Sophisticated Bidders in Beauty-Contest Auctions

Galavotti S.; Moretti L.; P. Valbonesi

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Sophisticated Bidders in Beauty-Contest Auctions

2014. No. 187.

Galavotti S., Moretti L., Valbonesi P.

In this paper, we study bidding behavior by firms in beauty-contest auctions, i.e. auctions in which the winning bid is the one which gets closest to some function (average) of all submitted bids. Using a dataset on public procurement beauty-contest auctions in Italy and exploiting a change in the auction format, we show that firms’ observed bidding behavior departs from equilibrium and can be predicted by an index of sophistication, which captures the firms’ accumulated capacity of bidding well (i.e., close to optimality) in the past. We show that our empirical evidence is consistent with a Cognitive Hierarchy model of bidders’ behavior. We also investigate whether and how firms learn to think and bid strategically through experience.

Research target: Economics and Management

Priority areas: state and public administration

Language: English

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Keywords: public procurement auctions cognitive hierarchy beauty contest

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The study examined the properties of the normal distribution of the values of shipments of stocks of various categories from warehouses of large industrial companies. As a result, it was revealed that the use of the classical normal distribution, in some cases, may give incorrect results, since the values of stock shipments are positive values, ...

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Lesnykh M., Motorin V., Тенденции экономического развития в XXI веке: Материалы VIІІ Международной научно-практической конференции, Республик Беларусь 2026 P. 233–236

The paper deals with comparative analysis of various methods for measuring and studying dynamics of structural macroeconomic indicators that reflect the peculiarities in a movement of multi-component macroeconomic systems. The metric, trigonometric and angular measures of structural changes are considered within vector formalism. Intertemporal orthogonal decomposition of a vector aggregate into the sum of quantity ...

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Zaruckiy M., Motorin V., Тенденции экономического развития в XXI веке: Материалы VIІІ Международной научно-практической конференции 2026 P. 237–240

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Koshcheev D., Isopeskul O., М.: Инфра-М, 2027.

государственным служащим. The monograph presents the results of a comprehensive analysis of the evolution of research related to the assessment of the tourist potential of administrative-territorial units (ATUs) from 1882 to 2024. For the first time, scientific schools are identified, and the author's approach to predictive values and a methodology for the quantitative assessment of the ...

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М.: МАКС Пресс, 2026.

The book consists of materials submitted by Russian and Foreign scientists to the Organizing Committee of the All-Russian Round Table “Logic and Paradoxes of Modern Education Manage ment”. The round table was held at the Faculty of Sociology of Lomonosov Moscow State University on June 08, 2026. The texts are published in author's edition. Organizing Committee`s point of ...

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The second part of the paper continues the examination of the new methodological provisions of the system of national accounts, building on the discussion initiated in the previous publication. It analyzes key changes in the accounting of economic transactions, with particular attention to digital services, globalization, the composition of production costs under the sum‑of‑costs valuation method, and ...

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Abashkin V., Abdrakhmanova G., Artemov S. V. et al., ИСИЭЗ ВШЭ, 2026.

Одиннадцатый выпуск аналитического доклада, подготовленный Институтом статистических исследований и экономики знаний Национального исследовательского университета «Высшая школа экономики» в рамках деятельности Российской кластерной обсерватории, посвящен анализу инновационного развития российских регионов на основе комплекса рейтинговых оценок. Исследование базируется на системе показателей, характеризующих социально-экономические условия инновационной деятельности, научно-технический потенциал, уровни инновационной и экспортной активности, качество региональной инновационной политики. Используемые ...

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In the context of budget constraints, the allocation of development finance is one of the important research questions. This article proposes a study of the allocation of sovereign financing in the Eurasian region in 2008-2022 using new data (the Eurasian Fund for Stabilization and Development (EFSD) sovereign financing database). The analysis shows that the most ...

Added: August 31, 2026

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Asemota M. O., DISCOVER ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 2026 Vol. 6 Article 892

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Artificial intelligence and the reconfiguration of competency management systems in organizations

DISCOVER ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 2026 Vol. 6 Article 892

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We construct a monthly indicator and produce a nowcast of nominal GDP in Russia using operational data. The data used are bank statements and the ruble price of Russian oil. This approach allows for the nowcast of nominal GDP ahead of official statistics by 3–5 months. Nominal GDP data is published by Rosstat only on a quarterly basis ...

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Energy security concerns, environmental constraints, and competition with other energy sources—combined with the disruption of established global value chains—are forcing Russian coal companies to undergo transformation. Based on an analysis of statistical data and the results of in-depth interviews with experts conducted from August 2024 to January 2025, this study identifies the main challenges facing the development of Russia’s coal ...

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Luigi Einaudi (1874–1961) was a prominent economist who made theoretical contributions to the Italian school of public finance, an influential professor, a brilliant publicist, and an outstanding statesman who served as president of the nation from 1948 to 1955, and whose activities laid the foundations for the institution of the presidency of the Italian Republic. ...

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Sizov A., Rodionova M., Sedashov E. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series PS "Political Science". 2026. No. 1.

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Agglomeration policy has long been a widely accepted approach in spatial development, premised on the assumption that large, integrated city-regions drive national economic growth through higher productivity, innovation, and global integration. This paper examines how this paradigm is reworked under conditions of polycrisis, understood as a durable state of overlapping and mutually reinforcing economic, geopolitical, and institutional crises. Focusing ...

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Малахов В. С., Симон М. Е., Летняков Д. Э. et al., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2020.

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Kashin D., Заворохина А. П., Tillashaikhov D. et al., Вопросы государственного и муниципального управления 2025 № 3 С. 121–150

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