Прикладная статистика как инструмент познания в социальных науках

Р. У. Камалова; Стукал Д. К.

Publications

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Прикладная статистика как инструмент познания в социальных науках

МЕТОД: Московский ежегодник трудов из обществоведческих дисциплин. 2014. № 4. С. 83–96.

Kamalova R., Стукал Д. К.

Research target: Mathematics Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration

Priority areas: humanitarian

Language: Russian

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Keywords: политология статистические методы анализ данных количественные методы

Publication based on the results of:

Analysis of regional political regimes and electoral space (2012)

On Practical Aspects of Constructing Quasi-Cyclic Subfield Subcodes of Dual Elliptic Codes and Their Application in McEliece-type Cryptosystems

Kuninets A., IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 2026 P. 1–1

In this work we study the applicability of Quasi-Cyclic Subfield Subcodes of Dual Elliptic (QC-SSDE) codes for integration into code-based cryptographic schemes. Detailed algorithms are provided for constructing parity-check matrices as well as block-circulant parity-check matrices for this family of codes, accompanied by empirical results that enable the construction of QC-SSDE codes with predetermined dimensions. ...

Added: October 3, 2026

Graphon spin systems as exactly solvable models

Medvedev G., Alexandrov Artem, Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics 2026 Vol. 114 Article 044102

Graphons are measurable functions used to describe the asymptotic behavior of convergent graph families. Originally motivated by problems in combinatorics and graph theory, graphons have found numerous applications in the modeling and analysis of dynamical processes on networks. In this work, we use graphons to formulate the Ising model on convergent graph sequences, which include ...

Added: October 2, 2026

Усиление противостояния США и КНР и его последствия для мирового развития

Мусиева Д. М., Akaev A., Век глобализации 2025 Т. 56 № 4 С. 3–15

В работе дана кратчайшая история взаимоотношений Китая и США, которые за 40 лет прошли путь от экономического сотрудничества до глобального противостояния. Проведен анализ современного экономико-техно-логического и социально-политического состояния данных стран, показавший, что Китай как восходящая держава и США, находящиеся на нисходящей траектории, сегодня являются примерно равновеликими по совокупной мощи. Делается вывод о том, что нынешнее ...

Added: October 2, 2026

Планетарное зацепление трилистника

Pochinka O., Baranov D., Nozdrinova E., Теоретическая и математическая физика 2026 Т. 229 № 1 С. 3–14

The Birman–Williams problem on describing the planetary link of a fibered knot K in S^3 has been partially solved. Using Nielsen's theory for the classification of periodic surface homeomorphisms and its close relationship with the theory of gradient-like diffeomorphisms, it is proved that the planetary link of the trefoil (the unique periodic fibered knot of genus ...

Added: October 2, 2026

The Global Energy Order – 2040: Contours of an Emerging System

Yenikeyeff S., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 10–41

This article maps the contours of the global energy order that may emerge by 2040. It argues that global energy flows are being transformed from a price-driven commodity trade into instruments of strategic power by four simultaneous processes: an uneven low-carbon transition, the securitization of energy flows, the fragmentation of the international monetary system, and ...

Added: October 2, 2026

A quantum–analogue formalism for modeling supraliminal information processing

Lubashevsky I., Lubashevskiy V., Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 2026 Vol. 498 Article 135441

We develop a novel cloud-function formalism describing the dynamical relationship between sensory-information processing in large-scale brain networks (supraliminal processing) and the content of the mental representation of an observed object. The formalism combines elements of neural field theory for large-scale neural activity with the spatial characteristics of perceived objects and their embedding in the environment ...

Added: October 2, 2026

Консервативные энтропийно и энергетически корректные разностные методы для одномерных квазигазодинамических систем уравнений

Zlotnik A., Математические заметки 2026 Т. 120 № 6 С. 1005–1009

Численным методам решения систем газодинамических уравнений посвящена обширная литература. Ранее было разработано и успешно апробировано специальное семейство симметричных по пространству консервативных разностных методов, основанных на предварительной кинетической, точнее, квазигазодинамической (КГД), регуляризации этих уравнений. Актуальной задачей является построение численных методов, которые обладают не только свойством консервативности по массе, импульсу и полной энергии, но и удовлетворяют условиям энтропийной ...

