?
Модели прогноза показателей рынка труда по данным смешанных частот (MIDAS)
Экономика и менеджмент систем управления. 2018. № 2. С. 256–263.
Stebunova O., Туктамышева Л. М.
The article proposes to use mixed data Sampling (MIDAS) models for forecasting labor market indicators in the region. Such models have the advantage of operational forecasting in comparison with autoregressive models.
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В обзоре Центра конъюнктурных исследований ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ представлены текущие и прогнозные тенденции на важнейших отраслевых рынках труда, которые отражают простые и композитные индикаторы занятости (Индекс кадровой обеспеченности, Индекс совокупной занятости и т. д.), рассчитанные на основе обобщенных результатов обследований деловой активности, проводимых Росстатом в мониторинговом режиме в базовых видах экономической деятельности. Исследование охватывает шесть ...
Added: September 18, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В обзоре Центра конъюнктурных исследований ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ представлены текущие и прогнозные тенденции на важнейших отраслевых рынках труда, которые отражают простые и композитные индикаторы занятости (Индекс кадровой обеспеченности, Индекс совокупной занятости и т. д.), рассчитанные на основе обобщенных результатов обследований деловой активности, проводимых Росстатом в мониторинговом режиме в базовых видах экономической деятельности.
В качестве основных подходов ...
Added: September 18, 2026
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Glutsyuk A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
B.Josephson (Nobel Prize, 1973) predicted a tunnelling effect for a system of two superconductors separated by a narrow dielectric (such a system is called Josephson junction): existence of a supercurrent through it and equations governing it. The overdamped Josephson junction is modeled by the family of differential equations on the 2-torus, dθdτ=1ω(cosθ+B+Acosτ), which is known as ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Pochinka O., Shmukler V., / Series math.RT "arXiv:1808.06395 [math.RT]". 2026.
Anosov flows have a long and rich history, firstly motivated by the
study of geodesic flows in negative curvature surface by Anosov and Sinai.
Not every closed manifold admits an Anosov flow for well-known reasons:
the fundamental group of a 3-manifold M admitting an Anosov flow must
have exponential growth, and M must be universally covered by R3. Nevertheless,
there ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Rozhkova K., Roshchin S., Roshchina Y., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 8 С. 29–54
Стремительное развитие генеративного искусственного интеллекта (генИИ) усилило дискуссии о том, как новые технологии трансформируют рынок труда, особенно позиции и задачи, которые еще недавно мог выполнять только человек. Эксперименты показывают, что генеративный ИИ может обеспечить значительный прирост производительности, особенно менее квалифицированных сотрудников, что может приводить к возникновению индивидуальной зарплатной отдачи на рынке труда. Впервые для России ...
Added: August 11, 2026
Papushina I. O., Shenkman E., Социологические исследования 2026 № 7 С. 31–43
The external shocks of 2022 have altered the operating environment for Russian
companies and the demand for skilled workers. This study examines how demand has responded for
different categories of professionals in the fashion industry, where the departure of international brands
has simultaneously increased uncertainty and opened up market niches for Russian manufacturers.
The empirical basis of the research ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Ильященко К. А., В кн.: Сборник тезисов докладов X юбилейной Всероссийской научной студенческой конференции НИУ ВШЭ - Нижний Новгород.: Н. Новгород: [б.и.], 2026. С. 125–130.
В работе анализируются пространственные различия в спросе на навыки искусственного интеллекта (ИИ) на российском рынке труда в 2021-2025 гг. На основе данных более 700 тысяч вакансий с портала HeadHunter выделены три уровня анализа: регионы, типы городов (миллионники, столицы субъектов, прочие) и внутрирегиональный разрыв «столица-периферия». Построены рейтинги регионов по доле вакансий с ИИтребованиями, оценена динамика для ...
Added: August 4, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Loubenets E. R., / Series arxiv.org "quant-ph". 2026. No. 2607.18050.
In many quantum applications it is important to know whether or not a Bell nonlocal two-qudit state exhibits its nonlocality under correlation scenarios with some given numbers S1,S2≥1 of generalized quantum measurements at two sites. In the present article, we find analytically a new general locality condition sufficient for a nonseparable Werner state with a ...
Added: July 21, 2026
Bolbachan V., / Series math "arxiv.org". 2024.
Chow polylogarithms are some special functions arising in explicit description of the Beilinson regulator map. The most interesting functional equation for this function reflects its vanishing on the boundary in the Bloch's cycle complex. We show that this functional equation formally follows from more simple ones, namely skew-symmetry, functoriality and multiplicativity.
To prove this, we study ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Bolbachan V., / Series math "arxiv.org". 2024.
Let K be a field of characteristic zero. We prove that its motivic cohomology in degree m−1 and weight m is rationally isomorphic to the cohomology of the polylogarithmic complex. This gives a partial extension of A. Suslin theorem describing the indecomposable K3 of a field. ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Pozanenko A., Социологические исследования 2026 № 6 С. 64–71
Due to persistent territorial socio-economic imbalances, some residents of Russian villages and small towns leave for a long time to work without changing their place of permanent residence. Such internal temporary labor migration is referred to by some researchers as otkhodnichestvo, and migrants as otkhodniks, by analogy with the pre–revolutionary and early Soviet migration of ...
Added: July 15, 2026
Panov V., Ryabchenko A., / Series arXiv "stat.ME". 2026. No. 2607.05048.
This paper investigates the problem of statistical inference for a mixture distribution consisting of a discrete and a continuous component, with a particular focus on the class of rational-infinitely divisible distributions. We consider non-parametric estimation of both components of the mixture as well as the quasi-L{é}vy measure, assuming that the mixture belongs to the class ...
Added: July 9, 2026
Stoyanova O., Окусков И. С., Бизнес-информатика 2026 Т. 20 № 2 С. 81–93
The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into information technologies is reshaping competency requirements for IT specialists. However, AI competency penetration into the early phases of the Software Development Life Cycle (SDLC) – requirements analysis and planning – remains underexplored. Existing studies either rely on static competency models lacking empirical validation or analyze the labor market ...
Added: July 5, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Talakauskas D., Пути России. Журнал cоциальных и этнографических исследований 2026 Т. 4 № 3 С. 44–67
An increasing number of organizations are implementing artificial intelligence (AI) technologies into various business processes, and the number of publications addressing aspects of AI’s application in the workplace is growing rapidly. Given the uncertainty surrounding the effects of AI implementation on the labor market, the time lag associated with its integration, and the novelty and ...
Added: June 24, 2026
Konakov V., Kucher D., Mammen E., / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2606.11142v1.
In this paper, we construct strong approximations for discrete-time Markov chains weakly converging to continuous diffusion processes, as well as for their perturbed counterparts. Under the assumption of bounded coefficients, we construct closely coupled versions of these processes on a shared probability space. In particular, for both non-degenerate and degenerate cases, we maximize the probability ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.
At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022). Socially ...
Added: June 1, 2026