?
Грядущая кибернетическая революция и технологические трансформации.
Credo new. 2016. № 2.
Grinin L. E., Гринин А.
In the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. We assume that the sixth K-wave in the 2030s and 2040s will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough in medical technologies which will be capable to combine many other technologies into a single complex of MBNRIC-technologies (med-bio-nano-robo-info-cognitive technologies). The article offers some forecasts concerning the development of these technologies.
Keywords: биотехнологииробототехникаperipherycenternanotechnologiescognitive technologiesпромышленная революцияМир-Система нанотехнологии медицинаroboticsWorld-Systemкогнитивные технологииK-wavesпроизводственные революциипринцип производствакибернетическая революциякондратьевские волныProduction revolutionsbiotechnologiesсамоуправляемые системычетвертая К-волнапятая К-волнашестая К-волнаCybernetic Revolutionself-regulating systemsIndustrial Revolution production principle medicine центр периферияthe fourth K-wavethe fifth K-wavethe sixth K-wave
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Zaostrovtsev A. P., Вопросы теоретической экономики 2025 № 2 С. 196–204
Th e article presents a review of a book in which its authors consider concepts of transition to sustainable
economic growth. Th e focus is on the problem of institutions and culture. Th e features of understanding their relationship
are discussed. Th e concepts of R. Allen and J. Mokyr with their diff erent interpretations of the ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.
At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022). Socially ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Nagornaya A., Пинчукова А. Е., Мир науки. Социология, филология, культурология 2025 Т. 16 № 4 С. 1–13
The article examines the use of specialized terminology in popular science texts on medical topics. It focuses on the phenomenon of popularizing medical knowledge in contemporary English-language culture, identifies the reasons for the widespread demand for this type of literature (the need for reliable information, increased personalization of medical texts, and the diversity of genres ...
Added: April 27, 2026
Leonid E. Grinin, Andrey V. Korotayev, Jameelah M. Musieva, Iberoamérica 2026 No. 1 P. 22–47
The main objective of this article is to analyze the transformation of the world order in the context of the transition to a multipolar system, in which the BRICS+ alliance (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) would play a key role. This article addresses the problem of leadership in the absence of an absolute ...
Added: April 13, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Вадим Устюжанин, Дмитрий Семичев, Леонид Гринин et al., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 1 С. 9–61
The revolutionary process in the 21st century has undergone significant changes, and with the destabilization of democracy and the transformation of the world order, the number of revolutionary episodes has only increased, acquiring new goals and forms. In the countries of the Global South, as the population grew, millions of people began to come out ...
Added: March 25, 2026
Nazarenko G., Локтионов К. С., Алексеев А. И., Крестьяноведение 2024 Т. 9 № 4 С. 178–217
The article considers the main post-Soviet transformation of functional types of rural settlements in the Khanty-Mansi and the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Regions within the Lower Ob Region. The article is based on the field data collected in July 2023 and on the statistical data from the Federal State Statistics Service, district and regional administrative departments, and ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Gabdrahmanov R., Tsoy T., Martinez-Garcia E. et al., , in: Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Informatics in Control, Automation and Robotics - (Volume 1) ICINCO 2024.: SciTePress, 2024. P. 511–518.
Computer simulations are growing in popularity in robotics research due to their near-zero cost of error and lower labor intensity. One of necessary components of a simulation, in addition to a robot model, is a model of a world in which the robot operates. While it is always possible to construct a world model manually, ...
Added: March 17, 2026
Sultanov R., Safin R., Martinez-Garcia E. et al., , in: Proceedings of the 21st International Conference on Informatics in Control, Automation and Robotics - (Volume 1) ICINCO 2024.: SciTePress, 2024. P. 519–526.
Vision is one of the well-researched sensing abilities of robots. However, applying vision-based algorithms can be challenging when used in different environmental conditions. One such challenge in vision-based localization is dynamic lighting conditions. In this paper, we present a new Gazebo plugin that enables realistic illumination changes depending on a current Sun's position. A plugin's ...
Added: March 17, 2026
Chebotareva E., Mukhamedshin A., Imamov N. et al., , in: 2025 11th International Conference on Automation, Robotics, and Applications (ICARA), 12-14 Feb. 2025.: IEEE, 2025. Ch. 2025 P. 252–256.
Added: March 17, 2026
Faizullin R., Imamov N., Tsoy T. et al., , in: 10th International Conference, ICR 2025, Hanoi, Vietnam, November 10–13, 2025, Proceedings, Part II. Interactive Collaborative Robotics. (LNCS, volume 16304).: Springer, 2026. P. 385–398.
Autonomous agricultural vehicles operating under the Controlled Traffic Farming (CTF) paradigm face complex routing challenges when minimizing soil compaction, total mission time, and station placement under battery constraints. This paper introduces Multi-Objective Coordinated Autonomous Routing and Placement with Fixed Lanes (MO-CARP-FL), a novel multi-objective evolutionary algorithm designed to optimize the coordinated routing of homogeneous autonomous ...
Added: March 17, 2026
Myzina A., Safin R., Tsoy T. et al., , in: Proceedings Volume 14073, Fifth International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and Algorithms (AI2A 2025).: [б.и.], 2026.
Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters, causing human casualties and severe economic damage. Effective monitoring of flooded areas requires automated systems capable of real-time perception and decision-making. This paper proposes a water surface segmentation model based on the U-Net architecture, trained entirely on synthetic data generated in the Gazebo simulator with variations in ...
Added: March 17, 2026
Faizullin R., Imamov N., Tsoy T. et al., , in: Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Agriculture Digitalization and Organic Production (ADOP 2025), Volume 1. Robotics in Agriculture. (SIST, volume 453).: Springer, 2026. P. 25 – 34.
This article considers a dual problem of optimizing field coverage while minimizing a soil compaction and managing energy constraints of agricultural robots. The soil compaction in precision agriculture is a major challenge, as mobile robots are becoming increasingly common in field operations. A proposed optimization combines a soil compaction risk assessment with energy-efficient trajectory planning ...
Added: March 17, 2026
Gamberov T., Safin R., Tsoy T. et al., , in: Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Agriculture Digitalization and Organic Production (ADOP 2025), Volume 1. Robotics in Agriculture. (SIST, volume 453).: Springer, 2026. P. 175–187.
The agricultural sector is undergoing a digital transformation due to modern automation, robotics, sensing, and simulation technologies. This research explores a use of digital human models (DHMs) in the Gazebo virtual environment to enhance agricultural workflows, improve human-robot interaction, and ensure safety. We propose a framework that models typical agricultural scenarios, such as field mapping, ...
Added: March 17, 2026
Gataullin R., Abbyasov B., Zhukova V. et al., , in: 6th International Conference, CIT&DS 2025, Volgograd, Russia, September 22–25, 2025, Proceedings. Creativity in Intelligent Technologies and Data Science. (CCIS, volume 2803).: Cham: Springer, 2025. P. 477 – 491.
Mobile robots are increasingly used to automate repetitive and labor-intensive tasks in environments such as hospitals, warehouses, offices, and manufacturing facilities. When working together, multiple robots can achieve greater efficiency by sharing workloads and coordinating complex tasks, which enables faster completion of large-scale operations. Managing such teams of robots, however, requires an intuitive system for ...
Added: March 17, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026