?
Региональная неоднородность экономики России и работа трансмиссионного механизма денежно-кредитной политики
Банк России
,
2024.
№ 10.
Penikas H. I., Potashev N., В кн.: Сборник лучших докладов конференции "Ломоносовские чтения" (2025).: М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026. С. 219–236.
В работе исследуется вопрос, приводят ли инфляционные ожидания (ИО), полученные из вопросов разной глубины и агрегированные с учетом уровня уверенности респондентов, к статистически отличающимся распределениям по сравнению с традиционной методологией инФОМ. На основе данных внутреннего опроса Банка России показано, что схемы агрегирования, учитывающие разделение респондентов на группы в зависимости от уровня их осознанности, формируют распределения ...
Added: May 12, 2026
Zvereva V., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 4 С. 100–129
This paper examines the hypothesis of asymmetric responses of bank interest rates to restrictive and accommodative monetary policy conducted by the Bank of Russia across different market segments, industries, and macroregions over the period 2017—2025. Using a Markov-switching error-correction model, the paper estimates the effects of monetary policy shocks, households’ inflation expectations, firms’ price expectations, ...
Added: April 8, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Senin V., Хамидуллин Т. Р., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 № 2 (56) С. 19–31
The past four years have been an extremely challenging period for our economy. Thus, the country faced a covid and the restrictions it caused, followed by the need to rebuild the real sector and services affected by the pandemic. Then a special military operation began and was followed by the imposition of sanctions, the withdrawal ...
Added: February 13, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Андросов К. Г., Иванова Т. В., Скорина А. А., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 Т. 3 (57) С. 144–155
This article attempts to comprehensively analyze the degree of influence of the key rate and monetary policy of the Bank of Russia on various spheres of economic life, present assessments of business, government and society, and suggest some steps that could help mitigate the effects of the regulator's policy. ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.
We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We propose a new dynamic ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Bakshuk M., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
В данной статье рассматривается реакция российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности на ужесточение экономических санкций с акцентом на период после 2022 года. Хотя санкции в целом негативно сказываются на экономическом росте и эффективности деятельности компаний, есть некоторые свидетельства того, что они также могут подталкивать компании к инновациям, а негативный эффект преодолевается при помощи адаптации компании. Исследование заполняет ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Besstremyannaya G., Новикова В., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
Защита прав интеллектуальной собственности является движущей
силой для формирования стимулов инновационной активности
предприятий. Законодательное закрепление правил пользования
результатами интеллектуальной деятельности и обеспечение их соблюдения
позволяет поддерживать баланс интересов создателей и пользователей
интеллектуальной
собственности.
Целью
проанализировать недостаточно изученную для регионов России связь
между экономическим ростом и защитой прав интеллектуальной
собственности с использованием двухшаговой регрессии. Результаты
моделирования оказались неоднозначными, однако, было доказано наличие
значимой связи между защитой прав интеллектуальной ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Болячин Ю. В., Воинова А. А., Кротова Ю. И. et al., / Банк России. Серия Доклады Банка России "Доклад об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 156.
Implied inflation expectations are the expectation values derived from the question about particular goods’ prices or the values of a basket of goods. We use internal and external surveys to compare implied and direct (conventional) estimates when the single inflation range is chosen in the latter case. By checking against the known stylized facts about inflation expectations, we compare all the combinations of question about them. We find that implied perceived inflation and inflation expectations are higher than their direct peers. ...
Added: December 8, 2025
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
Vdovin I. A., Александров А. А., Косенко Е. А., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 № № 3(57) С. 36–53
The article examines the transformation of the investment policy of the Russian Federation in the period from 1998 to 2024 in the context of changing macroeconomic conditions and the monetary policy of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. Particular attention is paid to state support mechanisms, as well as their transformation in the context ...
Added: October 31, 2025
Afanasev K., The Journal of the New Economic Association 2025 No. 3(68) P. 43–51
This study examines moderating effect of income expectations on the influence of inflation expectations on consumption decisions in a laboratory setting. Using a multi-round life-cycle consumption-saving model, the research manipulates participants’ beliefs on the future prices and income. Contrary to the hypothesis that expected income growth would attenuate the effect of expected price increases on ...
Added: October 21, 2025
Подходы к определению режимов взаимодействия бюджетно-налоговой политики и денежно-кредитной политик
Аблаев Э. Ю., Проблемы прогнозирования 2025 № 3 С. 159–172
Статья посвящена проблеме взаимодействия бюджетно-налоговой и денежно-кредитной политики. В экономической литературе принято выделять пассивный и активный режимы фискальной и монетарной политики. В свою очередь, сочетание того или иного режима проводимых политик определяет формы их взаимодействия. При этом условием достижения ценовой стабильности является наличие координации – одна из политик находится в активном режиме, а другая в ...
Added: September 19, 2025
Финагин М. И., Иногамова В. Т., Грачева А. А., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 9 С. 62–87
This paper develops a system for assessing the tightness of monetary conditions in Russia using monetary-conditions indices. These indices make it possible to study the pass-through of the monetary policy impulse across key channels of the transmission mechanism and to identify shocks to monetary conditions. Short-term money market rates, which are most sensitive to changes ...
Added: September 9, 2025
Гуров И. Н., Елицур Д. А., Зуев В. Е. et al., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 6 С. 63–93
Исследование основано на уникальном для России замере Фонда «Общественное мнение» (инФОМ) в рамках опроса Банка России по инфляционным ожиданиям в мае 2024 г. Неопределенность инфляционных ожиданий составляет 10 п. п. и положительно связана с их значением и возрастом респондентов. Неопределенность выше у респондентов, которые считают время подходящим для покупок, ниже у мужчин и снижается с ...
Added: June 18, 2025
Krasyuk T., Π-ECONOMY (Российская Федерация) 2024 Т. 18 № 1 С. 178–198
The relevance of this research is substantiated by the fact that the integrated management approach will help to unite and focus the heterogeneous instrumental mechanism of regulatory influence on investment processes to achieve strategic goals, in particular, the development of the supply-side economy in Russia. Without a radical change in investment policy, an increase in ...
Added: April 6, 2025