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August 13, 2026
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Artificial intelligence is a working tool based on a balanced combination of algorithms and engineering. Experts and doctoral students from the HSE Moscow Institute of Electronics and Mathematics explain how AI technologies can improve an application, device, or system, and what engineering tasks are solved in the process.
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‘The Peak of Stupidity and ‘The Valley of Despair: HSE Economists Propose an Explanation for the Dunning–Kruger Effect
The Dunning–Kruger effect, which describes a sharp surge in self-confidence among beginners followed by an equally rapid decline as they gain experience, can be explained by the nature of the learning process and the acquisition of new knowledge. This conclusion was reached by Andrey Vorchik of the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences together with independent researcher Murat Mamyshev. They developed a mathematical model of learning and demonstrated how subjective confidence is formed and changes as knowledge accumulates, as well as how teachers can reduce the ‘valley of despair’ experienced by learners.

 

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Increasing the Adequacy of Management Decision Making for Choosing Intermediaries in Supply Chains

P. 374–388.
Lukinskiy V., Lukinsky V., Bazhina D.

To date, a diverse array of expert assessments for quantitative
(tangible) and qualitative (intangible) objects based on the analytic hierarchy
process (AHP) has been accumulated in various fields of knowledge. The systematization
and analysis of the collected data made it possible to put forward
the hypothesis that some of the indicators (the eigenvalue of the matrix, the
consistency index, and the ration of consistency) can be considered in the form
of aggregates of random variables representing an intellectual product and
reflecting features of human thinking. The systematization and statistical processing
of the results obtained by experts on the basis of the AHP showed that
the distribution functions of the values of expert estimates for the consistency
indices significantly differ from the similar functions of the generated matrices.

Language: English
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Keywords: supply chainAnalytic hierarchy process (AHP)

In book

Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication Selected Papers from the 18th International Conference on Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication, RelStat’18, 17–20 October 2018, Riga, Latvia
Issue 68. , Switzerland: Springer, 2019.
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