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Риски быстрых и неконтролируемых мировых изменений как проблема мировой политики и научного знания
С. 11–94.
Следзевский И. В.
Language:
Russian
Publication based on the results of:
Shchur L., Antonov D., Burovski E., International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering 2026 Vol. 36 No. 10 Article 2650132
We present a simple model that simulates the possible influence of one society on another. Specifically, two societies evolve deterministically according to the well-known Nowak-May spatial game with the addition of mutual influence through connections that reflect the current states of the societies. This may be related to the influence of a global information resource ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Grigoryev L. M., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2025 Т. 60 № 4 С. 176–205
By the end of XX century the constructed complex of economic theories was used as an implicit background under the Sustainable Development Goals of the UN 2015. In fact, the actual path of global development has moved along its own path. Collective efforts of economic policies to pull this path onto an attractive trajectory of ...
Added: March 21, 2026
Kanaev E., Афонцев С. А., Богданов К. В. et al., М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2025.
The report "Russia and the World: 2026" is the twenty-fourth in a series of annual publications of IMEMO. The report consists of three parts: global trends, economy and foreign policy. The main focus is on issues of key importance for ensuring stable economic and political development of Russia in the immediate (2026) and longer term. ...
Added: January 30, 2026
Гаман-Голутвина О.В., Сморгунов Л. В., Полис. Политические исследования 2023 № 1 С. 7–10
The object of consideration in the article is the sources of global turbulence and the understanding of this topic within the framework of modern political science. Among the sources of turbulence are the natural environment and its pulsations, which can destabilize social systems; anthropogenic impact on nature, climate and large ecosystems; unstable demography and powerful ...
Added: December 8, 2025
Tatyana A. Alexeeva, Kuznetsov N., Mokaev T. et al., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2025 Vol. 196 Article 116371
Irregular dynamics (especially chaotic) is often undesirable in economics because it presents challenges for predicting and controlling the behavior of economic agents. In this paper, we used an overlapping generations (OLG) model with a control function in the form of government spending as an example, to demonstrate an effective approach to forecasting and regulating chaotic ...
Added: April 20, 2025
Адно Ю. Н., Афонцев С. А., Белков Ю. А. et al., М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2024.
The report "Russia and the World: 2025" is the twenty-third in a series of annual publications of IMEMO. The report consists of three parts: global trends, economy and foreign policy. The main focus is on issues of key importance for ensuring stable economic and political development of Russia in the immediate (2025) and longer term. ...
Added: December 27, 2024
Gordeeva T. O., Marchuk L., Бутенко М. И., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Психология и педагогика 2024 Т. 21 № 4 С. 967–991
Research activities of postgraduate and undergraduate students are an important component of the educational process and training of qualified specialists who can think and create new knowledge independently, and their choice of research career and, consequently, the scientific, technical and humanitarian progress of our country depends on their productive involvement in it. The results of ...
Added: September 19, 2024
Kuznetsov A. P., Sedova Y. V., Stankevich N., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2024 Vol. 186 Article 115237
We study numerically the dynamics of low–dimensional ensembles of discrete neuron models - Chialvo maps. We are focused on choosing the autonomous map parameters corresponding to the invariant curve. We consider two cases of coupling organization: (i) via a nonlinear function of models; (ii) linear coupling, which is an analog of electrical neuron interaction. For ...
Added: July 10, 2024
Alexeeva T., Кузнецов Н. В., Мокаев Т. Н. et al., Дифференциальные уравнения и процессы управления 2023 № 4 С. 53–66
The accuracy of forecasting the expected values of economic indicators under conditions of irregular dynamics has a key role in taking optimal management decision-making. This current and complex task can be effectively solved using modern methods based on artificial intelligence, the wide introduction of which into the economy is aimed at by the Federal project "Artificial ...
Added: January 7, 2024
Gonchenko S., Гонченко А. С., Морозов К. Е., Известия высших учебных заведений. Радиофизика 2023 Т. 66 № 9 С. 767–796
В этой работе мы даем обзор некоторых фундментальных результатов в теории динамических систем, которые привели к открытию динамического хаос и его трех форм, двух классических - это "консервативный хаос" и "диссипативный хаос", а также третьей, совсем новой - это так наываемая "смешанная динамика", при которой множества аттракторов и репеллеров имеют непустое пересечение. Большая часть работы ...
Added: December 15, 2023
Sorokin P. S., Социологические исследования 2023 № 3 С. 103–114
In the context of a new phase of the evolution of society, characterized by accelerated destructuration, the problem of “agency” requires rethinking. To study the role and potential of individual action in the transformations of the social environment, it is necessary to develop new theoretical models and methodological solutions. For this purpose, a critical review ...
