• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Управление портфелем инновационных проектов в условиях ограниченных информационных ресурсов методами нечеткой логики и имитационного моделирования
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
May 20, 2026
HSE University Opens First Representative Office of Satellite Laboratory in Brazil
HSE University-St Petersburg opened a representative office of the Satellite Laboratory on Social Entrepreneurship at the University of Campinas in Brazil. The platform is going to unite research and educational projects in the spheres of sustainable development, communications and social innovations.
May 18, 2026
The 'Second Shift' Is Not Why Women Avoid News
Women are more likely than men to avoid political and economic news, but the reasons for this behaviour are linked less to structural inequality or family-related stress than to personal attitudes and the emotional perception of news content. This conclusion was reached by HSE researchers after analysing data from a large-scale survey of more than 10,000 residents across 61 regions of Russia. The study findings have been published in Woman in Russian Society.
May 15, 2026
Preserving Rationality in a Period of Turbulence
The HSE International Laboratory for Logic, Linguistics and Formal Philosophy studies logic and rationality in a transformed world characterised by a diversity of logical systems and rational agents. The laboratory supports and develops academic ties with Russian and international partners. The HSE News Service spoke with the head of the laboratory, Prof. Elena Dragalina-Chernaya, about its work.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Управление портфелем инновационных проектов в условиях ограниченных информационных ресурсов методами нечеткой логики и имитационного моделирования

Научные исследования и разработки. Российский журнал управления проектами. 2021. Т. 10. № 4. С. 3–13.
Власова Е. А., Tsiteladze D.

Managing a portfolio of innovative projects is a complex task that requires special approaches and management methods. According to statistics, only 69% of innovative projects correspond to the strategic goals that the company initially set for itself. Innovative projects involve working in conditions of constant variability, inaccessibility of information and high risk. The aim of the work is to offer a tool for managing a portfolio of innovative projects using fuzzy logic and simulation methods to improve the efficiency of project managers and achieve the organization's strategic goals, and as a result, create a competitive advantage in the market. The research methodology is based on taking into account the theory of fuzzy logic and the theory of system dynamics to create a simulation model for Bass diffusion.
The article proposes a tool for managing a portfolio of innovative projects using fuzzy logic and simulation modeling, as well as recommendations for combining the proposed tool with modern PMIS and analytical systems that allow for pre-project and post-project analysis, which allows you to manage and control the implementation of portfolio tasks throughout the full cycle of its implementation.
Больше информации об этом исходном текстеЧтобы получить дополнительную информацию, введите исходный текст
Отправить отзыв
Боковые панели

Research target: Economics and Management
Language: Russian
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: управление портфелем проектовинновационные проектынечеткая логикаsimulation modelingproject portfolio managementsystem dynamics simulation modeling,аналитическое и имитационное моделированиеFinancing of innovative projects
Similar publications
ИТ-отрасль в 2025 году: обзор деловых тенденций
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., [б.и.], 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационный обзор, характеризующий деловые тенденции, сложившиеся в отрасли информационных технологий (ИТ-отрасль) в 2025 г. Работа базируется на результатах ежегодного специализированного конъюнктурного мониторинга деловой и цифровой активности около 700 организаций, оказывающих информационно-технологические услуги (код по ОКВЭД 2 – 62, 63). Мониторинг проводился АНО ИИЦ «Статистика России» по заказу ...
Added: May 20, 2026
Индекс экономического настроения (ИЭН ВШЭ) в I квартале 2026 года
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D. et al., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний Национального исследовательского университета «Высшая школа экономики» подготовил информационно-аналитический материал, характеризующий экономические настроения российских предпринимателей и потребителей в I кв. 2026 г. - «Индекс экономического настроения (ИЭН ВШЭ)». Информационная база мониторинга содержит накопленную за 1998-2026 гг. категориальную статистику «балансов мнений», базирующуюся на ответах респондентов. Такая «мягкая» качественная статистика ...
Added: May 20, 2026
Developing a financial sustainability Index (FSI) for export-oriented manufacturing firms: A panel-based early warning framework
Кумар В., MSW Management 2026 Vol. 36 No. 1s P. 1746–1753
This study explores how profitability, export efficiency, and cost functionality correlated with the financial sustainability index (FSI) for Indian manufacturing companies and the development of the early warning system. The study was conducted on 50 Indian manufacturing companies those participate in the export business, whose data has been collected for the nine quarters from 2023 ...
Added: May 19, 2026
The crowd is your ace: Playing FMCG’s internationalization game
Tekic A., Nguen C. M., Business Horizons 2026 Article In Press, Journal Pre-proof
Fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) firms face intense pressure to internationalize, yet the traditional playbook—lengthy R&D cycles, costly market research, and standardized campaigns—often struggles to deliver local relevance at speed. This article argues that crowdsourcing—digitally mediated, large-scale consumer participation—can complement established internationalization tools by mobilizing local knowledge and community endorsement to mitigate key aspects of the ...
