• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Анализ и прогнозирование политических кампаний
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
October 8, 2026
HSE Experts Take Part in 23rd Annual Meeting of Valdai Discussion Club
The 23rd Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club was held from September 28 to October 1, 2026 under the theme ‘Responsibility for the Future: Limits of the Possible, or Limitless Possibilities?’ The forum brought together 120 experts from 40 countries, including representatives of China, the United States, India, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Germany, Egypt, Iran, and Japan.
October 7, 2026
‘Our Team Consists of True Leaders in Their Respective Academic Disciplines
The HSE International Centre of Decision Choice and Analysis studies a wide range of methods for analysing decision-making and possible scenarios for the development of natural, socio-economic, and political phenomena using various mathematical models. The application of advanced mathematical methods to forecasting helps to prevent negative outcomes and avoid erroneous decisions. The HSE News Service spoke to the centre’s director, Prof. Fuad Aleskerov, about its work.
October 6, 2026
International N5 Symposium ‘Neural Networks and Nonlinearity in Nizhny Novgorod Brings Together Scientists from Russia and Serbia
The International N5 Symposium ‘Neural Networks and Nonlinearity in Nizhny Novgorod’ was held at the Nizhny Novgorod House of Scientists from September 23 to 26. The event was organised by HSE University–Nizhny Novgorod and the Nizhny Novgorod House of Scientists, with the participation of Sberbank and the Institute of Physics Belgrade. The symposium was held for the second time: the first conference took place in 2025 and attracted considerable interest from the academic community.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Анализ и прогнозирование политических кампаний

Вестник Московской школы политических исследований. 1996. № 5. С. 147–161.
Urnov M.
Research target: Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration Psychology Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology
Priority areas: sociology state and public administration law
Language: Russian
Keywords: политическое сознаниеполитический анализизбирательная кампанияполитические кампанииelection campaignсценарное прогнозированиеполитическое поведениеполитическое прогнозированиеpresidential elections of 1996situational analysismood of votersscenario forecastingpolitical behaviorpolitical forecastingpolitical campaignspolitical analysisПрезидентские выборы 1996 г.ситуационный анализнастроения избирателейполитический плюрализмметодика и техника политических исследованийметоды обработки и анализа социологической информацииполитические партии и общественные организации.социально-политические аспекты политических исследований
Similar publications
Греберианство: краткое социологическое изложение
Trotsuk I., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 3 С. 351–385
For the professional (in social sciences or humanities) reader David Graeber is a somewhat controversial figure. On the one hand, he is a remarkably successful foreign author in Russia: all his major books have been published in Russian, although his texts and reactions to them have been rather modestly represented in scientific journals. On the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Человеко-машинная система анализа и улучшения качества условий проживания населения
Aleskerov F. T., Вайншток А. П., Делахова А. М. et al., Информационные процессы 2026 Т. 26 № 3 С. 895–913
The development and effective management of territorial entities are priority issues for all states, particularly in the context of the digital transformation of public administration. Over the past decade, the integration of information technologies into municipal and regional planning has significantly altered approaches to strategic development, service delivery, and public engagement. This paper describes the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Как корабль назовут…
Petrovskiy V., Социальная психология и общество 2026 Т. 17 № 1 С. 183 – 186
The article discusses the paper by G.V. Akopov “Stages of categorical design of social psychology in Russia (on the 95th anniversary of B.D. Parygin)”, published in issue 2 (2025) of the journal “Social Psychology and Society”. ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Decoding social information from biological motion in the broad autism phenotype: an eye-tracking study
Gavrilova E., Novoselova K., Myachykov A. et al., Psychology. Journal of the Higher School of Economics 2026 Vol. 23 No. 3 P. 498–511
The term “broad autism phenotype” (BAP) refers to individuals who do not meet the diagnostic criteria for autism but share some of its features, including social difficulties and atypicalities in visual perception and attention that have been linked to a detail-oriented cognitive style. To examine both the cognitive and social aspects of BAP, we employed ...
