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ОЦЕНКА ВЛИЯНИЯ ПОТЕНЦИАЛЬНЫХ ШОКОВ НА МИРОВОЙ НЕФТЯНОЙ РЫНОК С ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕМ МОДЕЛИ WOM
Нефть, газ и бизнес. 2013. № 5. С. 37–42.
Optimization model of the world oil and petroleum market can meet the challenges of the market, de- signed to create forecasts for the oil industry in the context of the global energy market. As an example of the model are some of the "shocks" of the market, which could seriously affect the oil industry in gen- eral and Russia in particular.
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Грачев М. Н., Лебедев С. В., Вестник РГГУ. Серия «Политология. История. Международные отношения» 2025 № 6 С. 183–200
The article analyses the impact of ideology on the establishment of the foreign policy alliances. The article uses the concept of “underbalancing”, initially developed by M. Haas, and reveals the mechanisms the ruling elite of one or another state uses to identify one or another ideology as friend or foe. The new theoretical material is used ...
Added: March 16, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Bagrov A. N., V. A. Gordin, Svetlova N. A. et al., Russian Meteorology and Hydrology 2026 Vol. 51 No. 1 P. 33–40
A technology for operational complex forecasting (postprocessing)1 of squall wind gusts at the points of weather station location in described. The technology was implemented at the Hydrometeorological Research Center of Russia. It uses the results of forecasts of several forecast models and the complex forecast of average wind. The tests have shown an increase in ...
Added: February 17, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Kanaev E., Луконин С. А., Куприянов А. В. et al., В кн.: Россия и мир: 2026. Экономика и внешняя политика. Ежегодный прогноз.: М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2025. С. 177–196.
The chapter forecasts the evolution of the Indo-Pacific Asia in 2026. ...
Added: January 30, 2026
Kanaev E., Афонцев С. А., Богданов К. В. et al., М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2025.
The report "Russia and the World: 2026" is the twenty-fourth in a series of annual publications of IMEMO. The report consists of three parts: global trends, economy and foreign policy. The main focus is on issues of key importance for ensuring stable economic and political development of Russia in the immediate (2026) and longer term. ...
Added: January 30, 2026
Исламов Д. Р., Россия и Америка в XXI веке 2025 № 12 Статья 11
Donald Trump’s second presidency has revitalized the discussion of Turkish-American relations. Against this backdrop, Türkiye’s academic and analytical community has increased its attention to the study of the characteristics and contradictions in relations between Ankara and Washington. In this regard, the aim of the study is to identify the main discourses put forward by Turkish ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.
We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We propose a new dynamic ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Чихачев А. Ю., Научно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН 2021 № 2 С. 85–92
This article analyzes a new trend in the arms export policy of modern France - an increasing share of European countries in the geographical structure of sales. Based on statistics and examples, regional priorities of French export before Emmanuel Macron’s presidency are identified; the reasons for the turn towards Europe at present stage and its ...
Added: January 7, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Bakshuk M., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
В данной статье рассматривается реакция российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности на ужесточение экономических санкций с акцентом на период после 2022 года. Хотя санкции в целом негативно сказываются на экономическом росте и эффективности деятельности компаний, есть некоторые свидетельства того, что они также могут подталкивать компании к инновациям, а негативный эффект преодолевается при помощи адаптации компании. Исследование заполняет ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Besstremyannaya G., Новикова В., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
Защита прав интеллектуальной собственности является движущей
силой для формирования стимулов инновационной активности
предприятий. Законодательное закрепление правил пользования
результатами интеллектуальной деятельности и обеспечение их соблюдения
позволяет поддерживать баланс интересов создателей и пользователей
интеллектуальной
собственности.
Целью
проанализировать недостаточно изученную для регионов России связь
между экономическим ростом и защитой прав интеллектуальной
собственности с использованием двухшаговой регрессии. Результаты
моделирования оказались неоднозначными, однако, было доказано наличие
значимой связи между защитой прав интеллектуальной ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Данилевич Т. В., Yasnitsky L., М.: Юрайт, 2025.
This course examines both the historical aspects of science and current philosophical issues related to its contemporary development and impact on society. It describes the emergence of science and its progressive advancement, its adoption by society, and the introduction and dominance of scientific achievements in all areas of human activity. Particular attention is paid to ...
Added: December 19, 2025
Pryanikova A., Вестник РГГУ. Серия «Политология. История. Международные отношения» 2025 № 2 С. 102–113
This article examines the specifics of the impact of the global food crisis on the Middle East region using the examples of three Middle Eastern states: Jordan, Yemen and United Arab Emirates. The author considers the general situation of the region in terms of food availability since the beginning of the food crisis (in 2022), ...
Added: December 4, 2025
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
Shchiptsova A., Obersteiner M., / Series General Economics "arxiv.org". 2025.
The addition of phosphorus, in the form of mineral fertilizer, becomes necessary in most agricultural soils in order to achieve consistent high yield levels of intensive farming and maintain soil fertility. Recent consolidation of phosphate fertilizer industry has transformed fragmented trade into a single integrated global network, where a small group of large-scale companies dominates ...
Added: November 21, 2025
Цховребова Д. Э., СПб.: Арт-Экспресс, 2025.
В сборник вошли статьи участников 2-й Всероссийской научной конференции молодых ближневосточников «Армия и военные традиции на Ближнем Востоке». Тематика статей отражает исследования, связанные с военными традициями, историей армии в Средние века, ролью армии в политике, государстве и обществе на Ближнем Востоке в новое и новейшее время. ...
Added: October 11, 2025
Belousov D., Аблаев Э. Ю., Abramova E. et al., Проблемы прогнозирования 2025 № 2 С. 98–117
Статья описывает результаты количественных расчетов в соответствии со сценарными прогнозами мировой и отечественной экономики, а также российского сектора информационнокоммуникационных технологий (ИКТ). На основе сценарных условий определены количественные параметры прогнозов развития отечественного сектора ИКТ в четырех сценариях: «максимальном» (целевой сценарий), «осторожного роста», «умеренной экспансии» и «кризисном» (худший из возможных) с учетом их характерных особенностей. ...
Added: September 19, 2025