• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Book chapter
  • The Twenty-First-Century Singularity in the Big History Perspective: An Overview
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
July 8, 2026
HSE Researchers Discover Who Eats Out in Russia-And Why
Around one-third of Russians (31.3%) rarely eat out or buy ready-made meals. The core group of active consumers—those who eat out or purchase prepared food almost every day or several times a week—accounts for only about 9% of the population. These are the findings of a study conducted by the HSE Institute for Social Policy. According to the researchers eating out is no longer a marker of high social status in Russia.
July 8, 2026
HSE University and RREDA Join Forces to Support 2026 Renewable Energy of the Planet Competition
HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.
July 6, 2026
Ancient Craniiform Brachiopod: A Newly Discovered Species with a Unique Shell Shape and Lifestyle
Scientists from HSE University, MSU, and Tallinn University of Technology have studied a fossil species of ancient brachiopods that lived in a warm sea in what is now northern Estonia more than 445 million years ago. These ancient brachiopods developed a cup-shaped shell with a protective 'cap' that shielded them from overgrowth by other marine organisms. The study has been published in Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

The Twenty-First-Century Singularity in the Big History Perspective: An Overview

Ch. 1. P. 1–18.
Panov A., LePoire D., Korotayev A.

This introductory chapter discusses the overall place of the twenty-first-century Singularity within the overall Big History. It is shown that to place the accelerating trend of complexity in the context of Big History, we need to distinguish the two forms (arms) of megaevolution so far in the universe. The first arm of evolution is the decelerating development of physical matter and energy into galaxies, stars, and planets from the initial Big Bang. The second arm of evolution is the accelerating rate of complexity evolution in the form of life, humans, and civilizations, which is the main concern of this book. The book is organized to present these historical megatrends, models, interpretations, future scenarios, and more philosophical questions along with the realization and debate about their limitations and uncertainty.

Language: English
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: singularitycivilizationBig Historymegaevolutionhistorical megatrends