Added: October 8, 2026
События «Арабской весны» в Марокко как частично успешный революционный эпизод
Коротаев А.В., Бурова А. Н., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 Vol. 122 No. 3 P. 160–178
The article analyzes the course and consequences of the events of the “Arab Spring” in Morocco and provides answers to two main questions: can these events be classified as a revolutionary episode, and, if so, was it successful, and to what extent? After examining the relevant historiography and comparing the approaches, concepts, and definitions of ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Динамика государственной политики обновления городской среды в России (2000–2020-е гг.): факторы институциональной изменчивости и стабильности
Stremoukhov D., Черников П. Е., Стародубцев А. В., Политическая наука 2026 № 3 С. 206–233
Over the past two decades, Russian urban renewal policy has evolved from fragmented and weakly demanded initiatives – such as Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Osvoenie Territorii, KOT) and Development of Built-Up Areas (Razvitie Zastroennykh Territorii, RZT) – toward the formation of a large-scale nationwide mechanism of Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Razvitie Territorii, KRT). This article ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Вышелейские эпифании: концептуальная пересборка случайной этнографии
Rozhdestvenskaya E., Abramov R., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 3 С. 244–274
The article presents an experimental study at the intersection of social anthropology and qualitative sociology. The empirical basis is a corpus of 18 short biographical sketches of collective farm peasant women from the village of Vysheley, Penza Region, created at the end of the Soviet period by school local historians and discovered by one of the authors during a ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Decision support system for improving the quality of life of the population
Aleskerov F. T., Chaika E., Дерендяев А. Б. et al., Procedia Computer Science 2026 No. 287 P. 590–595
Under conditions of dynamic socio-economic changes, effective planning and decision-making are key factors in ensuring a high quality of life for the population in territories. This paper presents a decision support system for territorial administrations for the development and implementation of sustainable development strategies, using one of the regions of the Russian Federation – the ...
Added: October 7, 2026
A Just War: From Principles of Theory to Factors of Ordinary Judgments
Gajiyev A., Deviatko I. F., Conflict Resolution Quarterly 2026
This paper explores the factors influencing ordinary judgments of justice in warfare, drawing primarily on normative theories of just war. By examining the alignment between the philosophical principles of just war and ordinary normative judgments, we explore the extent to which lay moral evaluations of war are shaped by the principles articulated in normative just ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Трансформация исследовательских компетенций в условиях междисциплинарности: запрос на новую модель подготовки научных кадров
Nefedova A., Shmatko N., Antonova E., Социологические исследования 2026 № 9 С. 52–69
This article analyzes the transformation of professional competencies of researchers in the context of growing interdisciplinarity and the digitalization of science. The aim of the study is to identify the structural gap between the normative expectations of the scientific community and the actual outcomes of the research personnel training system in Russia. The theoretical framework ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Цифровые платформы в России: состояние, экономические эффекты и перспективы развития
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Koshel A. et al., М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В научном докладе цифровые платформы впервые рассмотрены не как частный сегмент цифрового рынка, а как новый институциональный механизм организации экономики. В одной исследовательской рамке соединены экономика, право, социология, компьютерные науки, информационная безопасность, данные бизнеса и регуляторная практика — все то, что позволяет взглянуть на платформы как на институт со своими правилами игры. Особую ценность работе ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Кросс-культурная психология организационного поведения
Tatarko A., Юрайт, 2026.
Курс знакомит читателя с основными моделями национальной и организационной культуры, а также современными исследованиями в области кросс-культурных аспектов управления и лидерства. Особое внимание уделено практическим вопросам: отбор и подготовка экспатриантов, международный рекрутинг, кросс-культурный тренинг, работа поликультурных команд и мотивация персонала в международных компаниях. Читатель найдет ответ на ключевой вопрос: как учитывать межкультурные различия при управлении ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Систематический обзор факторов принятия искусственного интеллекта студентами высших учебных заведений: образовательный контекст
Мухамедкаримова Д. Ф., Умуркулова М. М., Galyapina V. N. et al., Вестник Карагандинского университета. Серия Педагогика 2026 Т. 31 № 3 С. 69–77
Currently, artificial intelligence occupies a solid place among traditional pedagogical technologies and approaches, which is the subject of widespread discussion among domestic and foreign scientists and researchers. This is because the introduction of AI into higher education, despite its high potential, faces a wide range of economic, social, and ethical obstacles. These include resistance to ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Беспилотные воздушные суда и государственный надзор: приватность, полномочия, технические риски
Diskin E., Прожерин Д. В., Теоретическая и прикладная юриспруденция 2026 Т. 29 № 3 С. 221–234
Introduction: Drawing on the legal orders of the United States, the European Union, and the Russian Federation, the article provides a comparative legal analysis of three regulatory models governing the use of unmanned aircraft (UA; drones, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)) by public authorities for government oversight: the U.S. model, based on a combination of aviation rules and ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Психологическая трансформационная игра как инструмент снижения тревожности
Сизикова Т. Э., Леонов С. В., Polikanova I., Национальный психологический журнал 2026 Т. 21 № 4 С. 79–89
Background. The relevance of this study is driven by the rapid increase in anxiety disorders in modern society. According to WHO data from 2021, 359 million people worldwide suffered from anxiety disorders. In psychological practice, there is a growing number of techniques being applied, including those aimed at reducing anxiety, but their effectiveness is not always scientifically proven. Thus, ...
