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Currency Shifts as a Market Discipline Device: The Case of the Russian Market for Personal Deposits
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. 2019. Vol. 55. No. 10. P. 2149-2163.
Semenova M., Shapkin A.
In developing economies, which rely considerably on the dollar and euro, changes in the currency structure of bank deposits may be strategic and may work as an additional market discipline mechanism. This study sheds light on this currency shifts mechanism in the Russian market for personal deposits. Using data on 900 banks for 2005–2015, we show that less risky banks demonstrate higher growth in the share of deposits denominated in foreign currency (FX), even when the exchange rate volatility component is extracted. The shifts are supported by the quantity-based mechanism as more reliable banks enjoy higher FX deposit growth.
Publication based on the results of:
Semenova M., Shapkin A., / Высшая школа экономики. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2016. No. 57/FE/2016.
Market discipline in the personal deposit market is of great importance for regulators. In developing economies, which rely much and are dependent on the dollar and euro, changes in the currency structure of the deposits may be strategic and work as an additional disciplining mechanism. Our study sheds light on this mechanism of currency shifts ...
Added: October 22, 2016
Semenova M., Andrievskaya I. K., Eastern European Economics 2015 Vol. 53 No. 2 P. 69-98
The efficiency of the interbank market depends largely on its inherent disciplining mechanisms. This paper investigates the discipline mechanisms of Russia’s interbank market, testing the hypothesis that market discipline in Russia was strong enough to constrain excessive risk-taking by participating banks before, during, and after the 2008–2009 financial crisis. The existence and efficiency of quantity-based ...
Added: July 16, 2015
Vernikov A. V., / НИУ ВШЭ. Series WP1 "Институциональные проблемы российской экономики". 2007. No. 02.
The Working Paper examines peculiarities of the Russian model of corporate governance and control in the banking sector. The study relies upon theoretical as well as applied research of corporate governance in Russian commercial banks featuring different forms of ownership. We focus on real interests of all stakeholders, namely bank and stock market regulators, bank ...
Added: April 2, 2013
Vernikov A. V., Проблемы прогнозирования 2015 № 2(149) С. 108-120
В журнале ИНП РАН «Проблемы прогнозирования» в 2009 г. была опубликована статья Т.С. Сперанской, в которой сопоставлено присутствие государства и механизмы финансирования реального сектора экономики России и Китая и сделан вывод: модели развития банков в этих странах разные. За последние несколько лет в России произошел рост государственного присутствия в кредитной сфере в качестве регулятора, органа ...
Added: April 27, 2015
Andrei Vernikov, / Высшая школа экономики. Series MAN "Management". 2013. No. WP BRP 12/MAN/2013.
This paper aims to add to the literature on the connection between corporate governance and company valuation. We refer to the case of Russian banks to suggest that this connection cannot be established in a convincing way due to data scarcity. ...
Added: June 6, 2013
Vernikov A. V., / Social Science Research Network. Series SSRN "Working Paper Series". 2014. No. 2474554.
We use statistical data from 2000 to 2013 to compare the macro-level structure and the core institutions of the banking systems in China and Russia. Our main hypothesis is that, differences in the absolute size and socio-cultural features notwithstanding, these two systems are typologically similar. We consider the institutional structure, the market structure and concentration, ...
Added: August 1, 2014
Mikhail Mamonov, Vernikov A. V., / Высшая школа экономики. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2015. No. 46.
This paper adds to the literature on banking in transition with regard to the comparative efficiency of public, private and foreign banks. We perform stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) of Russian bank-level quarterly data from 2005 to 2013. The method of computation of comparative cost efficiency is amended to control for the effect of the revaluations ...
Added: June 15, 2015
Vernikov A. V., / НИУ ВШЭ. Серия WP1 "Институциональные проблемы российской экономики". 2014. № 4.
We use statistical data for the period 2000-2013 to compare the macro-level structure and the core institutions of the banking systems in China and Russia. ...
Added: November 17, 2014
Vernikov A. V., Деньги и кредит 2014 № 11 С. 20-28
На базе статистических данных за 2000-2013 гг. сопоставляется макро-архитектура и институциональные характеристики банковских систем России и Китая, прежде всего состав и структура. ...
Added: February 20, 2015
Vernikov A. V., Problems of Economic Transition 2014 Vol. 57 No. 4 P. 3-25
This article assesses the effect of Russia's industrial policy with respect to the growth of the "national champion" state banks on concentration and competition in 2000-2010. ...
Added: October 2, 2014
Schoors K., Semenova M., Zubanov A., / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Financial Economics". 2016. No. 58/FE/2016.
We analyse whether depositor familiarity with a bank affects depositor behaviour during a financial crisis. We measure familiarity by looking for regional or local cues in the bank’s name. We measure depositor behaviour by the their sensitivity to observable bank risk (market discipline). Using 2001–2010 bank-level and region-level data for Russia, we find that depositors ...
Added: October 20, 2016
Vernikov A. V., / Институт экономики РАН. Серия "Научные доклады Института экономики РАН". 2014.
