?
Анализ и прогнозирование политических кампаний
Вестник Московской школы политических исследований. 1996. № 5. С. 147–161.
Research target:
Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration
Psychology
Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology
Language:
Russian
Keywords: политическое сознаниеполитический анализизбирательная кампанияполитические кампанииelection campaignсценарное прогнозированиеполитическое поведениеполитическое прогнозированиеpresidential elections of 1996situational analysismood of votersscenario forecastingpolitical behaviorpolitical forecastingpolitical campaignspolitical analysisПрезидентские выборы 1996 г.ситуационный анализнастроения избирателейполитический плюрализмметодика и техника политических исследованийметоды обработки и анализа социологической информацииполитические партии и общественные организации.социально-политические аспекты политических исследований
Almakaeva A., Мониторинг общественного мнения: Экономические и социальные перемены 2026 № 1 С. 3–16
This paper examines the benefits and drawbacks of longitudinal (panel) studies. It highlights their enormous potential for researching social transformations, individual life course, causal links, and the outcomes of different social and policy initiatives. Significant drawbacks of this design cover organizational and financial costs, panel attrition, panel conditioning and seam effects. The text describes several ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Medushevsky A. N., Liberal.ru 2026
The Liberal Mission Foundation continues to introduce readers to new concepts of democracy and relevant publications. This discussion focuses on the challenges facing democracy in the era of globalization, as addressed in two recent books: *The Backsliders: Why Leaders Undermine Their Own Democracies* by S.C. Stokes (2025) and *Critical Theories and the Postsocialist Challenge: Race, ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Medushevsky A. N., Liberal.ru 2026
Today, more than ever before, the contribution of new technologies shapes the conditions of humanity's existence as a biological species, prompting a debate about its prospects for survival. This process of transformation—which spans every sphere of social and moral regulation, from family relations and child-rearing to the very meaning of life—is dividing public opinion between ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Medushevsky A. N., Сравнительное конституционное обозрение 2026 Т. 35 № 2 (167) С. 4–29
In the context of the rapid changes in the modern world associated with globalization, informatiza tion, and the revision of ethical standards of mass behavior, legal theory faces a number of problems — the loss of consensus in understanding global constitutionalism, growing disagreements regard ing its values and principles, and unclear prospects for the future. ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Medushevsky A. N., Сравнительное конституционное обозрение 2026 Т. 35 № 1 С. 53–77
Judges should be independent of politics, yet they are constantly ensnared by it. Politics haunts judges even where the full scope of constitutional guarantees for the separation of powers and an in dependent judiciary is in place, infiltrating the courtroom through variable interpretations of the val ues, principles, and norms of the constitution, the selection ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Kotelnikov M., Пути России. Журнал cоциальных и этнографических исследований 2026 Т. 4 № 3 С. 80–95
The article examines strategies for avoiding unwanted verbal interactions with dog owners while walking dogs. The study is based on the author’s autoethnographic expe-rience and interviews with “introverted” dog owners. The discussion focuses on five tactics aimed at reducing the level of social discomfort of the “introverted dog owner”: actively com-menting on your dog’s actions, ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Medushevsky A. N., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2026 № 2 С. 146–164
It is generally accepted that the basis of social and legal stability in any society is a consensus on vir tue — the fundamental values of proper behavior, ways of maintaining and reproducing them. And, conversely, the destruction of this consensus is a sign of the loss of stability and divergence of positions of social ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Medushevsky A. N., Сравнительное конституционное обозрение 2025 Т. 34 № 4 С. 135–166
The communist morality created in the USSR to form a “new man” was based on a code of moral values that replaced traditional religious ideas with the ideological postulates of a one-party dictator ship. The crisis and collapse of this ideology in post-Soviet Russia led to the emergence of an “ethi cal vacuum” — moral ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Medushevsky A. N., Российская юстиция 2025 № 11 С. 14–25
Globalization has exacerbated the eternal conflict between law and ethics: should national laws be respected when they conflict with universal international principles of human rights; should the law-abiding attitude operate in the same way in democracies and authoritarian states, and calls for emancipation take into account the degree of internal freedom of society and its ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Nisnevich Y. A., Рябов А. В., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2026 № 3 С. 136–152
Th is article explores the transformation of global social space as a transition from a fragmented space
to a holistic one characterized by globality, openness, and inclusiveness, as well as the interconnectedness of the
globalization processes in cultural, economic, socio-communicative, and political spaces. Th e article identifi es the
specifi c features of globalization in each of these ...
