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Анализ и прогноз демографической ситуации в моногородах России
Современные производительные силы. От догоняющего к опережающему развитию. 2015. Т. 1. С. 98–114.
Timonin S.
Demographic analysis and clusterization of the crisis monotowns, determined by the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation, on type and components of demographic dynamics is carried out in the article. Proceeding the features of the demographic processes, seven types of monotowns are allocated: the cities with positive demographic dynamics (population growth) are presented in three of them, with negative (population decline) — in the rest four types. Th e demographic projections till 2030 are developed for one “standard” monotown from each type (Cherepovets, Norilsk, Lipetsk, Chapaevsk, Tolyatt i and Novotroitsk)
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.
At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022). Socially ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.
Rapid development of surveillance technologies is one of the most socially important consequences of the digital age. This paper investigates the factors determining consent to surveillance of various types of personal data and contributes to rapidly growing research on citizens perceptions of surveillance practices. Relying on a comprehensive survey experiment, we study the effects of ...
Added: May 15, 2026
Карцева М. А., Peresetsky A., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP2 "Количественный анализ в экономике". 2026. № WP2/2026/01.
This study examines the association between health status among elderly individuals living alone and pet ownership (cats, dogs). We employ data from the “Time Use Survey” conducted by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) in 2019, which contains information on more than 10,000 elderly individuals living alone aged 60 or older in Russia, including data ...
Added: May 8, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Borushkina S., Gorodnichev A., / Elsevier. Серия -- "WPS". 2026.
Agglomeration policy has long been a widely accepted approach in spatial development, premised on
the assumption that large, integrated city-regions drive national economic growth through higher
productivity, innovation, and global integration. This paper examines how this paradigm is reworked
under conditions of polycrisis, understood as a durable state of overlapping and mutually reinforcing
economic, geopolitical, and institutional crises. Focusing ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Зинькина Ю. В., Мусиева Д. М. et al., Век глобализации 2023 № 4(48) С. 80–93
The relevance of "sudden" associations of states, such as the BRICS, is rapidly increasing in the process of transition of the global world order to multipolarity and in the context of geopolitical aggravation accompanying the increase in tension in the former unipolar system. Russia, along with China and India, is among the largest world powers ...
Added: February 20, 2024
Фомин М. В., Микрюков Н. Ю., Мирязов Т. Р. et al., Научное обозрение. Серия 2: Гуманитарные науки 2021 № 6 С. 66–82
The article deals with the actual problems of spatial development of the regions of Eastern Siberia south. The results of a sociological study in the republics of Buryatia, Tyva, Khakassia and Zabaykalsky Krai, conducted in September-October 2021, are analyzed. The sample is based on a model, using key characteristics of the general population, based on ...
Added: July 29, 2023
Суворков П. Э., Ermolin I., Манаков А. Г., В кн.: Этнокультурная трансформация постсоветского пространства: факторы, тренды, перспективы.: Псков: Псковский государственный университет, 2022. С. 235–239.
Added: October 8, 2022
Данилкина Н. В., Ermolin I., Иванов И. А. et al., Псков: Псковский государственный университет, 2022.
В коллективной монографии, подготовленной в рамках научного проекта при финансовой поддержке РФФИ № 20-05-00369 Трансформация этнокультурного пространства постсоветских государств: факторы, тренды, перспективы , представлены основные результаты исследований, проведённых в 2020–2022 гг. участниками проекта. ...
Added: October 8, 2022
Gabdrakhmanov N., В кн.: Стратегические задачи демографического развития: приоритеты и региональные особенности: Десятые Валентеевские чтения.: Экономический факультет МГУ имени М.В. Ломоносова, 2020. С. 247–251.
Одним из индикаторов привлекательности высшего образования в регионе является масштаб образовательной миграции молодежи. Согласно данному представлению индикатором низкой пространственной доступности высшего образования внутри региона является интенсивные миграционные потоки 18-летних из региона постоянного места жительства. Молодежь в возрасте 17-25 лет, является наиболее привлекательной группой населения, с точки зрения рынка труда, которая оказывает существенное влияние на экономику региона. Вместе с тем ...
Added: December 15, 2020
Gabdrakhmanov N., Leshukov O., Higher Education in Russia and Beyond 2020 Vol. 1 No. 22 P. 10–12
Fertility, mortality and migration are constantly changing the population dynamics in Russia. Various historical events (economic crises, the collapse of the USSR, etc.) had a huge impact on the age and sex pyramid of the population. The consequences of the demographic crisis also influenced the number of potential university enrollments. An analysis of demographic trends ...
Added: April 6, 2020
Shchur A., Демографическое обозрение 2019 Т. 6 № 2 С. 204–208
The book is devoted to issues of forecasting the size and structure of the Earth’s population until the end of the XXI century; it focuses on both the methodological aspects of making such demographic projections and on the consequences of various forecast scenarios for future trajectories of human development. The authors pay special attention to ...
Added: December 9, 2019
М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2018.
Книга посвящена демографическому развитию государств, образовавшихся на постсоветском пространстве после распада СССР в конце 1991 года. Анализируются произошедшие за 25 лет самостоятельного развития изменения в численности населения и демографических структурах, особенности расселения и урбанизации, рождаемость и репродуктивное здоровье, браки и разводы, миграционные процессы, демографическая политика.Представлен авторский многовариантный демографический прогноз до 2030 г. для отдельных стран, их групп и ...
Added: November 14, 2019