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Экономический рост и выбор политического курса в авторитарных режимах: "недостающее звено"
Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2015. Т. 3. № 78. С. 50–74.
Research target:
Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration
Economics and Management
Priority areas:
economics
Language:
Russian
Gipsman M., Ivanov D., Rosenberg D., Third World Quarterly 2026 P. 1–23
Moldova has been prone to socio-political polarisation due to historical, ethno-linguistic, and geopolitical factors. However, portraying modern Moldova as being torn between the West and the East oversimplifies the case. In Moldova, socio-political polarisation is indeed on the rise, but for the most part it is moderate rather than extreme, and the major fault lines ...
Added: September 15, 2026
А.И. Жданов, А.В. Коротаев, Социологические исследования 2026 № 8 С. 3–14
The article is devoted to an analysis of the influence of digital technologies and the Internet on the emergence and development of revolutionary activity in the 21st century. The authors consider the Internet to be a new significant factor in political destabilization, noting its role in coordinating protests, overcoming state censorship, and shaping new behavioral ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Gokhberg L., Abdrakhmanova G., Kutsenko E. et al., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 4 С. 5–20
This article examines the methodological and practical issues associated with the transition to the new edition of the All-Russian Classifier of Economic Activities (OKVED) – OKVED3. The relevance of the study stems from the need to reflect contemporary structural changes in the economy, related to the transformation of the existing economic activities and emergence of ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Губский А. Д., Сравнительная политика 2025 Т. 16 № 2 С. 52–71
The resource-rich Essequibo region, located in northeastern South America and occupying two-thirds of the territory of the Co-operative Republic of Guyana, has long been disputed by the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela. At the same time, the tensions have been escalating in recent years, making this conflict one of the most explosive in Latin America, which ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Губский А. Д., Россия и Америка в XXI веке 2025 № 12
The article is devoted to the current state of security cooperation between the USA and Guyana. The study examines the strategic interests of the parties and the main directions of bilateral military-political cooperation, which has noticeably intensified after the discovery of oil fields on the shelf of the Cooperative Republic. The results obtained indicate the ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Губский А. Д., Россия и Америка в XXI веке 2024 № 12
The article is devoted to the impact of the activities of the multinational corporation ExxonMobil on the development of the Cooperative Republic of Guyana. The study examines the socio-economic, political and environmental consequences of the development and production of oil by an American company on the shelf of a South American country. The results show ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Makarov I. A., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 4 (140) С. 164–182
Три с половиной года остаётся до 2030-го – окончания срока реализации Целей устойчивого развития (ЦУР) – главной международной инициативы, устанавливающей долгосрочные ориентиры для будущего человечества. Уже очевидно, что она провалилась: преодоление бедности, решение экологических проблем и построение инклюзивного и справедливого общества остались красивой мечтой. Кто-то может воспринимать ЦУР как памятник человеческой наивности. Но надо понимать, что эта ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Fedorova E., Ledyaeva S., Stepanov V., International Review of Economics and Finance 2026
This study investigates the influence of low-quality information, specifically fake news, on short
term stock returns, contributing to the discourse on signal theory and behavioral economics.
Employing a machine learning approach, the authors developed a robust fake news dataset from
publicly available sources. Sentiment analysis was conducted using a FinBERT model fine-tuned
for stock market contexts, alongside extensive dataset ...
Added: September 12, 2026
Novik N., Galimullin E. Z., Мировая экономика и международные отношения 2026 Т. 70 № 9 С. 100–112
The article offers a comparative analysis of the Transarctic Transport Corridor (TTC) and the International North–South Transport Corridor (INSTC) as elements of Russia’s evolving response to systemic shifts in the international order. Drawing on the theory of regional security complexes and the conceptual framework of connectivity, the study examines how both corridors function within a ...
Added: September 12, 2026
Luzyanin S., Умаров О. М., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 26 № 2 С. 240–255
A digital model for neutralizing challenges and threats facing Central Asia has been developed, along with a framework for its implementation based on Russian and Central Asian experience in the sphere of regional security. ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.
At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022). Socially ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 344–376
The article analyzes the transformation of China's economic growth mechanisms in the period after Xi Jinping came to power, with a focus on interprovincial heterogeneity. Based on panel data for 29 provinces of China for 2001-2024, the Bayesian hierarchical regression model is estimated, which makes it possible to identify both average (fixed) and provincial-specific (random ...
Added: May 26, 2026
Майхрович М. Я., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2025 Т. 60 № 5 С. 178–208
Macroeconomic instability in the period of 2020–2024 has revived discussions about its impact on economic convergence processes and methods for assessing the convergence of developing and developed countries. This paper presents a systematic analysis of modern econometric approaches and existing limitations in testing the convergence hypothesis. The methodological framework is based on classical Solow economic ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Майхрович М. Я., Современная мировая экономика 2023 Т. 1 № 4 С. 48–71
The catch-up effect has always been a pressing issue in economics: are developing countries truly catching up with technologically advanced countries, and is the economic gap between rich and poor countries narrowing over the long term? This article aims to test the hypothesis of economic convergence across countries, a key research issue in the field ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Али Имран, Олалекан О. О., Джонас А., International Organisations Research Journal 2025 Vol. 20 No. 3 P. 147–170
This paper examines the long-term and short-term relationships between economic growth, trade, industrialization, renewable energy consumption, and environmental degradation (CO2 emissions) in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan from 1990 to 2022 using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. The study employs correlation analysis, panel cointegration tests, and pooled ARDL to capture the dynamic interactions among ...
Added: March 26, 2026