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Справа налево. Аргентина и кризис 2001–2002 годов
Россия в глобальной политике. 2021. Т. 19. № 1 (107). С. 243-253.
The article examines the most important crisis in the history of Argentina.
Akaev A., Sadovnichii V. A., Korotayev A. et al., М. : Институт социально-политических исследований РАН, 2012
В данной книге авторы предлагают новую методологию долгосрочного социально-экономического моделирования и прогнозирования, основанную на кондратьевских больших циклах экономической конъюнктуры. Использование методологии позволяет обнаружить точки кризисов, рецессий и бифуркаций и тем самым повышает точность и надежность прогноза. Методология применяется для системного анализа мировой динамики и построения сценариев развития России. ...
Added: October 22, 2014
Яковлев П. П., Яковлева Н. М., Пятаков А. Н. et al., М. : ИЛА РАН, 2015
Монография подготовлена в рамках поддержанного РГНФ научного проекта № 15-0700019 и приурочена к 130-летнему юбилею установления российско-аргентинских дипломатических отношений. Ее задача – показать траекторию развития сотрудничества между нашей страной и Аргентиной, оценить возможности практического наполнения концепции всеобъемлющего стратегического партнерства, проанализировать приоритетные направления двустороннего сотрудничества, очертить перспективы эффективного взаимодействия. Издание носит аналитический характер и предназначено для ...
Added: November 24, 2015
Sheresheva M. Y., Peresvetov S. B., Journal of Entrepreneurship & Innovation 2012 Vol. IV No. 4 P. 1-19
The purpose of the paper is to acquire a better understanding of the impact that inter-firm relationships exert on the survivability of Russian firms in the uncertain conditions of crisis and on the firm’s ability to innovate. Based on survey data gained from Russian CEOs in 2010, the paper discusses developments in the Russian market ...
Added: December 17, 2012
Abylkalikov S., Латинская Америка 2018 № 9 С. 69-80
The article is devoted to the analysis of internal and external migration processes in Venezuela, using the statistics of population censuses about migrants stock. The country has both quite typical for the Latin American countries, as well as some unique features of migration. Despite the attempts to implement regional development programs, there is a concentration ...
Added: September 20, 2018
Bessonov V. A., Petronevich A., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2013 Т. 17 № 4 С. 554-584
The analysis of short-term tendency of economic dynamics can be performed on seasonally adjusted data only. This implies that each time series is to be transformed in two: the seasonal component and the remaining part. The result of such decomposition depends on the specific features of the seasonal adjustment algorithm. Most uncertainty is expected within ...
Added: November 15, 2013
Peiris U., Sokolova A., Tsomocos D., / University of Oxford. Series Saïd Business School "WP 2017". 2017. No. 03.
The post-2008 period focused attention on "twin-crises". Banking crises may lead to sovereign crises where fiscal vulnerabilities are exacerbated by the extension of support for the banking system. We develop a model that describes private sector generated capital inflow that is used to finance investment and consumption expenditure. In the event of an economic contraction, ...
Added: November 28, 2017
Ozhegov E. M., / Высшая школа экономики. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2014. No. WP BRP 31/FE/2014.
This paper analyzes the mortgage borrowing process from a Russian state-owned provider of residential housing mortgages concentrating on the choice of having government insurance. This analysis takes into account the underwriting process and the choice of loan limit by the bank, the choice of contract terms and the performance of all loans issued from 2008 ...
Added: June 17, 2014
Bessonov V. A., Petronevich A., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2013. № WP2/2013/04.
The paper analyzes aberrations that appear as a side-effect of seasonal adjustment when applied to time series of economic data in the neighborhood of an abrupt change in level, the pattern of dynamics that was typical for economic crises. Under these circumstances the standard algorithms of seasonal adjustment are shown to be able to produce ...
Added: September 30, 2013
Bessonov V. A., Вопросы статистики 2016 № 10 С. 12-21
The article examines problems related to the measurement of Russian inflation that lead to distorted perception of economic reality which economic agents have. The authors discuss recent changes in methods for constructing the Russian consumer price index (CPI) and the effect this will have on the economic policy. The change in the information base upon ...
Added: October 16, 2016
Deari F., Lakshina V. V., Lapshina K., Journal of Economic Studies 2020 Vol. 47 No. 2 P. 351-365
Purpose – The purpose of this study is to empirically test the hypothesis about substitution of trade and bank credits during the crisis period among 1570 firms from 16 developing countries.
Design/methodology/approach – The study examines the dynamics of trade credits, following previous studies with special emphasis on (Love et al., 2007). The foregoing methodology was ...
Added: February 4, 2019
Zavertiaeva M. A., Parshakov P., / Высшая школа экономики. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2013. No. 25.
In the era of the knowledge economy intangibles are recognized by investors as pivotal value drivers. Previous research of portfolio forming methods based on intangibles is limited by taking into account only the quantity of intangibles. We propose a tool to select companies able to create knowledge (in contrast to the absorption of knowledge), which ...
Added: February 6, 2014
Галицкая Н. В., Вестник АКСОР 2011 № 3 С. 232-238
Crisis as a phase of an economic cycle is of most interest. Study of crises in historical retrospective is necessary for understanding of the main mechanisms, regularities and causes of crisis phenomena. The article deals with the history of the world economic crises and classification of their causes. ...
