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Article

Методика исследования динамики научно-технических циклов

Месропян В. Р.

Research of trends of the development of the scientific bibliometric information in distributed databases as an application of the Kondratyev’s theory of cyclic dynamics of the socio-economic systems was done in this work. A structural analysis of resources of the intellectual information space was fulfilled and an algorithm for forecasting of the development of scientific and technological trends which basis on the analysis of equidistant time series’ distribution of patents in databases was designed. Indicators, which are reflecting the development of the potential of technology trends and the methodology for calculating ones, were built and represented.