Образовательные траектории школьников Ярославской области: дискриминантный анализ в сравнении с логистической регрессией

Социология: методология, методы, математическое моделирование. 2013. № 36. С. 65–93.

Tovar-García E. D.

The article studies educational trajectories of schoolchildren in Yaroslavl Oblast. Conclusions point out that schoolchild’s educational achievements, educational plans of his/her friends and the level of education of his/her father are key predictors of a decision about continuing education. Thanks to this information it is possible to know which schoolchildren are at risk of not continuing their studies. In the course of the research comparative advantages of the logistic regression and the discriminant analysis in the case of binary dependent variables were examined. With the necessary prerequisites for the use of methods fulfilled, both strategies work well classifying schoolchildren.

Keywords: человеческий капитал, образовательная траектория, дискриминантный анализ, логистическая регрессия, discriminant analysis, logistic regression, школьная успеваемость, educational trajectory, educational achievement, семейные ресурсы, family resources, Yaroslavl Oblast, Ярославская область, human capital

Publication based on the results of: Monitoring of educational and occupational trajectories of school and university students (2013)