• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Chinese Joker in the World Pack
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
October 12, 2026
Road Injuries Leading Cause of Death Among Men Aged 10 to 39
Worldwide, road injuries are the leading cause of death among males aged 10–39. An international team of researchers reached this conclusion as part of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023, analysing data from 204 countries between 1990 and 2023. Their findings have been published in The Lancet Public Health, with HSE University Professor Vasily Vlassov listed among the collaborators.
October 8, 2026
HSE Experts Take Part in 23rd Annual Meeting of Valdai Discussion Club
The 23rd Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club was held from September 28 to October 1, 2026 under the theme ‘Responsibility for the Future: Limits of the Possible, or Limitless Possibilities?’ The forum brought together 120 experts from 40 countries, including representatives of China, the United States, India, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Germany, Egypt, Iran, and Japan.
October 7, 2026
‘Our Team Consists of True Leaders in Their Respective Academic Disciplines
The HSE International Centre of Decision Choice and Analysis studies a wide range of methods for analysing decision-making and possible scenarios for the development of natural, socio-economic, and political phenomena using various mathematical models. The application of advanced mathematical methods to forecasting helps to prevent negative outcomes and avoid erroneous decisions. The HSE News Service spoke to the centre’s director, Prof. Fuad Aleskerov, about its work.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Chinese Joker in the World Pack

Journal of Globalization Studies. 2011. Vol. 2. No. 2. P. 7–24.
Grinin L. E.

In the present article forecasts of China's upcoming development are given. It is shown why China, even with all its possible future success, will be unable to take the USA's place in the World System. The merits and shortcomings of the characteristics of the modern Chinese economic development model are revealed. The conclusion is made that the Chinese economy, with all its achievements, remains generally extensive and, based on the consumption of excessive numbers of various resources and funds and with respect to the attendant investment gain, will become more and more ineffective. The author believes that it will be impossible to reconstruct the Chinese development model and GDP growth rates will slow down soon.

Research target: Philosophy, Ethics, and Religious Studies Sociology (including Demography and Anthropology Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration History and Archeology
Priority areas: humanitarian
Language: English
Full text
Text on another site
Keywords: inflationChinese modelgrowth limitsEast-Asian modelresource expenditureeconomic superpowerthe World-System leader
Similar publications
Особенности самоориентализма в политических языках В. В. Кожинова и Э. В. Лимонова в 1990-е годы
Kanaev A. A., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: История 2026 № 3(74) С. 159–168
The current article is dedicated to the specifics of how the image of the “East” correlated with Russian national identity in the political languages of Russian nationalists in the 1990s. The focus is on situations in which certain positive features of the imaginary “East,” as opposed to the “West,” were associated with the Russian nation. ...
Added: October 10, 2026
AI and the Transformation of Scientific Knowledge: Hybrid Expertise and the Limits of Collins's Theory
Filatova Asya, Epistemology and Philosophy of Science 2026 Vol. 63 No. 3 P. 56–66
This article proposes a rethinking of the role of artificial intelli-gence in contemporary science through an analysis of HarryCollins’s concept of expertise. The point of departure is the ob-served tension between normative accounts of expertise –grounded in ideas of socialisation, tacit knowledge and member-ship in a form of life – and the empirical practices in ...
Added: October 10, 2026
Результативность пронаталистской политики в России, 2007-2023 гг.: причинно-следственный анализ рождаемости реальных поколений методами декомпозиции, регуляризации и байесовского моделирования
Kishenin P., Атаманенко (Зинина) А. И., Демографическое обозрение 2026 Т. 13 № 3 С. 29–80
This study provides a comprehensive assessment of the effectiveness of key instruments of Russia’s pronatalist demographic policy—specifically, the federal maternity capital program and the RUB 450,000 subsidy for partial repayment of mortgage debt—over the period 2007–2023. The central research challenge is to disentangle short-term shifts in the timing of births from long-term structural changes in ...
Added: October 10, 2026
Греберианство: краткое социологическое изложение
Trotsuk I., Социологическое обозрение 2026 Т. 25 № 3 С. 351–385
For the professional (in social sciences or humanities) reader David Graeber is a somewhat controversial figure. On the one hand, he is a remarkably successful foreign author in Russia: all his major books have been published in Russian, although his texts and reactions to them have been rather modestly represented in scientific journals. On the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Рассказ о Вавилонской башне (Быт 11:1–9). Новый перевод и комментарий
Seleznev M., Луппова А. А., Вестник Свято-Филаретовского института 2026 Т. 18 № 1(57) С. 10–35
The story of the Tower of Babel (Gen 11:1-9) is one of the key episodes in the narratives of the Book of Genesis. In modern scholarship, various—often sharply divergent—datings of this pericope are proposed, as well as different interpretations of its place in the picture of the formation of the biblical text that was put ...
