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Революционные события в Мали (1960–2021 гг.)
Гл. 12. С. 329–370.
In book
Т. 12: Революционные процессы в афразийской макрозоне нестабильности и их глобальный контекст. , Издательство "Учитель", 2021.
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series "SocArXiv". 2026.
“Leaderlessness” is widely held to be a defining feature of contemporary mass mobilization, yet the claim rests on a handful of recent cases. We offer the first systematic cross-national analysis of this phenomenon from 1791 to 2019. We show that the absence of leadership is real but older and more modest than claimed: the share ...
Added: August 29, 2026
Korotayev A., Guseinov R., Ustyuzhanin V., Political Studies Review 2026 P. 1–22
In recent years, a kind of “Berlin Wall” has emerged between the study of “revolutions” and “maximalist campaigns.” Although scholars in these two traditions analyze closely related phenomena, they use different terminology, bodies of literature, and empirical conventions. We argue that this separation is analytically costly and prevents fruitful dialogue. On one hand, this leads ...
Added: August 8, 2026
Амара Д., Degterev D. A., Эгамов Б., Проблемы национальной стратегии 2022 № 2(71) С. 76–101
The article presents an analysis of the UN personnel, engaged in African peacekeeping operations, from the perspective of emerging blocks of the «collective West» and the «collective non-West». The rationale for choosing the UN African peacekeeping missions as the subject for the study is that they are the most numerous, multi-format, expensive, and lethal ones ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Talking about the [same] revolution? A comparative analysis of main datasets of revolutionary events
Guseinov R., Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., Defence and peace economics 2026 P. 1–31
We conduct a comparative analysis of the main datasets on revolutionary events, including The Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns and Outcomes (NAVCO, versions 1.3 and 2.1), Cross-National Time-Series (CNTS), Revolutionary Episodes Dataset by Mark Beissinger, Revolutionary Database by HSE University (CSRA), and Historical Regime Data (HRD). To compare these sources systematically, we develop several complementary empirical instruments designed to identify and interpret differences across datasets. We ...
Added: July 17, 2026
Degterev D. A., Draganova D., Sychev I. et al., , in: Internet and Modern Society. 28th International Conference, IMS 2025, St. Petersburg, Russia, June 23–25, 2025, Proceedings, Part I. (CCIS, volume 2671).: Springer, 2025. Ch. 25 P. 338–350.
This article examines the digital activity and informal communication networks of the Tuareg separatist movement, the Azawad Liberation Front, on the platform X. By analyzing a dataset comprising 18,335 posts through methods of hashtag and mention network analysis, as well as engagement metrics, the authors identify key characteristics of the movement’s media strategies from May ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Гусейнов Р. И., Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 20 № 2 С. 15–27
This paper investigates the relationship between fiscal stability and revolutionary onsets. Classic researchers of revolutions, such as Jack Goldstone, have provided theoretical arguments for the importance of fiscal factors, but any substantial quantitative cross-national large-n research has not been conducted yet. Logistic regression analysis with an interaction term that we have performed confirms our main ...
Added: July 2, 2026
Zhdanov A., Korotayev A., Социология власти 2026 Т. 38 № 2 С. 118–167
Imagining a cosmic future touches on many topics — but typically avoids the topic of death, burial, and attitudes toward deceased ancestors. Most of these developments concern life-support systems. This article analyzes the debate between American anthropologist Elizabeth Povinelli and Russian cosmists. The subject of this debate is immortality and attitudes toward ancestors in the ...
Added: June 29, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., Korotayev A., Conflict Management and Peace Science 2026 P. 1–23
In the field of civil war studies, there is a consensus that the risk of war decreases as income increases. Nevertheless, such consensus has not been reached in the field of civil resistance and unarmed revolutions. This paper proposes a curvilinear framework positing two opposite trends in economic development. On the one hand, it increases ...
Added: April 21, 2026
Вадим Устюжанин, Дмитрий Семичев, Леонид Гринин et al., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 1 С. 9–61
The revolutionary process in the 21st century has undergone significant changes, and with the destabilization of democracy and the transformation of the world order, the number of revolutionary episodes has only increased, acquiring new goals and forms. In the countries of the Global South, as the population grew, millions of people began to come out ...
Added: March 25, 2026
Entina E., Pivovarenko A., Nadzharov A. et al., М.: Фонд Горчакова, 2025.
В теоретическом отношении ставится задача сравнения практик управления двумя периферийными регионами — Балканским полуостровом (Юго-Восточная Европа) и Сахелем (Западная Африка) — с выявлением общего и особенного в области политических, экономических и социальных практик, связанных с влиянием Запада.
В прикладном отношении задачей проекта является выявление перспективных тенденций, связанных с западным военным присутствием. Представляется, что исчерпание ресурсов в ...