We use statistical data for the period 2000-2013 to compare the macro-level structure and the core institutions of the banking systems in China and Russia. ...
Added: September 26, 2014
Vernikov A. V., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2013 No. 3(27) P. 23-36
The paper aims to add to the literature on the connection between corporate governance and company valuation. We refer to the case of the Russian banks to suggest that connection between gpvernance and the stock price cannot be established in a convincing way due to data scarcity. Russia's stock market can supply sufficient statistical material ...
Added: November 16, 2013
Schoors K., Semenova M., Зубанов А., / Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition. Series DP "BOFIT Discussion Papers". 2017. No. 1/2017.
We analyze whether a depositor’s familiarity with a bank affects depositor behavior during a financial crisis. Familiarity is measured by the presence of regional or local cues in the bank’s name, while depositor behavior is considered in terms of depositor sensitivity to observable bank risk (market discipline exerted by depositors). Using the 2001–2010 bank-level and ...
Added: February 4, 2017
Kostrov A., Karminsky A. M., Procedia Computer Science 2014 Vol. 31 No. 2014 International Conference on Computational Science P. 766-772
We develop the model for estimating the default probabilities of banks for Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine using banking statistics from 2005 to 2013. We find that a binary logit regression works best. In addition, macroeconomic and institutional factors significantly improve model accuracy. The results indicate that there are significantly different sources of risk in ...
Added: June 17, 2014
Vernikov A. V., Desenvolvimento em debate 2015 Vol. 3 No. 2 P. 29-45
The article examines the role of the state in the Russian banking industry. ...
Added: May 31, 2016
Kirdina S., Vernikov A. V., Journal of Economic Issues 2013 Vol. 47 No. 2 P. 475-484
We undertook an institutional anbalysis of commercial banks in Russia. After the failed experiment with private financial intermediation in the 1990s, Russia migrated towards a banking system consisting of three -- rather than two -- tiers and featuring core institutions controlled by the state directly or indirectly. This evolution is consistent with this country's historical ...
Added: May 28, 2013
Karminsky A. M., Rybalka A., Шевченко Е. А., Российский журнал менеджмента 2018 Т. 16 № 1 С. 95-108
The successful activities of any commercial organization, in particular the bank, are based on a
clear corporate financial architecture: an effective financial strategy and corporate governance
system (relationship management, board of directors and shareholders). CEO is the main representative
of the bank and a reflection of its success or failure in the market. In this regard
there is a ...
Added: April 3, 2018
Vernikov A. V., Studies on Russian Economic Development 2015 Vol. 26 No. 2 P. 178-187
We look for typological similarity or dissimilarity between the banking systems of China and Russia. In both countries we have identified a multitier and hierarchically organized system of commercial banks headed by several institutions under direct control of the government. These core state-controlled banks combine commercial banking with development banking. The difference between the Chinese ...
Added: March 18, 2015
Semenova M., Bondarenko M., / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP FE "Financial Economics". 2018. No. 65FE2018.
In recent years the Russian banking system has witnessed numerous bank license withdrawals. Many of the failed banks had significant volumes of retail deposits in their liabilities, thus, transmitting the default burden to the Deposit Insurance Agency and ultimately to the taxpayers. In their attempt to stay in the market banks may try to attract ...
Added: June 7, 2018
Karminsky A. M., Kostrov A., Murzenkov T., / Высшая школа экономики. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2012. No. WP BRP 06/FE/2012.
Under the Basel II accord, improving probability of default models is a key risk-management priority. There are four main aspects of this research: suggesting the bank default classification; using a wide time horizon (quarterly Russian banking statistics from 1998 to 2011); investigating the macroeconomic and institutional characteristics of the banking sector environment and finally, testing ...
Added: December 10, 2012
Vernikov A. V., / Social Science Research Network. Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2015. No. 2600738.
The paper suggests a classification of Russian commercial banks for the purposes of empirical analysis. While most of the literature on comparative bank performance in transition identifies three broad categories of banks (state, domestic private and foreign), in the Russian case it may be proper to consider separately the core state-controlled banks that jointly account ...
Added: May 1, 2015
Vernikov A. V., / Social Science Research Network. Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2013. No. 2223686.
This paper tries to assess some of the effects from industrial policy of growing state-controlled "national champions" in the Russian banking industry. We look at market concentration and competitiveness and average bank efficiency. A modified method of calculating the indicators of market concentration suggests that main segments of the market have crossed the threshold of high ...
Added: February 25, 2013
Vernikov A. V., / University Library of Munich. Серия "Munich Personal RePEc Archive". 2012. № 40236.
Мы пытаемся оценить эффект от промышленной политики по выращиванию в России государственных банков – «национальных чемпионов» на степень концентрации и конкуренции. Затрагиваются вопросы сравнительной эффективности банков разной формы собственности и замены прямой государственной собственности на опосредованные формы владения. Период наблюдений – с 2000 по 1-й квартал 2012 г. Модифицировав способ расчёта двух основных показателей концентрации, ...
Added: September 3, 2012