Added: April 11, 2023
Alexeeva T., Diep Q. B., Kuznetsov N. et al., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2023 Vol. 170 Article 113377
One of the key tasks in the economy is forecasting the economic agents’ expectations of the future values of economic variables using mathematical models. The behavior of mathematical models can be irregular, including chaotic, which reduces their predictive power. In this paper, we study the regimes of behavior of two economic models and identify irregular ...
Added: April 8, 2023
Petrovskaya N., Финансовая аналитика: проблемы и решения 2017 Т. 10 № 3(333) С. 343–356
Importance The article reviews the significance of small businesses for creating and preserving jobs, and illustrates the USA where small businesses account for about a half of people employed in the private sector.
Objectives The research presents a comprehensive study into the role of small businesses in terms of job opportunities and preservation of the number of jobs.
Methods Drawing ...
Added: September 29, 2022
Letellier C., Stankevich N., Rössler O., International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering 2022 Vol. 32 No. 2 Article 2230004
Characterizing accurately chaotic behaviors is not a trivial problem and must allow to determine the properties that two given chaotic invariant sets share or not. The underlying problem is the classification of chaotic regimes, and their labeling. Addressing these problems corresponds to the development of a dynamical taxonomy, exhibiting the key properties discriminating the variety ...
Added: February 24, 2022
Alexeeva T., Kuznetsov N., Mokaev T. et al., IFAC-PapersOnLine 2021 Vol. 54 No. 17 P. 26–31
Irregular fluctuations in economy lead to unpredictable effects and disrupt its stable functioning. Various tools could be used to stabilize irregular dynamics in economic models. For example, to introduce control into the model as an external function, as well as to take into account the internal characteristics of economic agents in the economy under consideration, ...
Added: February 5, 2022
Sorokin P. S., Социологические исследования 2021 № 11 С. 12–23
The article discusses the state and prospects for the development of contemporary
sociological theory. The current crisis is associated with the processes of “de-structuration”, which bring
to the fore the problem of “(transformative) agency”, which has not yet received adequate elaboration
in social knowledge. Sociology, in comparison with other sciences, may play a leading role in the
scholarly development ...
Added: December 1, 2021
М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2022.
The current issue of IMEMO series «Global Development» is based on the agenda of the eponymous international conference of young scholars, which was held at the Primakov Institute of World Economy and International Relations (April, 22–23, 2021) devoted to the Year of Science and Technology in Russia 2021. The collection of articles encompasses the area ...
Added: November 21, 2021
Zhukova N., Chebochko N., Итоги науки и техники. Современная математика и ее приложения. Тематические обзоры 2021 Т. 203 С. 17–38
The aim of this work is to describe the structure of complete Lorentzian foliations $(M, F)$ of codimension two
on $n$-dimensional closed manifolds. It is proved that $(M, F)$ is either Riemannian or has a constant
transversal curvature and its structure is described. For such foliations $(M, F)$, the criterion is obtained,
reducing the chaos problem in $(M, ...
Added: November 17, 2021
Костин А. И., Izotov V., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 12: Политические науки 2021 № 2 С. 7–35
This paper continues the series of papers published in the magazine, which analyzed the challenges of global crises in terms of their impact on the world politics and international relations. The authors highlight several features the pandemic crisis of 2020-2021 has, in particular the «global empathy», violation of the spatial logic of globalization, the spread ...
Added: October 26, 2021
Garashchuk I., Russian Journal of Nonlinear Dynamics 2021 Vol. 17 No. 3 P. 307–320
We study a minimal network of two coupled neurons described by the Hindmarsh – Rose model with a linear coupling. We suppose that individual neurons are identical and study whether the dynamical regimes of a single neuron would be stable synchronous regimes in the model of two coupled neurons. We find that among synchronous regimes ...
Added: October 19, 2021
Alexeeva T., Kuznetsov N., Mokaev T., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2021 No. 152 Article 111365
Cyclicality and instability inherent in the economy can manifest themselves in irregular fluctuations, including chaotic ones, which significantly reduces the accuracy of forecasting the dynamics of the economic system in the long run.
We focus on an approach, associated with the identification of a deterministic endogenous mechanism of irregular fluctuations in the economy.
Using of a mid-size ...
Added: September 21, 2021
Stankevich N., Kuznetsov A. P., Seleznev E. P., Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 2021 Vol. 147 Article 110998
Appearance of chaotic dynamics as a result of multi-frequency tori destruction is carried out on the example of a model of a multimode generator. Quasiperiodic bifurcations occurring with multi-frequency tori are discussed in the context of the Landau-Hopf scenario. Structure of the parameter space is studied, areas with various chaotic dynamics, including chaos and hyperchaos, ...
Added: May 12, 2021