Added: May 19, 2026
Business Creativity and Circular Economy
Ulanov V. L., Springer, 2026.
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, ...
Added: May 19, 2026
The effect of agglomeration and transport on labour productivity in Saint Petersburg metropolitan area
Semerikova E. V., Салов А. И., The Journal of the New Economic Association 2026 Vol. 1 No. 70 P. 221–237
In this paper, we assess the extent of agglomeration externalities that mirror on labour productivity gains while accounting for the direct and indirect effects of transportation exposure. To this end we combine data on the local average wage and employment with comprehensive information on the public transportation and road networks of the Saint Petersburg Metropolitan Area, one of the ...
Added: May 19, 2026
Impact of the crises on household consumption patterns: An analysis of Russian regions
Voytenkov V., Emerging Markets Review 2026 No. 101482 P. 1–37
This paper examines the effects of the 2008, 2014, and 2020 crises on household consumption patterns in Russian regions. The micro-level analysis is conducted using quarterly data from Rosstat's Household Budget Survey. Dependent variables are expenditure on food at home, out-of-home, alcohol, non-food items, services. Explanatory variables are household characteristics and dummy variables that capture ...
Added: May 18, 2026
Airport resilience to large-scale events: the case of Pulkovo Airport
Lodiagin B., Nazarova V., Rincon C. J., URBAN, PLANNING AND TRANSPORT RESEARCH 2026 Vol. 14 No. 1
This study applies an established social cost–benefit analysis (CBA), combined with sequential shock scenarios (COVID-19 and the post-2022 sanctions) and Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis, to evaluate the welfare robustness and recovery dynamics of the Pulkovo Airport PPP renovation project (St. Petersburg, Russia). Using traffic, operations, and cargo forecasts through 2040, we compare a pre-shock baseline ...
Added: May 17, 2026
Совершенствование методов оптимизации при многих критериях и адаптации выбора к предпочтениям ЛПР
Brodetskiy G., Gerami V., Shidlovskii I. et al., Транспорт: наука, техника, управление 2026 № 3 С. 3–8
В статье предложен специальный метод модификации процедур многокритериальной оптимизации. Он позволяет расширить набор критериев выбора, чтобы учитывать предпочтения лица, принимающего решения (ЛПР) как раз в моделях транспортного обеспечения работы цепей поставок. Реализуется изменение наклона направляющей для линий уровня критерия выбора в пространстве значений частных критериев (с нацеливанием выбора на утопическую точку). Разработаны и представлены требуемые ...
Added: May 17, 2026
Влияет ли финансовое состояние компаний на прогностическую точность DCF-модели?
Федоров Н. С., Финансовый журнал 2025 Т. 17 № 6 С. 99–112
The DCF model is one of the most commonly used models in valuing companies for investment deci sions. Nevertheless, estimating the accuracy of this model remains an important research question. This article presents an assessment of the accuracy of DCF model specifications based on analyzing the variance of fair share prices of companies listed on ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Предсказательная точность целевых цен акций: сравнение прогнозов аналитиков и машинного обучения
Федоров Н. С., Финансы и бизнес 2025 Т. 21 № 3 С. 34–50
Currently, the role of artificial intelligence is increasingly playing a significant role in various fields, including the increasing role of machine learning in finance. On the other hand, company valuation remains an important part of research due to its difficulty in correctly predicting the accuracy of target stock prices. This study provides an analysis of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Применение методов нечеткой логики для прогноза прочности древесно-минерального композита
Babkina T. S., Долматов С. Н., Системы. Методы. Технологии 2024 Т. 1 № 61 С. 80–85
Древесно-минеральные композиты являются перспективным строительным материалом. Сочетание высоких теплоизо-ляционных показателей, экологичности, простой технологии производства, возможности вовлечения в производство низко-товарной древесины и древесных отходов позволяет найти применение такой технологии в сфере гражданского и промышленного строительства. Древесина, являясь продуктом жизнедеятельности растительных клеток, в своем составе содержит сахара и водорастворимые вещества, ухудшающие условия набора прочности гидратируемых вяжущих и ...
Added: April 13, 2026
Разработка моделей для расчета задержек доступа к контенту с учетом кеширования в сетях NDN
Iakimenko S., Информационно-управляющие системы 2026 № 2 С. 36–48
Introduction: Caching reduces content access latency by bringing it closer to users and offloading the cloud layer of the network. Edge servers are used for this purpose, but the standard TCP/IP stack does not fully utilize caching capabilities. Therefore, it is necessary to consider a cache model using the Named Data Networking stack, which is ...
Added: March 9, 2026
Конкурсы образовательных инноваций как драйверы и институции сопровождения цифровых инициатив инноваторов в образовании
Глухов А. П., Синогина Е. С., Zagranichny A., Научно-педагогическое обозрение 2024 № 6(58) С. 50–62
The article examines the role of pedagogical innovation competitions as a mechanism for supporting and accompanying digital initiatives of teachers in the context of digitalization of education. Using the example of the Competition for Innovation in Education, the key areas of digital projects aimed at transforming educational practice are analyzed. The main categories of presented ...
Added: March 5, 2025
Агентная модель распространения банковской паники
Ramenskaya A., Фот Н. П., Яркова О. Н., В кн.: Имитационное моделирование. Теория и практика (ИММОД-2023). Сборник трудов одиннадцатой всероссийской научно-практической конференции по имитационному моделированию и его применению в науке и промышленности. Казань, 2023.: Каз.: Издательство АН РТ, 2023. С. 691–697.
Added: September 11, 2024
Имитационное моделирование процесса выдачи кредита в региональном коммерческом банке
Ramenskaya A., Яркова О. Н., Цифровая экономика 2022 № 2(18) С. 72–81
To form a strategy for managing the lending process and credit risk, analysts of a credit organization need to have tools for modeling the lending process, which allows not only to assess the effectiveness of the lending process in the current situation, but also to assess risks in a changing economic environment. The purpose of this study is to ...
Added: September 9, 2024
Simulation Modeling of Information Transfer Between Stock Exchanges Based on a Multi-Agent Model
Lukianchenko P., Интеллектуальные системы в производстве 2023 Т. 21 № 4 С. 88–94
. ...
Added: March 5, 2024
Разработка метода и определение нового условия безопасности движения в состоянии многопоточности на основе математического моделирования
Zykov S. V., Золотухина М. А., Золотухин С. А., Модели, системы, сети в экономике, технике, природе и обществе 2023 № 3 С. 98–114
Background. All attention is focused on reducing the number of accidents on an unfavorable section of the Altufyevsky highway in the area of 5 intersections. Such incidents become aggravating circumstances for nearby infrastructure facilities, such as: shopping malls, shops, cafes, there are also metro stations on a busy site. The endless flow of people and cars, public transport stops, ...
Added: November 2, 2023
Определение параметров скрытых угроз раннего обнаружения в информационных системах для задач машинного обучения
Золотухина М. А., Zykov S. V., Computational nanotechnology 2023 Т. 10 № 3 С. 83–91
The purpose of the analysis is to identify new signs in which there is a probability of the presence of components of hidden threats in the system or a forecast of possible states of inactivity of system modules. The diversity of the software used and the problems that arise at the same time are described. ...
Added: October 12, 2023
Количественная оценка эмоционального воздействия события на геолокацию с использованием анализа тональности текстов
Gaydamaka A., В кн.: Межвузовская научно-техническая конференция студентов, аспирантов и молодых специалистов имени Е.В. Арменского. Материалы конференции.: М.: МИЭМ НИУ ВШЭ, 2021.
В работе исследуется задача оценки эмоционального воздействия некоторого события на определенное местоположение с использованием постов пользователей социальных сетей. Найден метод применения анализа тональности текстов: анализ эмоций с привязкой к геолокации и событию. Построена модель применения и выполнен качественный анализ модели. ...
Added: September 8, 2023
Lower reversal limit of the European Central Bank deposit rate and sustainability of traditional banking business model
Gubareva M., Journal of Financial Economic Policy 2021 Vol. 13 No. 6 P. 686–697
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to present an empirical analysis of the European Central Bank (ECB) deposit rate dynamics during 2014–2020, attempting to answer how deep could be cut further this rate without causing persistent yield curve inversions (YCI), i.e. lower yields for longer terms. It addresses the sustainability of the traditional ...
Added: August 2, 2023
Architecture of a software system for designing robust business processes
Samoylova K., Zamyatina E., Proceedings of the Institute for System Programming of the RAS 2022 Vol. 34 No. 2 P. 67–76
Nowadays, in order for a company to remain competitive, efficient and attractive to investors it needs to have reliable and threat-resistant business processes. The question of methods for building such business processes remains relevant. This paper proposes a software system, which involves the use of methods and tools of DSM (Domain Specific Modeling), ontological approach, ...
Added: February 13, 2023
Управление проектами: учебник
Tsiteladze D., М.: ИНФРА-М, 2022.
The textbook summarizes modern concepts and approaches in the field of project management and is intended for studying courses on project management (Project Management). The textbook materials are based on the recommendations of the International Project Management Association IPMA (International Project Management Association) and the international standards ISO 21500 and ISO 21502. Complies with the requirements ...
Added: September 13, 2022
Lower reversal limit of the European Central Bank deposit rate and sustainability of traditional banking business model
Gubareva M., Journal of Financial Economic Policy 2021 Vol. 13 No. 6 P. 686–697
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to present an empirical analysis of the European Central Bank (ECB) deposit rate dynamics during 2014–2020, attempting to answer how deep could be cut further this rate without causing persistent yield curve inversions (YCI), i.e. lower yields for longer terms. It addresses the sustainability of the traditional ...
Added: December 7, 2021
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit