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  • Форсайт — инструмент определения приоритетов научно-технологического и инновационного развития в транспортном секторе
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News
September 25, 2026
AI Users Earn Up to 41.8% More Than Non-Users
Research conducted by economists at HSE University has revealed a significant correlation between the regular use of GenAI in the workplace and higher pay among Russian employees. The study found that individuals who frequently use GenAI in their professional activities earn notably more than those who reject these new tools or resort to them occasionally. The salary premium for highly qualified specialists reaches 41.8%. The article was published in the Voprosy Ekonomiki journal.
September 24, 2026
‘Feedback and Constructive Criticism Are Essential in Our Profession
Vincent Fardeau, Associate Professor at HSE ICEF, has reached a major career milestone: he recently published his paper ‘Asymmetric Thin Markets’ in the Journal of Financial Economics, successfully passed his major academic review, and received tenure. In this interview, Vincent discusses the story behind the paper, explains the concept of asymmetric thin markets, and shares his advice for young scholars aiming to publish in top-tier journals.
September 22, 2026
Personal Interest in Doctoral Thesis Topic Most Important for Confidence in Successful Defence
A researcher at HSE University analysed data on 1,539 doctoral students from 161 Russian universities to identify which features of a thesis topic are associated with academic success and engagement. The most important factor was found to be personal interest in the research topic, which was associated with almost all key aspects of doctoral programme experience—from engaging with the academic supervisor to research activity and confidence about successfully defending the thesis. The findings have been published in Higher Education.

 

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Форсайт — инструмент определения приоритетов научно-технологического и инновационного развития в транспортном секторе