Added: October 9, 2012
Pestova A., / Высшая школа экономики. Series EC "Economics". 2014.
The main objective of this paper is to develop leading indicators of business cycle turning points for OECD countries and Russia, in order to reveal common factors of their macroeconomic processes over a long period of time. To predict cycle turning points, leading indicator models with a discrete dependent variable reflecting a business cycle phase ...
Added: February 20, 2014
Прокудина Е. Б., Банковские услуги 2010 № 10 С. 13-20
Argentina, the second largest country in Latin America, hardly recovered form the recession of the year 2001, faces the crisis again in 2008. First of all, the crisis affected the credit and banking sphere of the country, reducing the volumes of credit and deposit. But during the crisis, Argentina managed to carry out the restructuring ...
Added: October 4, 2012
Dagaev A. A., Экономические стратегии 2014 № 10 С. 46-53
Статистические данные Международного валютного фонда для 12 стран еврозоны проанализированы с целью оценки степени синхронности изменения под влиянием кризиса таких макроэкономических показателей, как темпы роста ВВП, размер государственного долга, уровень инфляции, уровень безработицы и счет текущих операций. Для количественной оценки наблюдавшихся изменений рассчитаны значения коэффициента конкордации Кендалла за равные промежутки времени до и после начала ...
Added: February 20, 2015
Marina Oskolkova, Parshakov P., / Высшая школа экономики. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2013.
In the era of knowledge economy intangibles are recognized by investors as pivotal value drivers. Previous research of portfolio forming methods based on intangibles are limited by taking into account only the quantity of intangibles. We propose a tool to select companies able to knowledge creation (contrast with knowledge absorption), which is a quality of ...
Added: November 11, 2013
Shakina E., Barajas A., / Высшая школа экономики. Series MAN "Management". 2014. No. WP BRP 17/MAN/2014.
This study investigates factors of corporate success over the crisis period of 2008-2009. We advocate the idea that investments in intangibles allow a company to be better off, even if the markets go down. The hypothesis put forward in this paper was tested on a sample of more than 300 companies which operate in developed ...
Added: March 17, 2014
Порошина Агата Максимовна, Управление экономическими системами: электронный научный журнал 2012 № 12
В статье раскрыта проблема моделирования кредитного риска на рынке ипотечного кредитования и представлен обзор соответствующих эмпирических работ. Выделены ключевые события, оказавшие влияние на формирование подходов к моделированию процесса принятия решения на рынке ипотечного кредитования, такие как развитие теории поведения потребителей, институциональной экономики, теории портфельных инвестиции, а позднее ипотечного кризиса в США в 2007-2009 гг., а ...
Added: December 25, 2012
Anikin V. A., Вестник Института социологии 2018 Т. 27 № 4 С. 44-63
his article1 examines shifts when it comes to employment among Russians during the financial-economic crisis years of 2014–2016, as well as during the years 2017–2018, which Russian scientists have already named the “period of negative post-crisis stabilization”. This article for the most part confirms said thesis. Despite obvious success in certain aspects (for example, unemployment around ...
Added: October 20, 2018
Karminsky A. M., Kostrov A., Murzenkov T., Финансовая аналитика: проблемы и решения 2012 № 41(131) С. 2-13
В соответствии с Базельскими соглашениями одной из перспективных задач риск-менеджмента является совершенствование моделей вероятности дефолта. Авторы исследуют влияние на вероятность дефолта российских банков финансовых факторов, уделяя особое внимание расширению горизонта исследования и нелинейностям по объясняющим переменным. Проведен анализ адекватности модели. Отмечено, что учет нелинейностей по относительным финансовым переменным существенно улучшает качество модели. Выделены объясняющие переменные, ...
Added: December 7, 2012
Anna A. Bykova, / Basic Research Programme. Series HUM "Humanities". 2013.
Using bibliographic records from Web of Science and Scopus, this paper tries to give a complete view of the economic crisis topic based on literature published from 2008 to 2012. This is a descriptive survey using scientometric indicators. This paper presents a quantitative study of productivity, characteristics and various aspects of publications in the field ...
Added: November 25, 2013
Shakina E., Barajas A., Journal of Knowledge Management 2012
This study investigates corporate success factors over the crisis period. We seek to advocate the idea that investments in intangibles allow a company to be better off, even if the markets go down. The hypothesis put forward in this paper was tested on a sample of more than 300 enterprises. These companies operate in developed ...
Added: October 24, 2012
Волконская Н. А., Dukhnovskiy F., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2020 № 36-37 С. 184-189
Corporate social responsibility is one of the mechanisms for improving the image of companies and fulfilling their social mission. The authors define CSR as a voluntary activity of a company aimed at integrating social, environmental, legal and ethical issues into the corporate culture, structure of business operations and interaction with stakeholders. The article discusses the ...
Added: October 22, 2020
Mariya T., Финансы и бизнес 2021 Т. 17 № 1 С. 52-76
Nowadays there are few researches which investigate the pricing methods for structured products which depend on several underlying assets and no researches devoted to this topic in the case of Russian market. The aim of this article is to estimate fair value of first-to-default structured notes based on Russian issuers CDS and to conclude is ...
Added: October 20, 2020