Added: October 1, 2026

On some arithmetic conditions of recurrent sequences modulo prime p

Vyugin I. V., Sashadhar D., Algebra and Number Theory 2026 P. 1–10

We study the K-Fibonacci sequence Fp modulo prime p. Cardinalities of sets |Fp+Fp| and |Fp⋅Fp| are estimated. We present the method of estimating doubling constant of some m-dimensional recurrent sets in Fp. ...

Added: October 1, 2026

Fractional Macroscopic Fluctuation Theory for a Superdiffusive Ginzburg-Landau dynamics

Bernardin C., João P. M., Gonçalves P., PROBABILITY AND MATHEMATICAL PHYSICS 2026 P. 59–59

We investigate a boundary-driven Ginzburg-Landau dynamics with long-range interactions. In the hydrodynamic limit, the macroscopic evolution is governed by a fractional heat equation with Dirichlet boundary conditions, while the corresponding stationary profile is characterized by a fractional Laplace equation. We establish a dynamical large deviations principle for the empirical measure and derive the associated stationary ...

Added: October 1, 2026

От Суэцкого кризиса до Ормузского противостояния: борьба за транспортные артерии продолжается

Baklanov A., Международная жизнь 2026 № 9 С. 4–15

This article, using materials from the Russian Foreign Ministry archive, analyzes the origins, dynamics, and outcomes of the 1956 Suez Crisis. It emphasizes the crucial importance of the Soviet Union's harsh demarche against Great Britain and France, which forced London and Paris to cease their aggression against Egypt. It examines the approaches of various states ...

Added: October 1, 2026

Long-time behaviour of dynamical systems driven by bounded mixing noises

Kuksin S., Dynamical Systems 2026

We study the mixing properties of discrete-time and continuous-time dissipative dynamical systems driven by bounded mixing random forces. The continuous-time systems are reduced to discrete-time random dynamical systems generated by time-one maps, so that the main analysis is carried out in the discrete setting. We introduce a class of mixing random forcings whose regular conditional distributions with ...

Added: October 1, 2026

Скептики или циники: Два лица критики новостей

Kazun A. D., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 80–98

The article analyzes media skepticism and media cynicism as two forms of critical attitudes toward news. The empirical basis of the study is a nationwide population survey (N = 6,007) conducted in late 2023 and early 2024. The analysis shows that both media skepticism and media cynicism are pronounced in Russian society: while a substantial ...

Added: October 1, 2026

Markovian reduction and exponential mixing in total variation for random dynamical systems

Kuksin S., Shirikyan A., Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 2026 P. 1098–1100

The paper deals with the problem of large-time behaviour of trajectories for discrete-time dynamical systems driven by a random noise. Assuming that the phase space is finite-dimensional and compact, and the noise is a Markov process with a transition probability satisfying some regularity hypotheses, we prove that all the trajectories converge to a unique measure ...

Added: October 1, 2026

Bounds on the derivatives of the log-cumulative distribution function of the multivariate normal distribution

Potanin B., Dolgikh S., Statistics and Probability Letters 2027 Article 110984

We derive bounds on the gradient and Hessian of the log-CDF, ln F(x), of the multivariate normal distribution. These bounds scale linearly and quadratically in ‖x‖ , respectively, with constants depending only on the covariance matrix. We demonstrate the usefulness of these bounds by proving asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator of the multivariate probit ...

Added: October 1, 2026

Роль медийных мультимодальных текстов в политической коммуникации

Balakina Y. V., Коммуникации. Медиа. Дизайн 2026 Т. 11 № 3 С. 24–44

This article explores the role of multimodal media texts (MMT) in political communication. MMT are seen as a blend of cultural and symbolic forms, manifested through various semiotic modes such as text, image, sound, and their combinations in the media space. The goal is to elucidate how these texts construct social reality and their functions ...

Added: October 1, 2026

Asymptotics of Spectrum and Quantum Averages of the Hydrogen Atom in a Magnetic Field Near the Upper Boundaries of Spectral Clusters

A. V. Pereskokov, Journal of Mathematical Sciences 2026 Vol. 302 No. 4 P. 531–545

We consider the Zeeman effect problem for the hydrogen atom in a magnetic field using irreducible representations of the Karasev–Novikova algebra with quadratic commutation relations. We find the asymptotics of a series of eigenvalues and the corresponding asymptotic eigenfunctions near the upper boundaries of spectral clusters. ...

