С. 203–225
Purpose: to analyze global trends that influence marketing and its main components, and to propose a methodological toolkit based on foresight that revises the fundamentals of marketing considering new realities. Methodology: a methodological approach allowing the use of foresight tools for a more in-depth and comprehensive analysis of marketing goals and objectives, identifying trends, working ...
Added: October 12, 2025
Method of calculating the probability of a safe landing for ship-based aircraft
Semakov S., Semakov I., IEEE Transactions on Aerospace and Electronic Systems 2022 Vol. 58 No. 6 P. 5425–5442
We propose the method for calculating the probability of a safe landing for ship-based aircraft. We define a safe landing as the event that the initial touch of the landing surface by an aircraft occurs on a given segment of the deck, and at the time of this contact, the phase coordinates of the aircraft ...
Added: August 9, 2025
Exploring the relationship between organizational agility, competitive intelligence and foresight as parts of an anticipatory system
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This paper looks at three aspects of an anticipatory system -competitive intelligence and foresight as the sensory capacity and modeling part of the system and organizational agility which is seen in this paper as the adapting/acting part of an anticipatory system. CI and foresight (sensory capacity and modeling part of the system) are measured using ...
Added: June 30, 2025
Causal Estimands for Policy Evaluation and Beyond
Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
This paper reviews various estimands used in modern scientific and applied research to operationalize causal inquiries within the Rubin Causal Model framework. I first introduce the most widely utilized average treatment effects, such as ATE, ATT, and ATC. I then describe their popular extensions, including those targeting local and conditional treatment effects; causal interactions and mediation; effects ...
Added: May 6, 2025
Сборник тезисов работ международной молодежной научной конференции XLIX Гагаринские чтения 2023
М.: Издательство "Перо", 2023.
Международная молодёжная конференция «Гагаринские чтения» в 2023 году прошла в 49-й раз. Конференция является площадкой для обсуждения научных исследований молодых учёных в области инновационных высокотехнологичных технологий по аэрокосмическому направлению. Выступление в научных секциях конференции для многих участников является шагом к написанию кандидатской диссертации, возможностью рассказать о своих научно-исследовательских и опытно-конструкторских работах, узнать о трендах и ...
Added: April 20, 2025
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М.: Издательство "Перо", 2022.
The conference book includes abstracts which were sent to organizing committee in electronic form. ...
Added: April 20, 2025
Development of Corporate University Evolution Scenarios
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In the changing profile of corporate education and learning, corporate universities are a major force for aiding organizations to actively embrace technological change and upgrade their human capital. This study examines how corporate universities adapt their techniques to keep up with fast-changing technology, making the learning process universal yet personalized. This study also examines the ...
Added: April 9, 2025
Cultural characteristics of Digital Ecosystem Product Teams and Operational Efficiency
Ovanesova Y., Moshiashvili M. M., Типсина Н. О., / Series "Working Papers". 2021.
The purpose of this article is to analyze and evaluate the cultural characteristics of the digital ecosystem product teams leaders and operational efficiency. Using binary choice models (the main conclusions were made on the basis of logit regressions), has been found a significant negative relationship between the probability of achieving business goals by a team ...
Added: February 17, 2025
Забытая классика: теория империализма Й. А. Шумпетера
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2024. № WP3/2024/03.
The paper analyses the little-known essay of one of the classics of economic thought, J. A. Schumpeter (1883–1950), “The Sociology of Imperialisms,” where he appears not as an economic theorist, but as an economic sociologist. The problem of imperialism interested Schumpeter almost throughout his scientific career. His theory was polemically directed against various Marxist interpretations, ...
Added: December 18, 2024
Эскалация вакансий на российском рынке труда (динамика, структура, триггеры)
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2024. № WP3/2024/02.
The paper explores the key development in the Russian labor market of the 2020s – emergence of a massive overhang of vacant jobs, which has already reached a record level of 7 percent. The paper discusses theoretical aspects of the problem of labor “shortage”, examines probable triggers for the vacancy escalation, and analyzes its dynamics and ...
Added: December 18, 2024
Юность эконометрики: кейнсианцы contra Кейнс
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2024. № WP3/2024/01.
The history of economic thought knows a few of heated methodological controversies (Methodenstreit), the most famous of which was a “battle” at the end of the 19th century between Austrian and New historical schools on proper methods of social sciences. Later at the turn of the 1930–1940s a dispute arose between J.M. Keynes, on the one ...
Added: December 18, 2024
Региональная неоднородность экономики России и работа трансмиссионного механизма денежно-кредитной политики
Zvereva V., / Банк России. Серия 1 "Аналитические записки". 2024. № 10.
Россия относится к числу стран, которым присуща выраженная региональная неоднородность. Эта неоднородность может быть связана с географическим расположением региона. Например, регионы Дальнего Востока имеют внешнеэкономические связи преимущественно со странами Азии, в то же время регионы запада России преимущественно связаны с Европой. Неоднородность также может быть следствием разной структуры экономик регионов. Например, в южных регионах традиционно ...
Added: December 12, 2024
Реакция банковских ставок на изменение ключевой ставки Банка России в условиях региональной неоднородности (оценки на панельных данных)
Zvereva V., Скуратова А. В., / Банк России. Серия 1 "Доклады об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 129.
Целью данного исследования являлась оценка вклада федеральных и региональных факторов в работу процентного канала трансмиссионного механизма денежно-кредитной политики (ТМ ДКП) после начала пандемии COVID-19 в 2020 году и усиления санкционного давления в 2022 году. Полученные результаты свидетельствуют о том, что наблюдается заметная асимметрия и неоднородность в реакции региональных банковских ставок на ДКП в зависимости от рынка (корпоративное кредитование или депозиты населения), характера ДКП (сдерживающая или стимулирующая) и влияния региональных факторов. Лаг ДКП составляет: 2–3 месяца для рынка корпоративного кредитования и 3–4 месяца для рынка ...
Added: December 12, 2024
Современный дискурс об определении понятия «самоубийство»
Эмеретли Х. С., Философия. Журнал Высшей школы экономики 2024 Т. 8 № 1 С. 168 – 187
The article discusses the conceptual framework of the concept of “suicide” and provides its philosophical definition. Continental philosophy has traditionally focused on the axiological and practical-ethical characteristics of suicide. The purpose of the article is to define and comprehend this phenomenon in the course of a polemic with the modern analytical philosophy of suicide. The ...
Added: June 5, 2024
History and Modern Landscape of Futures Studies
Marina Boykova, Knyazeva H., Salazkin M., Foresight and STI Governance 2023 Vol. 17 No. 4 P. 80–91
The challenges the futures studies face are particularly complex, interconnected, and contradictory, and cannot be resolved using linear approaches. Prognostic science needs tools matching the new contextual complexity, which would allow to capture a much wider range of driving forces, and their potential effects, in a non-linear perspective, to improve the accuracy of forecasts and ...
Added: January 25, 2024
Применение показателей уровня готовности технологий при планировании комплексных научно-технологических проектов в авиастроении
Sukharev A., Власенко А. О., Экономика науки 2020 Т. 6 № 1-2 С. 52–61
Article describes the approach to selection of technology development directions during planning of complex science and technology programs in aviation. The approach involves identifying (1) product requirements, (2) alternative product concepts to meet the requirements and (3) technology portfolios and their comparison by risks, costs and time required to reach implementation readiness status. The results ...
Added: December 5, 2023
Developing foresight that impacts senior management decisions
Jonathan Calof, Colton B., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2024 Vol. 198 Article 123036
Extensive research exists on the potential impacts of foresight; however, a comprehensive understanding of the factors that lead to foresight impact, particularly in influencing senior management decisions, is relatively sparse. This study addresses this by reporting on a Delphi and expert panel involving eight senior Canadian government foresight program leaders. These leaders were asked to ...
Added: December 1, 2023
Naval Power amid Political Turmoil
Тебин П. Ю., Russia in Global Affairs 2014 No. 2
Naval power in the 21st century will probably play a greater role in foreign policies of maritime nations than in the 20th century. The 70/80/90 rule from the present U.S. naval strategy has already entered into wide use. This rule means that 70 percent of the Earth’s surface is covered with seas and oceans, 80 ...
Added: September 21, 2023
The Limits of Capabilities
Тебин П. Ю., Russia in Global Affairs 2016 No. 3
Russia’s military operation in Syria has demonstrated a high level of combat readiness of the Russian Aerospace Forces and positive results of the military reform in general. This issue was discussed in detail in Ruslan Pukhov’s article “A Proving Ground of the Future” published in Russia in Global Affairs in March 2016. Media and expert attention to the Aerospace ...
Added: September 21, 2023
Exploring future research and innovation directions for a sustainable blue economy
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The blue economy integrates commercial, research and innovation activities across diverse industrial sectors. Achieving a sustainable blue economy requires unlocking the potential of science and innovation to develop innovative ocean sustainability solutions. This study explores the role of foresight in co-creating alternative, preferred futures for a sustainable blue economy looking towards 2030 and in establishing ...
Added: September 8, 2023
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