Added: February 12, 2026
Islamov D., Сравнительная политика 2025 Т. 16 № 2 С. 146–166
In the early 2020s, the countries of the “Sahel Trio” (Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger) experienced a series of military coups, bringing elite groups to power, including those utilizing anti-Western narratives. This created an opportunity for non-Western actors to expand their influence in the Sahel, which the Republic of Türkiye is most dynamically seeking to capitalize ...
Added: October 21, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2025. No. 1.
This article aims to shed light on the economic consequences of the nonviolent campaigns (NVCs) across the world. The current era is shaped with various political transformations that are often driven by political movements that engage in NVCs. Some of them are successful and result in regime change while others fail and are unable to ...
Added: September 12, 2025
Armah-Ansah E. K., Budu E., Oga-Omenka C. et al., Archives of Public Health 2025 Vol. 83 Article 201
Background Even though widespread attempts have been made to halve the incidence of anemia by 2025, the prevalence remains alarmingly high among women of reproductive age in Africa. The government of Mali has underscored the necessity for a multi-sectoral approach to reducing the anemia burden. However, no studies have considered the trends and factors associated ...
Added: July 31, 2025
Fain, Egor, Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution UC Riverside 2024 Vol. 15 P. 106–120
A Review Essay on Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change edited by Jack A. Goldstone, Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev (Springer International Publishing, 2022)& New Wave of Revolutions in the MENA Region: A Comparative Perspective edited by Leonid Issaev and ...
Added: January 31, 2025
Korotayev A., Egor Fain, Ustyuzhanin V. et al., Critical Sociology 2025 Vol. 51 No. 4-5 P. 659–677
This article is the final part of our systematic review of the substantive findings of fifth-generation revolution studies, building on the examination of the emergence and characteristics of this generation contained in the first article in the series. Our systematic review is divided into two parts. In this second and final part, the following areas ...
Added: January 30, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Fain E., Korotayev A., Экономическая социология 2025 Т. 26 № 1 С. 52–89
The article tests several hypotheses about the impact of wealth and income inequality, as well as inequality in human capital, on the risks of armed and unarmed revolutions. Using the revolutionary destabilization database from the Center for Stability and Risk Analysis (CSRA) at HSE University, along with data collected by Mark Beissinger, the study analyzes ...
Added: January 29, 2025
Nadzharov A., Мелоян Т. Х., Россия в глобальной политике 2025
Сохранение российского военного присутствия в Сирии остаётся центральным вопросом для Москвы в рамках ближневосточного вектора внешней политики. Авиабаза в Хмеймиме и порт Тартус представляют собой ключевые точки российского проецирования силы на Ближнем Востоке и в Сахеле. Стоит рассмотреть возможность создания новых маршрутов, в частности через Сенегал, Гвинею, Экваториальную Гвинею. Не менее важно прагматично выстроить политику в ...
Added: January 9, 2025
Korotayev A., Ustyuzhanin V., Grinin L. E. et al., / Series " ". 2024.
There are grounds for stating that in the 21st century a new ("fifth") generation of revolution studies has emerged. It can be noted that the characteristics of this generation are: a tendency towards a macro approach (both in the historical and geographical sense) together with a systemic approach; the research of separate important types of ...
Added: September 15, 2024
Ustyuzhanin V., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2024.
In the field of civil war studies, there is now a consensus that the risk of war decreases as average income increases. Nevertheless, such consensus has not been reached in the field of unarmed revolutions, which dominate the revolutionary process of our time. This can be explained by the fact that the researchers assumed a ...
Added: June 10, 2024
Nadzharov A., Международная аналитика 2023 Т. 14 № 2 С. 166–182
На протяжении ста лет с момента французской колонизации Чада и Нигера ливийский регион Феццан играл значительную роль во французской стратегии на ливийском направлении. Определяющим фактором в значении региона для политики Парижа стали транснациональные процессы феццанского приграничья. Этническая близость Феццана и северных регионов сахельских стран была катализатором франко-ливийских столкновений в Чаде в 1900-е гг., когда колонизаторы столкнулись с сопротивлением ордена ...
Added: May 28, 2024
Nadzharov A., Entina E., Международная аналитика 2023 Т. 14 № 3 С. 74–92
С начала прошлого десятилетия Европейский союз активно вовлечен в политические процессы в Сахеле. Регион, в котором расположены беднейшие страны мира, стал приоритетом внешней политики Брюсселя во многом из-за европейского миграционного кризиса (2014–2015). Через дестабилизированный транснациональным терроризмом регион в Европу стремились сотни тысяч человек. В ответ на это ЕС начал выстраивать комплексную систему управления миграционными потоками: ...
Added: May 28, 2024
Крестьянников Е. А., Вестник Томского государственного университета. История 2016 № 6(44) С. 162–163
Оценивается работа тюменского историка А.А.Кононенко, посвященная жизни города Тюмени в переломную эпоху ...
Added: February 11, 2024