Added: October 1, 2026

Simultaneous approximation of the score function and its derivatives by deep neural networks

Yakovlev K., Puchkin N., Journal of Complexity 2026 Vol. 97

We present a theory for simultaneous approximation of the score function and its derivatives, enabling the handling of data distributions with low-dimensional structure and unbounded support. Our approximation error bounds match those in the literature while relying on assumptions that relax the usual bounded support requirement. Crucially, our bounds are free from the curse of ...

Added: September 30, 2026

Conservative Entropy and Energy Correct Difference Methods for One-Dimensional Quasi-Gasdynamic Systems of Equations

Zlotnik A., Mathematical notes 2026 Vol. 120 No. 6 P. 1174–1178

Numerical methods for solving systems of gas dynamic equations are the subject of a vast literature. A special family of spatially symmetric conservative difference methods based on preliminary kinetic, or quasi-gasdynamic (QGD), regularization of these equations was constructed and successfully tested. A pressing issue is the construction of numerical methods that are not only conservative ...

Added: September 30, 2026

О числе Пикара и размерности алгебраических однородных пространств

Beldiev I., Тимашёв Д. А., Алгебра и анализ 2026 Т. 38 № 5 С. 1–10

An algebraic variety X is called a homogeneous space if there exists a transitive regular action of an algebraic group on X. We prove inequalities between the dimension of a homogeneous space of a linear algebraic group and its Picard number. ...

Added: September 30, 2026

Navigating Complexity: Statistical Methods, Data Analysis, and Machine Learning for Actionable Insights

Switzerland: Springer Cham, 2026.

This volume gathers selected, peer-reviewed contributions presented at the 19th Conference of the International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS 2026), held on 14–16 July 2026 in Milan, Italy. Reflecting the volume’s motto, Navigating Complexity – Statistical Methods, Data Analysis, and Machine Learning for Actionable Insights, the papers showcase modern methodologies and real-world applications designed to extract ...

Added: September 25, 2026

Vague stimulating ideas, images and metaphors in scientific thinking: researchers' work with horizons of unclear knowledge

Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.

Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...

Added: September 15, 2026

Экономический анализ встроенного надзора за централизованными финансами

Ионцев М. А., Финансы и кредит 2025 Т. 31 № 12 С. 53–62

Предмет. Надзор за децентрализованными финансами. Цели. Поиск оптимальных условий для эффективного осуществления встроенного надзора за децентрализованными финансами. Методология. Использованы математические подходы, общенаучные и специальные методы научного познания: ретроспективный, системный и функционально-структурный анализ, классификация; инструментальные приемы сравнения и обобщения. Результаты. Рассмотрены основные проблемы экономического анализа встроенного надзора за децентрализованными финансами и пути решения этих проблем. Определены ...

Added: September 10, 2026

Феноменология пространственного анализа: модели географической редукции и методы пространственной статистики

Sheludkov A., Известия РАН. Серия географическая 2026 Т. 90 № 3 С. 453–469

The author analyzes how existing representations of spatial phenomena in geography relate to the assumptions underlying statistical and geoinformatic methods. In a broad sense, geography problematizes multi-scale manifestations of spatial homogeneity and heterogeneity, linking them to the spatial positions of observations. Models of geographic reduction are different ways of representing space, its elements, the spatial ...

Added: September 1, 2026

«Многополярность» Константина фон Хоффмайстера. Пролегомены к постлиберальному мироустройству

Moiseev D., В кн.: Многополярность: мир после либерализма.: СПб.: Владимир Даль, 2026. С. 5–33.

В предисловии Д.С.Моисеева к первому русскому изданию работы Константина фон Хоффмайстера "Многополярность: мир после либерализма" рассматриваются философские основания политического видения автора книги (философия Мартина Хайдеггера, идеализм Георга Гегеля, геополитические размышления Александра Дугина и его дочери Дарьи, археофутуризм Гийома Фая) и вопросы о будущем России в многополярном мире. Отдельное внимание уделяется Африке и зулусскому традиционализму. ...

Added: June 16, 2026