Added: August 24, 2026
Lebedeva D., Journal of Consumer Culture 2026
Everyday routines are a key yet understudied mechanism by which young people embed pro-environmental concerns and values into their everyday lives. Drawing on structuration and practice theory, this paper examines how the routinization of environmental behaviour of modern youth occurs, that is, how and under what conditions it becomes a stable part of the everyday ...
Added: August 24, 2026
Концевой И. А., Петербургский исторический журнал: исследования по российской и всеобщей истории 2026 № 2 С. 98–110
The article examines the issue of a participation of the Left SRs in the elections of deputies to the All-Russian Constituent Assembly. Based on materials from the periodical press and archival documents, the election campaign of the Left Socialist Revolutionaries is examined and the main goals of the leaders of this political force are determined. ...
Added: June 17, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.
Rapid development of surveillance technologies is one of the most socially important consequences of the digital age. This paper investigates the factors determining consent to surveillance of various types of personal data and contributes to rapidly growing research on citizens perceptions of surveillance practices. Relying on a comprehensive survey experiment, we study the effects of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Карцева М. А., Peresetsky A., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2026. № WP2/2026/01.
This study examines the association between health status among elderly individuals living alone and pet ownership (cats, dogs). We employ data from the “Time Use Survey” conducted by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) in 2019, which contains information on more than 10,000 elderly individuals living alone aged 60 or older in Russia, including data ...
Added: May 8, 2026
Дощатов А. А., / Экономические исследования и разработки. Серия А1 "Региональная экономика". 2026. № 5.
в научной статье анализируются проблемы управления промышленным развитием субъектов Российской Федерации в условиях реализации национальных проектов технологического лидерства. Установлена выраженная территориальная концентрация федеральных инвестиций и результатов нацпроектов в Москве, Московской области, Свердловской области, Санкт-Петербурге, Новосибирской области и Республике Татарстан. Обнаружены три системных дефицита методологического обеспечения: отсутствие эмпирических моделей корреляции капиталовложений и динамики индекса промышленного производства
на ...
Added: May 5, 2026
Mitrofanov S. V., Конкурентоспособность в глобальном мире: экономика, наука, технологии 2025 № 11 С. 139–148
В статье представлен системный анализ структурного несоответствия между системой профессионального образования и потребностями рынка труда в агропромышленном комплексе (АПК) России в условиях цифровой трансформации. На основе официальной статистики за 2013-2023 гг. и сценарного прогнозирования до 2035 года выявлены ключевые диспропорции в подготовке кадров: низкая привлекательность аграрных специальностей (подтверждённая средними баллами ЕГЭ), массовый отток выпускников из ...
Added: April 19, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Isakov V., Гражданин. Выборы. Власть 2024 № 2(23) С. 150–171
The essay describes the elections of People's Deputies of the USSR, which took place in Sverdlovsk (now Yekaterinburg) in 1989. These were the last national elections of representative bodies in the USSR. In these elections, the author ran as a candidate for People's Deputies of the USSR, but was not elected. The essay was first ...
Added: February 23, 2026
Borushkina S., Gorodnichev A., / Elsevier. Серия -- "WPS". 2026.
Agglomeration policy has long been a widely accepted approach in spatial development, premised on
the assumption that large, integrated city-regions drive national economic growth through higher
productivity, innovation, and global integration. This paper examines how this paradigm is reworked
under conditions of polycrisis, understood as a durable state of overlapping and mutually reinforcing
economic, geopolitical, and institutional crises. Focusing ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Dorkhanov I., Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
This study investigates the relationship between individual religiosity and attitudes towards immigrants of different religious backgrounds in Europe. Using data from the 7th wave of the European Social Survey (2014-2015), we examine the influence of individual denomination and subjective religiosity level on hostility towards Muslim immigrants and the importance of immigrants’ Christian background. Our analysis, ...
Added: December 23, 2025
Nastina E., Sokolov B., / Series OSF "SocArXiv". 2025.
We argue that a classification-based approach to measuring cultural differences across countries or subnational regions is a promising complement, and sometimes an alternative, to the widely used dimensional method in cross-cultural research. The latter summarises cultural variation using continuous dimensions, for example, Hofstede’s famous individualism-collectivism dimension. However, this approach relies on strong parametric assumptions, which are ...
Added: December 23, 2025