Added: October 6, 2026
De Gruyter Handbook of Eurasian Societies
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives. This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Психометрические качества русскоязычной версии методики «Дифференциальный опросник переживания агентности» (Sense of Agency Scale)
Grishutina M. M., Kostenko V., Lebedeva A., Вопросы психологии 2025 Т. 71 № 4 С. 127–135
В русскоязычной психологической литературе конструкт «агентность» встречается редко и обычно отождествляется с понятием «субъектность». В англоязычном дискурсе при рассмотрении агентности изучают два аспекта: ее ощущение и оценку. Дифференциальный опросник переживания агентности (Sense of Agency Scale) А. Тапал и коллег – ДОПА – направлен на измерение общего ощущаемого контроля над собственными произвольными действиями. Целью текущего исследования ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Опросник репрезентаций Бога: адаптация на русскоязычной выборке
Ивашкевич Б. И., Dvoinin A., Kostenko V. et al., Психологический журнал 2026 Т. 47 № 3 С. 113–126
Целью исследования стала адаптация Опросника репрезентаций Бога (The Questionnaire of God Representations-17, QGR-17) на урссксязычный выборке. Опросник направлен на количественную оценку ментальных представлений и эмоциональных установок в отношении Бога. Общая выборка исследования включила 222 респондента в возрасте от 18 до 54 лет (M = 25.4, SD = 7.71), из которых 72.5% составили женщины, 43% идентифицировали ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMS‑HSE). Вып. 16
М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2026.
В шестнадцатом выпуске электронного издания «Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMSHSE)» представлены работы, подготовленные на основании данных лонгитюдного обследования домохозяйств «Российский мониторинг экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ» (РМЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ) за 1992–2024 гг. В выпуске рассматриваются динамика доходов и расходов российских домохозяйств, тенденции развития рынка труда, социальное самочувствие ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Vanishing Vanguard: Decline of Leadership in Revolutionary Mass Mobilization since the 19th Century
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series "SocArXiv". 2026.
“Leaderlessness” is widely held to be a defining feature of contemporary mass mobilization, yet the claim rests on a handful of recent cases. We offer the first systematic cross-national analysis of this phenomenon from 1791 to 2019. We show that the absence of leadership is real but older and more modest than claimed: the share ...
Added: August 29, 2026
Чужие среди своих: левые эсеры на выборах во Всероссийское Учредительное собрание
Концевой И. А., Петербургский исторический журнал: исследования по российской и всеобщей истории 2026 № 2 С. 98–110
The article examines the issue of a participation of the Left SRs in the elections of deputies to the All-Russian Constituent Assembly. Based on materials from the periodical press and archival documents, the election campaign of the Left Socialist Revolutionaries is examined and the main goals of the leaders of this political force are determined. ...
Added: June 17, 2026
How Universal is the Cool Water Effect? Evidence from the Unlikely Case of Russia
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Почему растущие доходы не делают людей счастливее: эмоциональное объяснение парадокса Истерлина (Why Growing Incomes Do Not Make People Happier: an Emotional Explanation of the Easterlin Paradox)
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Determinants of Сonsent to Personal Data Surveillance: Experimental Evidence from Russia
Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.
Rapid development of surveillance technologies is one of the most socially important consequences of the digital age. This paper investigates the factors determining consent to surveillance of various types  of  personal  data and contributes  to  rapidly  growing  research  on  citizens  perceptions  of surveillance practices. Relying on a comprehensive survey experiment, we study the effects of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit