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News
October 8, 2026
HSE Experts Take Part in 23rd Annual Meeting of Valdai Discussion Club
The 23rd Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club was held from September 28 to October 1, 2026 under the theme ‘Responsibility for the Future: Limits of the Possible, or Limitless Possibilities?’ The forum brought together 120 experts from 40 countries, including representatives of China, the United States, India, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Germany, Egypt, Iran, and Japan.
October 7, 2026
‘Our Team Consists of True Leaders in Their Respective Academic Disciplines
The HSE International Centre of Decision Choice and Analysis studies a wide range of methods for analysing decision-making and possible scenarios for the development of natural, socio-economic, and political phenomena using various mathematical models. The application of advanced mathematical methods to forecasting helps to prevent negative outcomes and avoid erroneous decisions. The HSE News Service spoke to the centre’s director, Prof. Fuad Aleskerov, about its work.
October 6, 2026
International N5 Symposium ‘Neural Networks and Nonlinearity in Nizhny Novgorod Brings Together Scientists from Russia and Serbia
The International N5 Symposium ‘Neural Networks and Nonlinearity in Nizhny Novgorod’ was held at the Nizhny Novgorod House of Scientists from September 23 to 26. The event was organised by HSE University–Nizhny Novgorod and the Nizhny Novgorod House of Scientists, with the participation of Sberbank and the Institute of Physics Belgrade. The symposium was held for the second time: the first conference took place in 2025 and attracted considerable interest from the academic community.

 

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Disruption tails and post-disruption instability mitigation in the supply chain

P. 343–348.
Ivanov D., Rozhkov M.

We study the coordination effects of production and ordering policies in the supply chain (SC) that experiences capacity disruptions and recovery. Discrete-event simulation methodology is used for analysis with real company data and real disruptions. It has been revealed that disruption-driven changes in SC behavior may result in post-disruption instability caused by backlog and delayed orders the accumulation of which in the post-disruption period we call as “disruption tails”. A transition of these residues into the post-disruption period destabilizes the normal operation mode resulting in further delivery delays and non-recovery of SC performance. The results provide evidence that coordinated contingency policies need to be applied during the disruption period to avoid the disruption tails.

Language: English
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Keywords: имитационное моделированиевосстановлениецепь поставокустойчивостьсбойsupply chaininventorysimulationrecoveryзапасresilienceDisruptioncontingency policyполитика восстановления

In book

9th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management and Control MIM 2019
Vol. 52. Issue 13. , Elsevier, 2019.
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