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Модели прогноза показателей рынка труда по данным смешанных частот (MIDAS)
Экономика и менеджмент систем управления. 2018. № 2. С. 256–263.
Stebunova O., Туктамышева Л. М.
The article proposes to use mixed data Sampling (MIDAS) models for forecasting labor market indicators in the region. Such models have the advantage of operational forecasting in comparison with autoregressive models.
Dorovskiy A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
In this paper the structural stability of generic families of vector fields of the PC-HC class on the two-dimensional sphere is proved. A classification of these families up to moderate equivalence in neighborhoods of their large bifurcation supports is presented, based on such invariants as the configuration and the characteristic set. The realization lemma is proved. ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Sorokina I., Социологические исследования 2026 № 4 С. 31–42
This article examines conceptual and terminological inconsistencies in studies of job
quality, quality of employment, and quality of working life within English- and Russian- language academic
literature. Through a systematic review of publications, the study examines key concepts such as job
quality, quality of employment, decent work, and quality of working life, identifying their conceptual
distinctions, disciplinary specificities, and ...
Added: May 2, 2026
Taletskii D., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
A vertex subset of a graph is called a \textit{distance-$k$ independent set} if the distance between any two of its distinct vertices is at least $k + 1$. For all $n,k \geq 1$, we determine the minimum possible number of inclusion-wise maximal distance-$k$ independent sets among all $n$-vertex trees. It equals~$n$ if $n \leq k ...
Added: May 1, 2026
Ovcharenko M., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
We introduce an explicit class of tempered Laurent polynomials in the sense of Villegas and Doran--Kerr in n⩽4 variables including all Landau--Ginzburg models for smooth Fano threefolds with very ample anticanonical class. We check that it contains Landau--Ginzburg models for various Fano fourfolds which are complete intersections in smooth toric varieties and Grassmannians of planes, ...
Added: April 30, 2026
Strebkov D., Социологические исследования 2026 № 2 С. 35–47
The article analyzes the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on the professional activities of Russian-speaking freelancers engaged in creative and intellectual fields. Based on data from online surveys conducted in 2024 and 2025 on the platform Freelance.ru, the research reveals the dynamics of AI usage, the primary tasks assigned to neural networks, and the advantages ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Mitrofanov S. V., Экономика труда 2025 Т. 12 № 11
В статье представлен комплексный анализ системных проблем развития трудовых ресурсов и рынка труда в агропромышленном комплексе России. На основе данных Росстата за 1991-2023 годы выявлены ключевые тенденции: сокращение численности занятых в сельском хозяйстве более чем в два раза, усиление региональной дифференциации и нарастание структурных дисбалансов. Особое внимание уделено институциональной трансформации рынка труда, проявляющейся в архаизации ...
Added: April 19, 2026
Zlotnik Alexander, / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2602.03481v1.
We deal with the global in time weak solutions to the 1D compressible Navier-Stokes system of equations for large discontinuous initial data and nonhomogeneous boundary conditions of three standard types. We prove the Lipschitz-type continuous dependence of the solution $(\eta,u,\theta)$, in a norm slightly stronger than $L^{2,\infty}(Q)\times L^2(Q)\times L^2(Q)$, on the initial data $(\eta^0,u^0,e^0)$ in a ...
Added: April 18, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Medvedev V., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
We investigate the interplay between the dimension of the space of static potentials and the geometric and topological structure of the underlying static three-manifold. A partial classification of boundaryless static manifolds is obtained in terms of this dimension. We also treat the case of static manifolds with boundary. In particular, we prove that if a ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Gabdullin N., Androsov I., / Series Computer Science "arxiv.org". 2026.
Label prediction in neural networks (NNs) has O(n) complexity proportional to the number of classes. This holds true for classification using fully connected layers and cosine similarity with some set of class prototypes. In this paper we show that if NN latent space (LS) geometry is known and possesses specific properties, label prediction complexity can ...
Added: April 2, 2026
Nikitin M., Lukina A., Социологические исследования 2026 № 4 С. 43–57
The article examines the relationship between family socio-economic status and the content of work performed by university graduates in Russia at the beginning of their professional careers. While most studies of educational inequality focus on income or employment outcomes, this study shifts attention to the characteristics of the work performed as an indicator of job ...
Added: March 29, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Усов Н. А., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В обзоре представлены текущие и прогнозные тенденции на важнейших отраслевых рынках труда, которые отражают индикаторы занятости, рассчитанные на основе обобщенных результатов обследований деловой активности, проводимых Росстатом в мониторинговом режиме в базовых видах экономической деятельности.
В качестве основных подходов к анализу данных применялись методологические принципы
квантификации непараметрической информации и построения композитных циклических
индикаторов Европейской Комиссии (ЕС) и Организации экономического ...
Added: March 6, 2026
Yemelina N., Solntsev S., Roshchin S., М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В докладе представлены результаты анализа гендерных различий на региональных рынках труда в Российской Федерации. Оценка положения мужчин и женщин на рынке труда проводилась на основе индекса гендерного паритета, который включает три группы показателей — занятость, экономические возможности и распределение по рабочим местам. Ключевое отличие предложенного индекса в том, что его целевым ориентиром служит не «преодоление ...
Added: March 6, 2026
Kolesnikov A., / Series arXiv "math". 2025.
We study Blaschke--Santal{ó}-type inequalities for N>=2 sets (functions) and a special class of cost functions. In particular, we prove new results about reduction of the maximization problem for the Blaschke--Santal{ó}-type functional to homogeneous case (functional inequalities on the sphere) and extend the symmetrization argument to the case of N>2 sets.
We also discuss links to the ...
Added: February 13, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Rozhkova K., Yemelina N., Roshchin S. et al., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 2 С. 101–126
В литературе ситуацию, при которой индивид обладает более высоким уровнем формального образования, чем предполагает занимаемое им рабочее место, называют избыточным образованием (overeducation). В условиях ограниченности кадров, характерной для российского рынка труда, проблема приобретает особую остроту, но остается недостаточно исследованной. Рассмотрено избыточное образование на основе административных данных выпускников российских вузов. Оценены пробит-модель с коррекцией самоотбора для ...
Added: February 7, 2026
Kramarenko A., Свистула И. А., Россия и современный мир 2025 № 2 С. 111–127
The modern globalized world and post-industrial economy foster flexible forms of employment and interaction between employers and employees, thereby accelerating the digital transformation of the labor market. Within this context, the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) has developed a Digital Agenda aimed at enhancing the competitiveness of national economies and deepening integration by transferring a significant ...
Added: February 3, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Vishnevskaya N., Zudina A. A., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2026 Т. 70 № 5 С. 96–106
In 2023–2024 OECD labor markets were generally recovering in terms of employment and unemployment rates after the previous stagnation during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the existence of a significant array of unfilled jobs remains one of the acute economic problems, affecting most OECD countries, as well as a considerable number of industries and occupations. Such ...
Added: January 22, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026