In book

The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures. A Big History Perspective
The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures. A Big History Perspective
Switzerland: Springer, 2020.
Similar publications
“Clash of masculinities”? Gendering Russian-Western relations in popular geopolitics
Рябова Т. Б., , in: Russia as Civilization: Ideological Discourses in Politics, Media and Academia.: L.: Routledge, 2020. P. 115–141.
Tatiana Riabova analyzes textual and visual representations of the idea of “clash of civilizations” in Russian, Western European, and American online media focusing on gendered textual and visual discourses about Russia-Western relations. Drawing on theories of masculinity and popular geopolitics, she shows how gendered perceptions of the “other” are reshaped and reinforced in the Russian-Western ...
Added: March 29, 2026
Complexity in Big History. An Introductory Exploration
LePoire D., Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Journal of Big History 2025 Vol. 8 No. 3 P. 98–139
Building on foundational work in systems theory, thermodynamics, and evolutionary theory, this paper argues that complexity can serve as a conceptual bridge across disciplines. It explores the role of complexity dynamics in Big History through an integrative theoretical framework that spans physical, chemical, geological, biological, social, cognitive, and civilizational domains. By examining how complexity emerges, ...
Added: November 1, 2025
Мир стоит на пороге эпохи технологической сингулярности. Как изменятся тренды базовых глобальных процессов и эволюция человечества
Akaev A., Ильин И. В., Korotayev A., Вестник Российской академии наук 2025 № 9 С. 3–15
The article examines the likelihood of creating artificial intelligence (AI) at the human level (“human intelligence level”, AGI) by 2027-2029 and the onset of the era of technological singularity, when a fundamental change in the mechanism of human evolution will occur. It is noted that this probability is close to one, since these dates surprisingly ...
Added: October 28, 2025
Изменение научно-технической активности в процессе жизненного цикла разных цивилизаций. Предварительный сравнительный анализ шести цивилизаций с древнейших времен до нового времени
Korotayev A., Гринин А. Л., Grinin L. E. et al., Философия и общество 2025 № 1 С. 5–41
This article aims to explore the relationship between the development of civilizations and the dynamics of scientific and technological progress. For this purpose, a preliminary study of the dynamics of scientific- technological activity during the life cycle of six civilizations of Antiquity and the Middle Ages (Mesopotamian, Ancient Egyptian, Ancient, Chinese, medieval European and Islamic). ...
Added: June 3, 2025
Conclusions: Exploring Big History Periodizations Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions with Ideas for Further Research
LePoire D., Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Navigating Complexity in Big History. Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions.: Springer, 2025. P. 495–525.
This volume, “Navigating Complexity in Big History—Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions” explores the aspects and proposals for periodization of Big History. This includes considering cross-cutting aspects of measuring complexity (e.g., energy, information, or a combination), considering different mechanisms of natural selection, developing a set of criteria to base the evaluation of frameworks, and ...
Added: May 12, 2025
Comparing and Contrasting Big History Singularity Trends of the Big Bang and Terrestrial Evolution
Korotayev A., , in: Navigating Complexity in Big History. Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions.: Springer, 2025. P. 101–157.
The point that within the Big History the decelerating growth of complexity in the Universe observed after the Big Bang can be contrasted with the accelerating growth of complexity traced on our planet for four billion years after the emergence of life on the Earth has been already noticed on quite a number of occasions. ...
Added: May 12, 2025
Possible Methodological Ideas for Periodizing Big History
Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Navigating Complexity in Big History. Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions.: Springer, 2025. P. 49–71.
“The effort to understand the universe is one of the very few things which lifts human life a little above the level of farce and gives it some of the grace of tragedy”. These words of Nobel laureate Steven Weinberg undoubtedly deserve attention, although they dramatize the origins of interest in the problems of the Universe. ...
Added: May 12, 2025
Navigating Complexity in Big History—Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions: An Introduction
LePoire D., Leonid Grinin, Andrey Korotayev, , in: Navigating Complexity in Big History. Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions.: Springer, 2025. P. 1–27.
Not so many would argue with identifying complexity as a central concept in Big History and universal evolutionism. It is partly because, perhaps, today, many of us are convinced that not only our world but Universe itself is in a state of major change, and the awareness that we are living in a period of ...
Added: May 12, 2025
Navigating Complexity in Big History. Exploring Periodization Across Cosmic and Biosocial Dimensions
David J. L., L. Grinin, Korotayev A., Springer, 2025.
In the editors’ introduction (Chapter 1), the effort to periodize is placed within the historical context along with considerations from complexity science. Subsequent chapters explore various aspects of periodization and complexity by (a) identifying symmetrical cosmic and biosocial trends, (b) testing rigor and criteria for evaluating periodization, (c) attempting to integrate different approaches through multiple ...
Added: May 12, 2025
Rethinking medieval margins and marginality: edited by Ann E. Zimo, Tiffany D. Vann Sprecher, Kathryn Ryerson, Debra Blumenthal, London and New York, Routledge, 2020, 272 pp., $48.95 (paperback), ISBN 9780367439569
Asatryan G., Kalpakian J., Rethinking History 2022 Vol. 26 No. 1 P. 116–118
