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Гипотеза Олсона—Хантингтона о криволинейной зависимости между уровнем экономического развития и социально-политической дестабилизацией: опыт количественного анализа
Социологическое обозрение. 2017. Т. 16. № 1. С. 9–47.
Priority areas:
humanitarian
Language:
Russian
Коротаев А.В., Бурова А. Н., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 Vol. 122 No. 3 P. 160–178
The article analyzes the course and consequences of the events of the “Arab Spring” in Morocco and provides answers to two main questions: can these events be classified as a revolutionary episode, and, if so, was it successful, and to what extent? After examining the relevant historiography and comparing the approaches, concepts, and definitions of ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Stremoukhov D., Черников П. Е., Стародубцев А. В., Политическая наука 2026 № 3 С. 206–233
Over the past two decades, Russian urban renewal policy has evolved from fragmented and weakly demanded initiatives – such as Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Osvoenie Territorii, KOT) and Development of Built-Up Areas (Razvitie Zastroennykh Territorii, RZT) – toward the formation of a large-scale nationwide mechanism of Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Razvitie Territorii, KRT). This article ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Diskin E., Прожерин Д. В., Теоретическая и прикладная юриспруденция 2026 Т. 29 № 3 С. 221–234
Introduction: Drawing on the legal orders of the United States, the European Union, and the Russian
Federation, the article provides a comparative legal analysis of three regulatory models governing the
use of unmanned aircraft (UA; drones, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)) by public authorities for government oversight: the U.S. model, based on a combination of aviation rules and ...
Added: October 6, 2026
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives.
This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Diskin E., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 23–45
Public governance of digital platforms is characterized by a growing tension between security imperatives, such as blocking, throttling, and restricting the activities of foreign platforms, and development imperatives, including the digital economy, innovation, and users’ rights. The article conceptualizes this contradiction as a security—development dilemma: a structural problem of governance that cannot be reduced to ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Автухова Е. Э., Larionov A., Плачинда К. Д., М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026.
Данное методическое пособие разработано в соответствии с рабочей программой курса «Банковское дело», реализуемого на Экономическом факультете МГУ имени М. В. Ломоносова по специальности «Экономика» (бакалавриат), и может быть рекомендовано для подготовки к семинарским занятиям и самостоятельной работе студентов. ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Kaspe S. I., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 138–167
This article examines the stereotypes about China that prevail in the West and Russia and make them perceive it not only as a strategic challenge, but an existential threat. The article demonstrates that the most common fears are overstated and counterfactual, and that they are grounded in the West itself. Modern China cannot be identified ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Мусиева Д. М., Akaev A., Век глобализации 2025 Т. 56 № 4 С. 3–15
В работе дана кратчайшая история взаимоотношений Китая и США, которые за 40 лет прошли путь от экономического сотрудничества до глобального противостояния. Проведен анализ современного экономико-техно-логического и социально-политического состояния данных стран, показавший, что Китай как восходящая держава и США, находящиеся на нисходящей траектории, сегодня являются примерно равновеликими по совокупной мощи. Делается вывод о том, что нынешнее ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Yenikeyeff S., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 10–41
This article maps the contours of the global energy order that may emerge by 2040. It argues that global energy flows are being transformed from a price-driven commodity trade into instruments of strategic power by four simultaneous processes: an uneven low-carbon transition, the securitization of energy flows, the fragmentation of the international monetary system, and ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Baklanov A., Международная жизнь 2026 № 9 С. 4–15
This article, using materials from the Russian Foreign Ministry archive, analyzes the origins, dynamics, and outcomes of the 1956 Suez Crisis. It emphasizes the crucial importance of the Soviet Union's harsh demarche against Great Britain and France, which forced London and Paris to cease their aggression against Egypt. It examines the approaches of various states ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Kazun A. D., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 80–98
The article analyzes media skepticism and media cynicism as two forms of critical attitudes toward news. The empirical basis of the study is a nationwide population survey (N = 6,007) conducted in late 2023 and early 2024. The analysis shows that both media skepticism and media cynicism are pronounced in Russian society: while a substantial ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Balakina Y. V., Коммуникации. Медиа. Дизайн 2026 Т. 11 № 3 С. 24–44
This article explores the role of multimodal media texts (MMT) in political communication. MMT are seen as a blend of cultural and symbolic forms, manifested through various semiotic modes such as text, image, sound, and their combinations in the media space. The goal is to elucidate how these texts construct social reality and their functions ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Korotayev A., Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution UC Riverside 2026 Vol. 17 No. 2 P. 1–38
This paper examines the striking mathematical correspondence between two independently derived hyperbolic equations describing global evolutionary dynamics: Panov's time series of "biospheric revolutions" spanning 4 billion years of biological and cultural evolution, and von Foerster's famous "Doomsday" equation for world population growth (1960). Both phenomena are governed by equations of the form y = C/(2027 ...
Added: September 29, 2026
Якобсон Л. И., Полис. Политические исследования 2026 № 1 С. 90–104
В работе идентифицируются сильные и слабые стороны доминирующего в научной литературе организационно-структурного подхода к изучению системы стратегического планирования экономического развития (СПЭР). Этот подход продемонстрировал свой потенциал при решении многих практических проблем. В то же время его ограниченность обусловлена, в частности, тем, что в его рамках субъекты системы предстают преимущественно в качестве персонификаций возложенных на них ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Shishkina A., Issaev L., Journal of Globalization Studies 2026 Vol. 17 No. 1 P. 145–156
This article is aimed at discussing the global and regional aspects of Islamic modernization. The study discusses the transformation of ideas about the role of women in the public space by the case study on the North Caucasus. The attitudes of traditional society, the influence of Soviet power, the role of Islamization, both early and ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Diskin E., Закон 2026 № 1 С. 92–123
In the January Legal Chronicle our authors comment on several significant legal events that happened at the end of 2025: decisions of the Constitutional Court No. 31-P on the payment of dividends on preferred shares, No. 41-P on VAT, No. 46-P on the fate of seized property in bankruptcy cases; discussion in the EU Council ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Gribkova D. E., Вопросы государственного и муниципального управления 2026 № 3 С. 151–176
Global challenges, economic security risks, sociodemographic and environmental processes, and accelerating technological development are creating a fundamentally new context for Public Administration that demands knowledge-based decision-making. The growing interest in proactive and predictive governance has led to the active use of science and technology foresight. However, the governance of scientific and technological development still faces ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Dubravskiy P., Электоральная политика 2024 № 2 С. 2
The paper explores the phenomenon of populism in Latin America as represented by two prominent political figures: Nayib Bukele, President of El Salvador, and Javier Milei, President of Argentina. Both leaders embody different approaches to populism, using charismatic leadership and radical rhetoric to mobilize the population and challenge political elites. The paper analyzes the methods ...
Added: September 27, 2026
Bessonov V. A., В кн.: Очерки по экономике: учебное пособие для вузов.: СПб.: Издательство Санкт-Петербургского государственного университета, 2026. Гл. Приложение 1 С. 369–394.
Учебное пособие «Очерки по экономике» формирует стратегическое экономическое мышление, соединяя исторические сюжеты, классические теории и примеры из современности. Авторы показывают, как в разное время — от эпохи дарообмена до появления цифровых валют — определенные идеи, институты и культурные реалии оказывают преобразующее влияние на те или иные рынки.
Книга дает студентам инструментарий для критического анализа, прогнозирования и ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Ursulenko V., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Настоящая работа представляет методику модифицированного метода синтетической контрольной группы (Synthetic Control Method – SCM), модификация которого разработана для преодоления ключевых ограничений классического подхода, а именно проблемы аппроксимируемости и недостаточности группы сравнения. Подход основан на введении двух корректирующих множителей, которые позволяют устранить систематическое смещение уровней между целевым и синтетическим объектом (страной), а также согласовать темпы роста ...
Added: September 23, 2026
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
Added: September 15, 2026
/ Series SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Assessment item development requires careful control of construct alignment, response structure, difficulty, language, and review evidence. Large language models can accelerate item drafting, but ad hoc prompting is difficult to audit or reproduce. AIGRA is an R package for structured, agentic item generation, review, and analysis. It supports tabular item-bank templates, Python-backed generation workflows, direct ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Degterev D. A., Морозенская Е. В., Азия и Африка сегодня 2026 № 7 С. 73–77
Abstract
The International Scientific Conference “Strategies for Industrial Development of African Countries,” attended by representatives of the domestic and international (primarily African) academic community, as well as representatives of Russian government agencies and business circles, was held at the Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences by the Center for Transition Economy Studies ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Kudriavtseva E., / РЦИС. Серия № 0148-756-286. 2026.
The content of the work is the system is a system for identifying four types of written speech structures. A set of 11 calculated parameters, statistical standards, and semantic characteristics allows for the identification of a text's structure as the result of a specific cognitive schema (scene, event, story, evaluation). The method has been verified ...
Added: June 2, 2026