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Can the Effects of Internet Shutdowns be Estimated Separately from Their Causes? Simulation-Based Inference in the Context of Difference-in-Differences Models
P. 1–3.
We propose a simulation-based approach based on the difference-in-differences model for estimating the causal effects of Internet shutdowns. Using synthetic data, we show that researchers can be largely agnostic about the underlying factors that led to Internet shutdowns when estimating their effects.
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Sokolov B., Социология: методология, методы, математическое моделирование 2025 № 61 С. 7–76
This article reviews a set of estimands commonly used in modern applied research to operationalize causal inquiries within the Rubin Causal Model (RCM). I first introduce the basic average treatment effects (ATE, ATT, ATC) and then describe their main extensions, including local and conditional treatment effects, causal interactions, causal mediation, multivalued or continuous treatments, and ...
Added: December 19, 2025
Беликова Н. А., Ratnikova T. A., Прикладная эконометрика 2025 Т. 78 С. 5–27
In connection with the beginning of the SMO and the introduction of unprecedented sanctions against Russia, studies of the effects of these macro shocks on the Russian economy are becoming particularly relevant. The paper examines the possibility of using three approaches for these purposes: the method of synthetic control, the difference in differences and the ...
Added: November 14, 2025
Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
This paper reviews various estimands used in modern scientific and applied research to operationalize causal inquiries within the Rubin Causal Model framework. I first introduce the most widely utilized average treatment effects, such as ATE, ATT, and ATC. I then describe their popular extensions, including those targeting local and conditional treatment effects; causal interactions and mediation; effects ...
Added: May 6, 2025
Gershman M., Evseeva M., Kameneva E. et al., Вопросы экономики 2025 № 3 С. 48–75
In this article, we analyze the policy of direct subsidizing of academia— industry cooperation projects in Russia. Using the difference in differences method and companies’ microdata, we assess the policy impact on the change in the revenue growth rates of 133 subsidy recipient companies in 2010—2022. It is established that subsidies have the most noticeable ...
Added: March 11, 2025
Беленков В. Е., Sedashov E., Политическая наука 2025 № 1 С. 103–119
The influence of online communications on the dynamics of protest activity holds one of the central places in modern political communication research. Internet continues to play an important role in protest mobilization, and authorities of different countries employ a broad repertoire of strategies aimed at reducing its effectiveness as a protesters’ communication channel.
This paper aims ...
Added: March 11, 2025
Kotyrlo E., International Journal of Manpower 2025 Vol. 46 No. 2 P. 310–328
Purpose. This study investigates the effect of teleworkability on labour outcomes across gender, local labour markets, education, marital and parental statuses during COVID-19 in Russia.
Design/methodology/approach. Based on the Russia Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS-HSE), three classifications of telework are tested. Telework is associated with 1) work from home, 2) workplace digitalisation and 3) the suitability of professional ...
Added: November 3, 2024
Penikas H. I., Stefanenko V., Вопросы экономики 2024 Т. 8 С. 89–110
В 2023 г. в мире исполнилось десять лет одному из основных стандартов регулирования исламских банков. В академической литературе сложно найти работы с обсуждением эффектов введения этого регулирования. Для определения реакции рынка на введение этого стандарта выборка разделена на традиционные (контрольная группа) и исламские (пилотная группа) банки и оценен эффект воздействия методом «разность разностей». Исламские банки ...
Added: August 10, 2024
Kotyrlo E., Zaytsev A., Applied Economics 2024 Vol. 56 No. 56 P. 7563–7574
This study evaluates the effect of the Russian agri-food embargo introduced in 2014. The embargo was expected to boost growth in Russian agriculture due to an import substitution policy. To isolate its effect on the Russian agricultural growth rate from other factors like currency devaluation, overall economic stagnation and external financial sanctions, we used the ...
Added: December 6, 2023
Kossova E. V., Slabolitskiy I. S., Potanin B., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2023 Т. 58 № 4 С. 23–49
This article addresses the interpreting results of recursive system of binary equations estimation in the case when the system does not satisfy exclusion restriction conditions. It means that the equation defining the endogenous variable does not contain a unique covariate. This article extends the analysis of previous studies on the identifiability of parameters of recursive ...
