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Сколько должны стоить финансовые активы? Нобелевские премии по экономике 2013 г.
Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики. 2014. Т. 18. № 1. С. 160–172.
Gelman S. V., Sprenger C.
This paper reviews the contribution of Eugene Fama, Lars Hansen and Robert Shiller to financial asset pricing research. We show how the Nobel prize winners have changed the approach to asset pricing research, as well as the views of academic economists and investors about price predictability and the risk-return relationship.
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Antsygina A., Teteryatnikova M., Tremewan J. C. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2025.
Many competitive environments allow for a third party to be indirectly involved by supporting one or both sides in the conflict. Such support can come from trade partners, colleagues, or allies, who can in turn benefit from a supported party's success. We use theory and an experiment to investigate how support relationships develop endogenously in ...
Added: January 31, 2026
Akhmedova A., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
The study explores a psychological phenomenon of inaction inertia-avoiding action after missing a more favourable opportunity. Unlike action inertia (e.g.,sunk costs effect), inaction inertia has been less studied, particularly in economic contexts. Considering the reference dependent nature of the phenomenon, I build on the work of Kőszegi and Rabin (2006) to examine how past experiences ...
Added: January 23, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Ozhegova A., Зорина К. С., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 6108727". 2026.
Simplified tax regimes with explicit eligibility thresholds are a common tool which reduces tax burden but distorts firms’ behavior, creating local bunching just below the threshold. However, we show that when firms have access to business splitting their responses extend far beyond the local margin. Our model demonstrates that splitting reduces local bunching but amplifies ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., Кумачева С. Ш., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5312100". 2025.
In recent years, an emerging body of empirical research has shown that tax audits, in addition to recovering unpaid taxes (direct effect), increase future tax compliance (indirect or dynamic effect). This literature also suggests that updating expectations induced by audit experience plays an important role in explaining this indirect effect. However, exactly how taxpayers form ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Kuchumova (Paramonova) Y. A., / Series SSRN "Available at SSRN 5277500". 2025.
While the emerging empirical literature shows that collateral tax sanctions (CTSs) - such as driver’s license suspensions or passport denials - appear to be effective instruments to enforce tax debt collection, there are still few theoretical arguments to explain why. In this paper, I model enforcement of tax debt collection and provide a new rationale for why it could ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Dobrynskaya V. V., Tomtosov A., Речмедина С., / NRU HSE. Series WP BRP 60/FE/2017 "SERIES: FINANCIAL ECONOMICS". 2025.
We study the application of factor investing in the market for real estate (REITs). The analysis of traditional factor strategies, such as momentum, value, size and profitability, reveals their unstable and atypical behavior in comparison to the equity market, however, there is a strong momentum effect in the factor strategies. We propose a new dynamic ...
Added: January 21, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Bakshuk M., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
В данной статье рассматривается реакция российских предприятий обрабатывающей промышленности на ужесточение экономических санкций с акцентом на период после 2022 года. Хотя санкции в целом негативно сказываются на экономическом росте и эффективности деятельности компаний, есть некоторые свидетельства того, что они также могут подталкивать компании к инновациям, а негативный эффект преодолевается при помощи адаптации компании. Исследование заполняет ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Besstremyannaya G., Новикова В., / ЦЭМИ РАН. Серия 48 заседание "Сборник трудов Шаталинской школы-семинара". 2026.
Защита прав интеллектуальной собственности является движущей
силой для формирования стимулов инновационной активности
предприятий. Законодательное закрепление правил пользования
результатами интеллектуальной деятельности и обеспечение их соблюдения
позволяет поддерживать баланс интересов создателей и пользователей
интеллектуальной
собственности.
Целью
проанализировать недостаточно изученную для регионов России связь
между экономическим ростом и защитой прав интеллектуальной
собственности с использованием двухшаговой регрессии. Результаты
моделирования оказались неоднозначными, однако, было доказано наличие
значимой связи между защитой прав интеллектуальной ...
Added: December 31, 2025
Meissner D., Salati Marcondes de Moraes G. H., Brandão Fischer B. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2025. No. WP BRP /STI/2025.
Innovation has long been at the center of debates in economics, management, and organizational studies. However, innovation is never free of uncertainty and risk. Every act of innovation implies a departure from established paths and a willingness to embrace the unknown. From the beginning it's never clear if there is an audience which appreciates the ...
Added: November 28, 2025
Shchiptsova A., Obersteiner M., / Series General Economics "arxiv.org". 2025.
The addition of phosphorus, in the form of mineral fertilizer, becomes necessary in most agricultural soils in order to achieve consistent high yield levels of intensive farming and maintain soil fertility. Recent consolidation of phosphate fertilizer industry has transformed fragmented trade into a single integrated global network, where a small group of large-scale companies dominates ...
Added: November 21, 2025
Pastushkov A., The Journal of the New Economic Association 2025 No. 1(66) P. 196–222
Since the 1980s asset pricing in the traditional neoclassical paradigm has been confronting empirical evidence contradicting both the predictions of the models as well as their microfoundations. Simultaneously, the market microstructure literature started probing the details of the trading process, turning the spotlight onto the effects of asymmetric infor mation, clearing mechanisms and agents’ learning ...
Added: June 19, 2025
Berzon N. I., Rechmedina S., Lysenok N., Финансы и бизнес 2024 Т. 20 № 4 С. 42–56
The article shows the development of asset pricing models in the stock market from the hypothesis of a random walk in 1900 to the possibility of explaining more than 90% of returns using a factorial approach nowadays. Based on a better definition of risks, researchers are better able to predict prices and form portfolios with ...
Added: March 10, 2025
Tomtosov A., Finance Research Letters 2024 No. 69 Article 106216
This paper decomposes the long side of momentum portfolio holdings by comparing the location of recent prices to historically high prices. Stocks with prices near historical highs represent 45 percent of holdings in momentum and 70 percent of returns. Momentum portfolios formed in the stock universe with stocks closed to historical highs provide 6.2% alpha ...
Added: October 5, 2024
Gurov S., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2023 Т. 27 № 1 С. 78–102
В настоящей статье оцениваются масштабы влияния ожидаемой и сюрпризной низкой ликвидности российских акций, торгуемых на Московской бирже, на их ex ante и симультанные избыточные доходности. Следуя количественным предсказаниям гипотезы микроструктурной инвариантности, мы оцениваем ожидаемую величину денежных затрат на исполнение «ставки» на российском рынке акций. Данная оценка используется для расчета меры неликвидности, определяемой в рамках гипотезы ...
Added: March 26, 2023
Victoria Dobrynskaya, Dubrovskiy M., International Finance Review 2023 Vol. 22 P. 95–111
We consider a variety of cryptocurrency and equity risk factors as potential forces that drive cryptocurrency returns and carry risk premiums. In a cross-section of 2,000 biggest cryptocurrencies during 2014-2020, only downside market risk, cryptocurrency size and policy uncertainty factors are systematically priced with significant premiums. Cryptocurrencies, which have greater exposures to these factors, yield ...
Added: January 31, 2023
Яшина Н. И., Петров С. С., Kashina O. et al., Аудит и финансовый анализ 2019 № 3 С. 66–70
The authors of the paper have developed the microeconomic model of capital flows on the stock market. The methods of studying of non-equilibrium economic processes and methods of mathematical statistics were used to model the flows of capital on the stock exchange. Such an approach to the diagnosis of capital flows on the stock market ...
Added: November 30, 2021
Moinak M., Vukovic D., Journal of Economic Structures 2020 Vol. 9:47 P. 1–27
The purpose of the study is to evaluate the role of human asset in frm performance and its implication for frm valuation. To do so a modifed fve-factor model with human asset designed for capturing the size, value, proftability and investment in average portfolio returns that performs better than both Fama–French (1993) threeand Fama–French (2015) ...
Added: July 8, 2020
Lambert N., Ostrovsky M., Panov M., Econometrica 2018 Vol. 86 No. 4 P. 1119–1157
We study trading behavior and the properties of prices in informationally complex markets.
Our model is based on the single-period version of the linear-normal framework of Kyle (1985).
We allow for essentially arbitrary correlations among the random variables involved in the model:
the value of the traded asset, the signals of strategic traders and competitive market makers, and
the ...
Added: June 1, 2020
Eliseev A., Silaev A. M., В кн.: Системное моделирование социально-экономических процессов: труды 41-ой международной научной школы-семинара, г. Нижний Новгород, 30 сентября – 4 октября 2018 г.: Воронеж: Истоки, 2018. С. 427–430.
В работе проверяется возможность существования пузыря в американских фондовых индексах в 2017 - 2018 гг. Для ответа на вопрос применяется эконометрический инструментарий, разработанный в статье Phillips et al. (2015), который использует естественное предположение о тестировании перехода движения цен от процесса случайного блуждания к процессу со взрывным характером. Эмпирические результаты свидетельствуют о наличии пузыря в индексе ...
Added: January 13, 2020
Moinak M., Future Business Journal 2019 Vol. 5 No. 5 P. 1–12
The present study focused on one of the important South Asian nations—Sri Lanka—to examine the role of idiosyncratic volatility in asset prices. A four-factor model with idiosyncratic volatility was designed for capturing the market, size, value and idiosyncratic risk yields better than Fama and French’s (J Financ Econ 33:3–56, 1993) three-factor model and performance of ...
Added: December 19, 2019