Added: October 9, 2026
История Каина и Авеля (Быт 4:1–16). Новый перевод и комментарий
Seleznev M., Луппова А. А., Вестник Свято-Филаретовского института 2026 Т. 18 № 2 (58) С. 322–349
Like other narratives in the Book of Genesis, the story of Cain and Abel (Gen 4:1–16) has been studied and commented upon for more than two millennia. However, recent scholarship has introduced significant revisions to traditional interpretations. Over the past five years, several monumental commentaries on Genesis 1–11 have been published, offering new—and sometimes mutually ...
Added: October 9, 2026
FROM THE HISTORY OF LXX AND QUMRAN STUDIES: THE BIRTH, DEATH, AND POSTHUMOUS EXISTENCE OF AN ALLEGED DEUT 32:8 FRAGMENT OF 4QDEUTQ
Seleznev M., Vestnik Drevnei Istorii 2026 Vol. 3 No. 86 P. 589–592
The article reconstructs the 'biography' of an alleged (in fact, non-existent) fragment of 4QDeutq said to contain a non-Masoretic reading of Deut 32 : 8. It traces how erroneous references to the fragment emerged during the preliminary publication of the Scrolls in the 1950s, the scholarly attention this fragment received, its eventual disappearance from Qumran studies after the official ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Человеко-машинная система анализа и улучшения качества условий проживания населения
Aleskerov F. T., Вайншток А. П., Делахова А. М. et al., Информационные процессы 2026 Т. 26 № 3 С. 895–913
The development and effective management of territorial entities are priority issues for all states, particularly in the context of the digital transformation of public administration. Over the past decade, the integration of information technologies into municipal and regional planning has significantly altered approaches to strategic development, service delivery, and public engagement. This paper describes the ...
Added: October 9, 2026
Церемониймейстер, счетовод или тайный агент? Институт мушрифа и его эволюция в странах Ближнего и Среднего Востока
Абзалов Л. Ф., Гатин М., Мустакимов И. А. et al., Материалы по археологии и истории античного и средневекового Причерноморья 2026 № 22 С. 395–406
The article is devoted to the analysis of the office of mushrif in the states of traditional Orient. The sources and researches characterize this institution in different ways. One authors consider mushrif as a representative of a treasure office, others states that he was a kind of ‘undercover agent” who fulfilled ruler’s secret orders in ...
Added: October 8, 2026
События «Арабской весны» в Марокко как частично успешный революционный эпизод
Коротаев А.В., Бурова А. Н., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 Vol. 122 No. 3 P. 160–178
The article analyzes the course and consequences of the events of the “Arab Spring” in Morocco and provides answers to two main questions: can these events be classified as a revolutionary episode, and, if so, was it successful, and to what extent? After examining the relevant historiography and comparing the approaches, concepts, and definitions of ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Soviet Oil Exports to the CMEA Countries: New Statistical Evidence
Popov A., Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences 2025 Vol. 95 No. 6 P. 689–699
The article examines the export of Soviet oil to the CMEA countries in 1965–1985, relying on statistical data from declassified collections of Foreign Trade of CMEA Member Countries, which are being made available to scholars for the first time. The author argues that economic motives played a significant role in the expansion of Soviet oil ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Свобода, закон и воображение в лекциях Ф.В.Й.Шеллинга 1820-21 гг.
Rezvykh P. V., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Философия 2019 Т. 23 № 1 С. 7–18
The article gives the detailed analysis of the ratio of freedom and imagination in an unpublished manuscript written by F.W.J. Schelling, which contains the materials for the lecture course read at Erlangen University in 1820-1821. The author focuses on the question of imagination as a condition for the possibility to unfold the modal differences that provide the ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Рецепция философии Ф.В.Й. Шеллинга в поздних работах А.Ф. Лосева
Rezvykh P. V., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Философия 2026 Т. 30 № 1 С. 127–143
The issue delivers an analysis of schellingian motives in the later works by A.F. Losev. The author brings information about Losev’s retrospective evaluation of Schelling’s influence on the formation of his own philosophical approach, it’s specific character and it’s grade. The author shows that all the main investigation projects of the later Losev which have ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Динамика государственной политики обновления городской среды в России (2000–2020-е гг.): факторы институциональной изменчивости и стабильности
Stremoukhov D., Черников П. Е., Стародубцев А. В., Политическая наука 2026 № 3 С. 206–233
Over the past two decades, Russian urban renewal policy has evolved from fragmented and weakly demanded initiatives – such as Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Osvoenie Territorii, KOT) and Development of Built-Up Areas (Razvitie Zastroennykh Territorii, RZT) – toward the formation of a large-scale nationwide mechanism of Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Razvitie Territorii, KRT). This article ...
Added: October 7, 2026
The Gulag as a Soviet Military Resource: Mobilization through Dismantlement
Khlevniuk O. V., Journal of Slavic Military Studies 2026 Vol. 39 No. 3 P. 447–466
The Gulag as a system of terror and forced labor was the cornerstone of Soviet mobilization efforts in the 1930s. Paradoxically, during the war with Nazi Germany, the Gulag’s capacities and economic significance did not grow, but in fact declined, contrary to what one would expect. The massive use of prisoners as a source for replenishing the army and the huge ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Вышелейские эпифании: концептуальная пересборка случайной этнографии
Rozhdestvenskaya E., Abramov R., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 3 С. 244–274
The article presents an experimental study at the intersection of social anthropology and qualitative sociology. The empirical basis is a corpus of 18 short biographical sketches of collective farm peasant women from the village of Vysheley, Penza Region, created at the end of the Soviet period by school local historians and discovered by one of the authors during a ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Decision support system for improving the quality of life of the population
Aleskerov F. T., Chaika E., Дерендяев А. Б. et al., Procedia Computer Science 2026 No. 287 P. 590–595
Under conditions of dynamic socio-economic changes, effective planning and decision-making are key factors in ensuring a high quality of life for the population in territories. This paper presents a decision support system for territorial administrations for the development and implementation of sustainable development strategies, using one of the regions of the Russian Federation – the ...
Added: October 7, 2026
A Just War: From Principles of Theory to Factors of Ordinary Judgments
Gajiyev A., Deviatko I. F., Conflict Resolution Quarterly 2026
This paper explores the factors influencing ordinary judgments of justice in warfare, drawing primarily on normative theories of just war. By examining the alignment between the philosophical principles of just war and ordinary normative judgments, we explore the extent to which lay moral evaluations of war are shaped by the principles articulated in normative just ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Трансформация исследовательских компетенций в условиях междисциплинарности: запрос на новую модель подготовки научных кадров
Nefedova A., Shmatko N., Antonova E., Социологические исследования 2026 № 9 С. 52–69
This article analyzes the transformation of professional competencies of researchers in the context of growing interdisciplinarity and the digitalization of science. The aim of the study is to identify the structural gap between the normative expectations of the scientific community and the actual outcomes of the research personnel training system in Russia. The theoretical framework ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Цифровые платформы в России: состояние, экономические эффекты и перспективы развития
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Koshel A. et al., М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В научном докладе цифровые платформы впервые рассмотрены не как частный сегмент цифрового рынка, а как новый институциональный механизм организации экономики. В одной исследовательской рамке соединены экономика, право, социология, компьютерные науки, информационная безопасность, данные бизнеса и регуляторная практика — все то, что позволяет взглянуть на платформы как на институт со своими правилами игры. Особую ценность работе ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Inflation and economic growth in Russia: searching for the optimal level
Demidova O., Kazakova S., Applied Economics 2026 P. 1–14
This paper examines the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth across Russian regions, contributing to the literature on the inflation-growth nexus by using subnational evidence from a large and economically heterogeneous country. Using panel data for 83 regions over the period 2015–2023, we estimate fixed-effects models with a quadratic specification of inflation. The growth-maximizing ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Vague stimulating ideas, images and metaphors in scientific thinking: researchers' work with horizons of unclear knowledge
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
Added: September 15, 2026
AIGRA: Agentic Item Generation, Review, and Analysis for Educational Assessment
/ Series SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Assessment item development requires careful control of construct alignment, response structure, difficulty, language, and review evidence. Large language models can accelerate item drafting, but ad hoc prompting is difficult to audit or reproduce. AIGRA is an R package for structured, agentic item generation, review, and analysis. It supports tabular item-bank templates, Python-backed generation workflows, direct ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Динамическая доходность по вкладам как новая реальность для розничных инвесторов
Soldatova A., Сберегательное дело за рубежом 2026 № 1 С. 40–49
Within the classical macroeconomic paradigm, the key interest rate is considered the primary instrument of monetary policy. Through the transmission mechanism, it influences the cost of borrowing and saving, thereby regulating aggregate demand in the economy. Global interest rates today are highly uneven. This article examines the experiences of leading central banks under conditions of ...
Added: September 3, 2026
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit