Book
Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication Selected Papers from the 18th International Conference on Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication, RelStat’18, 17–20 October 2018, Riga, Latvia
In this volume of “Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems”, we are pleased to present the proceedings of the 18th International Multidisciplinary Conference on Reliability and Statistics in Transportation and Communication (RelStat 2018), which took place in Riga in Latvia, from October 17 to October 20, 2018. This event belongs to a conference series started in 2001 and organized annually by the Transport and Telecommunication Institute (TTI) in Riga, Latvia. The mission of RelStat is to promote a more comprehensive approach supporting new ideas, theories, technologies, systems, tools, applications, as well as work in progress and activities on all theoretical and practical issues arising in transport, information, and communication technologies. Results of previous editions of RelStat were published by TTI Publishing House (RelStat 2001–2015) in the journal “Transport and Telecommunication” (ISSN 1407-6160), by Elsevier in the “Procedia Engineering” (RelStat 2016) and by Springer in “Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems”
volume no. 36 (RelStat 2017). Design, implementation, operation, and maintenance of contemporary complex systems have brought many new challenges to “classic” reliability theory. We define complex systems as integrated unities of assets: technical, information, organization, economical, software, and human (users, administrators, and management) ones. Their complexity comes not only from their technical and organizational internal structure, which is built upon diverse hardware and software resources, but also from the complexity of information processes (data processing, monitoring, management, etc.) that must be executed in their specific environment.
Rare demand is an important part of the inventory management, nevertheless there are no any appropriate analytical descriptions or numerical examples of it except separate papers where considered the possibility to describe rare demand with Poisson distribution. The divergence between forecasts and actual data could be explained by the following reasons: the first one—extreme values in preforecasting period, as well as not significant ‘length’ of the analyzed time period; the second one—taking data for the forecast from the period of conduction certain actions (sales, promo, etc.), consideration of these actions might be done with combined forecasting methods. The paper describes the approach to assessment of inventory consumption for rare demand based on Poisson distribution. Besides, the paper contains the numerical examples and analysis of the results.
To date, a diverse array of expert assessments for quantitative (tangible) and qualitative (intangible) objects based on the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) has been accumulated in various fields of knowledge. The systematization and analysis of the collected data made it possible to put forward the hypothesis that some of the indicators (the eigenvalue of the matrix, the consistency index, and the ration of consistency) can be considered in the form of aggregates of random variables representing an intellectual product and reflecting features of human thinking. The systematization and statistical processing of the results obtained by experts on the basis of the AHP showed that the distribution functions of the values of expert estimates for the consistency indices significantly differ from the similar functions of the generated matrices.
. In the article the logistics management and SCM organizational structures researchfindings that were conducted by the NRU HSE International Centre of Training in Logistics in 2014–2016 are considered. The sample of companies operating on Russian market accounted about 400 organizations. The form for the respondents of online survey was created. Each participant esti-mated the logistics management organizational structure (logistic and/or SCM department) individually. The assessment was conducted from the perspective of the correspondence between the organizational structure and corporate and logistics strategies, key business processes, organizational structure management efficiency, functional employees allocation and so on in the different aspects of supply chains and logistics controlling. The examples of typical logistics management structures of line and staff, matrix and project oriented structures are shown. Taking into consideration the importance of the SCM best practices and innovative technologies usage, the questions are highlighted in detail and a great variety of examples in SCM departments organizational planning are given.
The article considers the questions assessing the reliability of mechanical components used in the electronic equipment in the early stages of design. The calculations of failure rates springs shock absorbers according to various methods. It is shown that the use of models failure rates of mechanical elements, taking into account the peculiarities of their structural and technological performance, not only allows us to solve the problem of calculating, but also to ensure the required level of reliability and mechanical components, and containing electronic equipment.
The monograph presents results by professor Dr. A. Shalumov’s Research School of Modeling, Information Technology and Automated Systems (Russia). The program, ASONIKA, developed by the school is reviewed here regarding reliability and quality of devices for simulation of electronics and chips during harmonic and random vibration, single and multiple impacts, linear acceleration and acoustic noise, and steady-state and transient thermal effects. Calculations are done for thermal stress during changes in temperature and power in time. Calculations are done for number of cycles to fatigue failure under mechanical loads as well as under cyclic thermal effects. Simulation results for reliability analysis are taken into account. Models, software interface, and simulation examples are presented.
For engineers and scientists involved in design automation of electronics.
Mathematical models of failure rate of refusals the elements applied in calculations of reliability of the onboard electronic equipment are considered. Possibility of application the models given in foreign standards, for forecasting of reliability of completing elements is shown.
The basic influencing the factor defining its reliability are temperature influences at which speed of chemical reaction of materials a part REE increases. It is represented the equation which has been received by the Swedish chemist Svante Arreniusom from thermodynamic reasons
The monograph contents totaled the many years results of Scientific school «The Automated System for Ensuring of Reliability and Quality of Equipment - ASONIKA» National research University «Higher school of Economics» (scientific supervisor of the Scientific school - academician of RANS, doctor of technical sciences, professor YU. Kofanov) and long-term cooperation with the scientists of Kiev Institute of mathematical machines and systems problems of the Ukrainian National Sciences Academy (Deputy Director on science, doctor of technical sciences V.P. Strelnikov). The final structure of the monograph had been formed in the discussion of modern problems of reliability aerospace electronic equipment at the XVII International scientific-technical conference «Systemic problems of reliability, quality, mathematical modelling, information and infocommunication technologies in innovation projects». This conference was dedicated to the 20th anniversary of the HSE. The book outlines the basics of probability-physical approach to the study and the assessment of the reliability of onboard aerospace equipment. Presents the methods of estimation of reliability parameters of electronic components, as according to reference data and test or operating results in the presence or absence of failures. Developed the methods of calculation of reliability parameters of mechanical elements of aerospace equipment as well as research methods reliability of redundant and non-redundant, non-renewable and renewable systems on the basis of adequate two-parameter distributions of diffusion. Established the theory of planning reliability test with lightweight, durable, including accelerated testing with new methods of processing the testing results and reliability assessment. We propose new methods of evaluation and prediction of the aerospace equipment reliability to measure the determining parameters. Developed methodology of the statistical characteristics evaluation of the degradation process for the study of single samples of aerospace equipment using information about its representative minobject (minibranch, mineralizatsiya). All problems of reliability, which is solved in this book (mathematical modeling, calculation and experimental evaluation of the reliability of systems) result in the identification of the time until failure (or to failure) distribution. It is proved that when assessing the reliability of onboard aerospace equipment, most accurate results diffusion DN-distribution. On the basis of the law of distribution can be carried out the evaluation of all the necessary parameters of aerospace equipment reliability (mathematical expectations developments, gamma-interest developments, the probability of non-failure operating time for the specified time, the residual resource and others). The book provides a large number of examples and problems, proving the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed methods. Material monograph mostly taught HSE in the various courses of lectures. The monograph is intended for a wide circle of specialists working in the field design, testing and operation of onboard aerospace equipment, as well as students and graduate students of the HSE in the execution of their coursework, independent scientific research, and the preparation of graduation theses and dissertations.
Maintenance of reliability of radio-electronic equipment taking into account thermal modes for various classes of electroradioproducts (ERP) within the limits of system ASONIKA is considered.
Statistical Models and Methods for Reliability and Survival Analysis is a volume of contributions by specialists in statistical theory and their applications that provide up-to-date developments in methods used in survival analysis, statistical goodness of fit, stochastic processes for system reliability among others. Many of them are related to the work of Professor M. Nikulin in statistics for thirty years. The contributors accepted this challenging project to gather various contributions with a wide broad of techniques and results, all of them in the topics of the past S2MRSA conference dedicated to M. Nikulin for his twentieth anniversary as a Professor in the Bordeaux Segalen University. The book is intended for researchers interested in statistical methodology and models useful in survival analysis, system reliability and statistical testing for censored and non censored data.
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.
портовый менеджмент, показатели деятельности, анализ эффективности, система учета, распределение издержек, методы анализа деятельности портовой системы
At present many industries reveal tendency for setting up of vertically integrated companies (VIC) the structure of which unites all technological processes. This tendency proved its efficiency in oil industry where coordination of all successive stages of technological process, namely, oil prospecting and production -oil transportation - oil processing - oil chemistry - oil products and oil chemicals marketing, is necessary. The article considers specific features of introduction of "personnel management" module at enterprises of oil and gas industry.
vertically integrated companies; personnel management