Added: September 15, 2023
Kotyrlo E., Kalachyhin H., Economics of Transition and Institutional Change 2023 Vol. 31 No. 4 P. 1007–1033
India initiated the unilateral mass termination of bilateral investment treaties (BIT termination) in 2016. We consider it a natural experiment to clarify the issue of whether BITs attract foreign direct investment (FDI) to a developing country. We evaluate the effect of BIT termination on the FDI inflows using the double and triple difference approaches (DD ...
Added: February 9, 2023
Lukyanova A., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2022. № 8.
The paper investigates how recent advances in the treatment effects literature can be applied to study gender pay inequality in Russia. The key parameter of interest is the mean unexplained gender wage gap. Using the RLMS HSE data for 2005–2020, we consider linear regression, Oaxaca-Blinder (OB) decomposition, and estimators based on propensity scores (PS) and ...
Added: December 20, 2022
Stefanenko V., Савенко Д. А., Penikas H. I., / Series 5-6 Dec. 2021 "2021 International Conference on Sustainable Islamic Business and Finance". 2021.
The scope of research papers on the banking regulation reforms and its effect on conventional bank performance gave the authors the idea to consider Islamic banks in this light. Especially since in 2013 the Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) proposed the capital ratio for the Islamic banks. The paper employs the difference-in-differences model (DD) that ...
Added: February 14, 2022
Deviatko I. F., Социологические исследования 2021 № 10 С. 3–11
The article provides a brief overview and critical analysis of the difficulties and challenges facing theoretical sociology considered in the context of the current discussion of the "crisis of sociological theory". Both "internal" and "external" problems and challenges, the latter being related to the social context and internal organization of the social sciences, are considered. ...
Added: October 29, 2021
Penikas H. I., Деньги и кредит 2021 Т. 80 № 3 С. 94–104
In the first week of June 2021, the Bank of Russia and the New Economic School hosted a joint international online workshop titled ‘Identification and Measurement of Macroprudential Policies Effects’. Participants’ presentations suggest that macroprudential policy measures against high-risk lending produce their intended effects, but also, as a rule, bring about side effects. These effects ...
Added: September 28, 2021
Simachev Y. V., Kuzyk M., Вопросы экономики 2021 № 6 С. 103–138
The paper assesses the influence of science–business cooperation on the activity of firms, analyzes the factors of interaction of Russian companies with academic organizations and universities in the research sphere, identifies barriers to the development of cooperation between business and science. It has been established that companies whose source of innovation was external R&D were ...
Added: September 21, 2021
Agasisti T., Abalmasova E., Shibanova E. et al., Oxford Economic Papers 2022 Vol. 74 No. 4 P. 1021–1044
In most countries implementing structural transformations in their higher education systems, a key goal of policymakers is to tie the amount of public funding to university performance. The present article analyses the Russian performance-based funding (PBF) reform to provide a quasi-experimental assessment of its effects on university performance. To evaluate the causal effect of PBF ...
Added: September 1, 2021
Kotyrlo E., Булгаков И. А., Прикладная эконометрика 2021 Т. 62 № 2 С. 125–143
We explore the relationship between fatherhood and marriage and male labour outcomes. We challenge
the direction of causality. The difference in differences method for three periods (before, per
year, and after an event in family life) allows establishing whether changes in family life follow
changes in work life or vice versa. The results are obtained using data from ...
Added: August 24, 2021
Kotyrlo E., Zaytsev A., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2021. № 1.
В статье оценивается влияние политики контрсанкций и продовольственного эмбарго как ее главной составляющей, развернутых в ответ на внешние санкции 2014 г., на развитие сельского хозяйства в России. Информационной базой выступают данные по российским регионам за 2005–2017 гг. Метод «разности в разностях» (DD), примененный к отраслям в региональном разрезе, позволяет выделить эффект контрсанкций из общей динамики ...
Added: March 12, 2021
Yusupova G. F., Кутлу Д. А., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2020 № 4 С. 47–70
This paper is an analysis of the Norwegian fish cartel in Russia that existed from 2011 to 2013 and its impact on the average consumer prices on salmon on the Russian market during the same period. The analysis involves applying two methods — “before-and-after” and “difference-in-differences”. From an economics standpoint, the analysis of the decision ...
Added: October 25, 2020
Кутлу Д. А., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2020 № 4 С. 47–70
This paper is an analysis of the Norwegian fish cartel in Russia that existed from 2011 to 2013 and its impact on the average consumer prices on salmon on the Russian market during the same period. The analysis involves applying two methods — “before-and-after” and “difference-in-differences”. From an economics standpoint, the analysis of the decision ...
Added: October 1, 2020