Русский инженер-транспортник. 2014. Т. Сентябрь. С. 28–34.
Vishnevskiy K., Karasev O., Veselitskaya N., Razheva (Edelkina) A., Klubova M.
Priority areas: management
Language: Russian
Keywords: форсайтсудостроениеforesightдорожные картыавиастроениеroadmappingshipbuildingaircraft
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Alena Bernyukevich, / Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2025.
This essay explores the complex issue of determining the appropriate level of risk when implementing innovations within organizations. While innovation is widely recognized as a cornerstone of competitiveness, growth, and sustainability, excessive or poorly managed risk can lead to significant challenges. The discussion highlights key factors influencing acceptable risk levels, including alignment with corporate goals, ...
Added: August 17, 2026
Assessing the impact of economic sanctions on the socio-economic development of a sanctioned country -testing a new research approach using the data on the socio-economic development of Russia in 2022-2025
Gurkov I. B., Kossov V. V., Filinov N. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series MAN "Management". 2026. No. N/A.
This research note is devoted to assessing the socioeconomic impact of sanctions of sanctioned countries and uses the data on Russia in 2022-2024. We use for the analysis four fundamental socioeconomic parameters-the expected length of life of males at birth, the misery index (Okun's index), the level of Gross Domestic Product at purchasing parity prices, ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Форсайт в государственном управлении научно-технологическим развитием в условиях глубокой неопределенности
Gribkova D. E., В кн.: Совершенствование публичного управления: вопросы теории и практики.: М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2025. С. 67–78.
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Added: May 21, 2026
Применение показателей уровня готовности технологий при планировании комплексных научно-технологических проектов в авиастроении
Sukharev A., Vlasenko A., Экономика науки 2020 Т. 6 № 1-2 С. 52–61
Article describes the approach to selection of technology development directions during planning of complex science and technology programs in aviation. The approach involves identifying (1) product requirements, (2) alternative product concepts to meet the requirements and (3) technology portfolios and their comparison by risks, costs and time required to reach implementation readiness status. The results ...
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Being Innovative or Being on the Safe Side - Managing the Risk of Failure
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
Enabling the ‘Education Revolution’ through the Sustainability Mindset Principles
Cripps K., Ivanova E., Sridaran K. et al., / Series 0 "0". 2024.
Imagine a world where individuals are considering the impact on the long term of the decisions they are making. Where, as they analyze information, they wonder who are the stakeholders impacted – extending beyond the traditional ones to include Nature, the ecosystem as a stakeholder, and the next generations. Imagine young people reminding each other ...
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Информационные технологии в России: сценарии развития
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Исследование Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний (ИСИЭЗ) НИУ ВШЭ посвящено развитию информационных технологий в России в среднесрочной перспективе (до 2028 года). Фокус сделан на четырех сценариях, в условиях которых изучено развитие семи основных технологических направлений: искусственный интеллект, интернет вещей, кибербезопасность, высокопроизводительные вычисления, пользовательский опыт, производственные технологии и робототехника, а также информационные системы и приложения. Определены ...
Added: October 13, 2025
МАРКЕТИНГ В ЭПОХУ ТУРБУЛЕНТНОСТИ: ПЕРЕСМОТР ОСНОВ НА БАЗЕ ФОРСАЙТА
Chulok A., Российский журнал менеджмента 2025 Т. 23 № 2 С. 203–225
Purpose: to analyze global trends that influence marketing and its main components, and to propose a methodological toolkit based on foresight that revises the fundamentals of marketing considering new realities. Methodology: a methodological approach allowing the use of foresight tools for a more in-depth and comprehensive analysis of marketing goals and objectives, identifying trends, working ...
Added: October 12, 2025
Method of calculating the probability of a safe landing for ship-based aircraft
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We propose the method for calculating the probability of a safe landing for ship-based aircraft. We define a safe landing as the event that the initial touch of the landing surface by an aircraft occurs on a given segment of the deck, and at the time of this contact, the phase coordinates of the aircraft ...
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Exploring the relationship between organizational agility, competitive intelligence and foresight as parts of an anticipatory system
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This paper looks at three aspects of an anticipatory system -competitive intelligence and foresight as the sensory capacity and modeling part of the system and organizational agility which is seen in this paper as the adapting/acting part of an anticipatory system. CI and foresight (sensory capacity and modeling part of the system) are measured using ...
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Causal Estimands for Policy Evaluation and Beyond
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This paper reviews various estimands used in modern scientific and applied research to operationalize causal inquiries within the Rubin Causal Model framework. I first introduce the most widely utilized average treatment effects, such as ATE, ATT, and ATC. I then describe their popular extensions, including those targeting local and conditional treatment effects; causal interactions and mediation; effects ...
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Added: April 20, 2025
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The conference book includes abstracts which were sent to organizing committee in electronic form. ...
Added: April 20, 2025
Development of Corporate University Evolution Scenarios
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In the changing profile of corporate education and learning, corporate universities are a major force for aiding organizations to actively embrace technological change and upgrade their human capital. This study examines how corporate universities adapt their techniques to keep up with fast-changing technology, making the learning process universal yet personalized. This study also examines the ...
Added: April 9, 2025
Cultural characteristics of Digital Ecosystem Product Teams and Operational Efficiency
Ovanesova Y., Moshiashvili M. M., Типсина Н. О., / Series "Working Papers". 2021.
The purpose of this article is to analyze and evaluate the cultural characteristics of the digital ecosystem product teams leaders and operational efficiency. Using binary choice models (the main conclusions were made on the basis of logit regressions), has been found a significant negative relationship between the probability of achieving business goals by a team ...
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Забытая классика: теория империализма Й. А. Шумпетера
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2024. № WP3/2024/03.
The paper analyses the little-known essay of one of the classics of economic thought, J. A. Schumpeter (1883–1950), “The Sociology of Imperialisms,” where he appears not as an economic theorist, but as an economic sociologist. The problem of imperialism interested Schumpeter almost throughout his scientific career. His theory was polemically directed against various Marxist interpretations, ...
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Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2024. № WP3/2024/02.
The paper explores the key development in the Russian labor market of the 2020s – emergence of a massive overhang of vacant jobs, which has already reached a record level of 7 percent. The paper discusses theoretical aspects of the problem of labor “shortage”, examines probable triggers for the vacancy escalation, and analyzes its dynamics and ...
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Юность эконометрики: кейнсианцы contra Кейнс
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2024. № WP3/2024/01.
The history of economic thought knows a few of heated methodological controversies (Methodenstreit), the most famous of which was a “battle” at the end of the 19th century between Austrian and New historical schools on proper methods of social sciences. Later at the turn of the 1930–1940s a dispute arose between J.M. Keynes, on the one ...
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Региональная неоднородность экономики России и работа трансмиссионного механизма денежно-кредитной политики
Zvereva V., / Банк России. Серия 1 "Аналитические записки". 2024. № 10.
Россия относится к числу стран, которым присуща выраженная региональная неоднородность. Эта неоднородность может быть связана с географическим расположением региона. Например, регионы Дальнего Востока имеют внешнеэкономические связи преимущественно со странами Азии, в то же время регионы запада России преимущественно связаны с Европой. Неоднородность также может быть следствием разной структуры экономик регионов. Например, в южных регионах традиционно ...
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Zvereva V., Скуратова А. В., / Банк России. Серия 1 "Доклады об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 129.
Целью данного исследования являлась оценка вклада федеральных и региональных факторов в работу процентного канала трансмиссионного механизма денежно-кредитной политики (ТМ ДКП) после начала пандемии COVID-19 в 2020 году и усиления санкционного давления в 2022 году. Полученные результаты свидетельствуют о том, что наблюдается заметная асимметрия и неоднородность в реакции региональных банковских ставок на ДКП в зависимости от рынка (корпоративное кредитование или депозиты населения), характера ДКП (сдерживающая или стимулирующая) и влияния региональных факторов. Лаг ДКП составляет: 2–3 месяца для рынка корпоративного кредитования и 3–4 месяца для рынка ...
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History and Modern Landscape of Futures Studies
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The challenges the futures studies face are particularly complex, interconnected, and contradictory, and cannot be resolved using linear approaches. Prognostic science needs tools matching the new contextual complexity, which would allow to capture a much wider range of driving forces, and their potential effects, in a non-linear perspective, to improve the accuracy of forecasts and ...
Added: January 25, 2024
Применение показателей уровня готовности технологий при планировании комплексных научно-технологических проектов в авиастроении
Sukharev A., Власенко А. О., Экономика науки 2020 Т. 6 № 1-2 С. 52–61
Article describes the approach to selection of technology development directions during planning of complex science and technology programs in aviation. The approach involves identifying (1) product requirements, (2) alternative product concepts to meet the requirements and (3) technology portfolios and their comparison by risks, costs and time required to reach implementation readiness status. The results ...
Added: December 5, 2023
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Extensive research exists on the potential impacts of foresight; however, a comprehensive understanding of the factors that lead to foresight impact, particularly in influencing senior management decisions, is relatively sparse. This study addresses this by reporting on a Delphi and expert panel involving eight senior Canadian government foresight program leaders. These leaders were asked to ...
Added: December 1, 2023
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