For a serious academic work, this book is very enjoyable and can be said to have appeal beyond its expected academic readership. It takes analytical categories used to understand the present and looks at how they were applied in the past and how Medieval people, primarily but not exclusively in Europe, understood them. Specifically, the ...
Added: February 22, 2025
Complexity Growth Patterns in the Stelliferous Era of Big History. Preliminary Observations
Korotayev A., LePoire D., Journal of Big History 2025 Vol. 8 No. 1 P. 1–12
A previous study compared the symmetries of the cooling after the Big Bang and the development of life, humans, and civilization on Earth. A simple model of the relative rates of change depicts two cones joined at their bases representing the Big Bang expansion and the acceleration of complexity development on earth through life evolution, ...
Added: January 28, 2025
Цивилизация: многозвучие смыслов. Memoria
М.: Центр гуманитарных инициатив, 2023.
В книгу, посвященную осмыслению феномена цивилизации, включены фундаментальные работы известных философов, внесших свой вклад в исследование проблемы, интерес к которой обусловлен актуализацией размышлений о судьбе цивилизации, культуры, общества в эпоху глобальных перемен. Этим объясняется внимание исследователей к обсуждению планетарного характера цивилизационных изменений, общей динамики мирового исторического процесса и места в нем России. Осевой проблемой, которая ...
Added: January 28, 2024
HISTORY & MATHEMATICS. HISTORICAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL DYNAMICS: FACTORS, CYCLES, AND TRENDS
Volgograd: Uchitel Publishing House, 2022.
The present Yearbook is subtitled Historical and Technological Dynamics: Factors, Cycles, and Trends. Its articles demonstrate different forms, patterns, and modes of evolutionary development of societies and their subsystems both over very long periods (in fact, the whole historical process) and over relatively short time intervals. We believe that without an in-depth analysis of the ...
Added: December 14, 2022
Размышления об "антропологии времени" и режимах темпоральности: реплики к дискуссии
Агапов М. Г., Васильева З. С., Карасева А. И. et al., Этнографическое обозрение 2021 № 6 С. 102–116
© 2021, Russian Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.This is a forum discussion of the article “The Anthropology of Time: History and the State of the Art” by Nikolai Ssorin-Chaikov. Authors explicate the article’s main argument and critically engage with its main points, particularly with the concept of temporal multiplicity and relations within it. In ...
Added: October 29, 2022
У истоков «русского северянства»: споры о Ломоносове (первая треть XIX в.: Мерзляков, Грибоедов, Бестужев-Марлинский)
Kara-Murza A., Полилог 2022 Т. 6 № 2 Статья 1
The article continues the study of the issue of the formation of the historiosophical and culturological concept "Russia as the North", born to a large extent in connection with the philosophical understanding of the life and work of the Russian scientist and poet Mikhail Lomonosov. The author believes that a significant contribution to this process ...
Added: October 9, 2022
У истоков «русского северянства»: споры о Ломоносове (конец XVIII – начало XIX вв.: Муравьев, Карамзин, Батюшков)
Kara-Murza A., Полилог 2022 Т. 6
The article examines the issue of the formation of the historiosophical and culturological concept "Russia as the North", born to a large extent in connection with the philosophical understanding of the life and work of the Russian scientist and poet Mikhail Lomonosov. The author believes that a significant contribution to this process of Russian self-identification ...
Added: May 5, 2022
Civilizations and World Order
Chebankova E., Dutkiewicz P., Lane D. et al., L.: Routledge, 2022.
This timely and original volume fills the gaps in the existing theoretical and philosophical literature on international relations by problematizing civilization as a new unit of research in global politics. It interrogates to what extent and in what ways civilization is becoming a strategic frame of reference in the current world order. The book complements and ...
Added: November 12, 2021
Затмение разума. М.Ф. Шакка о западной цивилизации
Rutkevich A. M., Вопросы философии 2021 № 8 С. 47–67
We offer to our readers the first Russian translation of the chapter “La stupidita” from the book L’oscuramento dell’intelligenza by the Italian Catholic philosopher M.F. Sciacca, who called his teaching Christian Spiritualism. The starting point for him is the ancient idea of measure, understanding the finiteness of existence in relationship with other finite beings and ...
Added: August 17, 2021
Современный мировой порядок: адаптация акторов к структурным реалиям
Safranchuk I., Lukyanov F., Полис. Политические исследования 2021 № 4 С. 14–25
This article develops the concept introduced in The Modern World Order: Structural Realities and Great Power Rivalries (Polis. Political Studies. 2021. No. 3). The core structural element of the current world is defined as a mismatch between material globalization and ideational universalism—the former continuing its ascendance while the latter declines. The material interdependence of actors who ...
Added: August 5, 2021
История цивилизации в России: органическое развитие versus социальный конструктивизм
Kara-Murza A., Вопросы философии 2021 № 7 С. 17–26
The article is devoted to the problems of civilization analysis of Russian history. ...
Added: July 20, 2021
Kinetic singularities at transition points from equilibrium to metastable states of the Lennard-Jones particle system
Negodin V., Polyachenko Y., Fleita D. et al., Journal of Molecular Liquids 2021 Vol. 322 No. 1-3 Article 114954
The equilibrium and metastable states of the Lennard-Jones vapor, liquid, and crystal, are studied in the vicinity of the phase transition points. Vapor-liquid, liquid-vapor, liquid-crystal, and crystal-liquid transitions are modeled within the molecular dynamics method. As a research tool, a four-point correlation function is used for the qualitative detection of collective motions of atoms in ...
Added: May 14, 2021
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit