• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Assessment of vegetation carrying capacity at the basin-scale using an improved SWAT model
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
June 11, 2026
Doctoral Student at HSE University Reveals Hidden Layout of Ancient Parion
İdil Malgil, a researcher at HSE University, conducted a UAV-based LiDAR survey of the ancient Roman city of Parion in present-day Turkey. The high density of the scans allowed the team to detect subtle terrain features concealed beneath the ground and vegetation. The survey revealed traces of entire neighbourhoods, terraced structures, and walls that had remained invisible during routine excavations and could not be identified through aerial photography. The findings have been published in Ancient Civilizations from Scythia to Siberia.
June 11, 2026
Mathematicians from Nizhny Novgorod and Shanghai Study System Stability
Mathematicians at HSE University–Nizhny Novgorod, in collaboration with colleagues from Tongji University in Shanghai, are investigating the fundamental causes of structural stability in systems and the mechanisms underlying its disruption. In this interview with the HSE News Service, Prof. Olga Pochinka, Head of the International Laboratory of Dynamical Systems and Applications at HSE University–Nizhny Novgorod and leader of the project ‘Qualitative Theory of Systems of Ordinary and Partial Differential Equations,’ discusses the project, which is being implemented as part of HSE University's International Academic Cooperation programme.
June 11, 2026
Neurolinguists Assist in Awake Surgery on 11-Year-Old Patient with Epilepsy
Researchers at the HSE Centre for Language and Brain took part in a rare awake neurosurgical procedure performed on an 11-year-old patient with drug-resistant epilepsy. Working alongside surgeons at the Voyno-Yasenetsky Centre of Specialised Medical Care for Children in Solntsevo, they monitored the resection of a portion of the left temporal lobe, where the epileptic focus had been identified.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Assessment of vegetation carrying capacity at the basin-scale using an improved SWAT model

Catena. 2026. Vol. 263. Article 109767.
An S., Wu Y., Luo X., He Z., Kivalov S., Alexandrov G., Dang W.

Vegetation restoration represents a highly effective strategy for offsetting carbon emissions, mitigating climate change, and enhancing the quality of the eco-environment. Despite the ecological benefits, the large-scale ‘Grain-for-Green’ program in China has caused unintended hydrological consequences, threatening the sustainability of regional water resources in this arid and semi-arid region. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the competing water demands of ecosystems and humans. In this study, we investigated the effects of vegetation change on the water cycle and the vegetation carrying capacity in a semi-arid loess-gully basin using our previously modified Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), which focuses on simulating forest growth from young to mature stages. Model validation demonstrated that the improved SWAT model can well simulate eco-hydrological processes, including leaf area index (LAI), streamflow, evapotranspiration (ET), and soil water content. Simulations under various vegetation restoration scenarios revealed that low- and medium-intensity revegetation (converting sloping farmland (slope > 15°) to grass or forest) resulted in slight changes (≤4.84 %) in mean annual streamflow, soil water, and ET. In contrast, high-intensity revegetation caused significant water stress, with streamflow and soil moisture reduced by 19.35 % and 15.14 %, respectively. In addition, the vegetation carrying capacity of the watershed was evaluated, indicating that the basin can sustainably support a maximum LAI increase of 0.20 (15.63 %). Overall, this study can be valuable for vegetation restoration and forest management in the Chinese Loess Plateau, and the proposed methods can be applicable in other areas.

Research target: Earth Sciences
Language: English
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: Vegetation carrying capacity ; Eco-hydrological processes ; SWAT modification ; Vegetation restoration ; Water resources ; Vegetation dynamic growth
Similar publications
A coupled Hydro–Biogeochemical framework for evaluating lateral loss of soil organic carbon under land-use change at the basin scale
Zhang G., Wu Y., Lu X. et al., Journal of Environmental Management 2026 Vol. 401 Article 128981
The ‘Grain for Green’ (GFG) project is a key ecological restoration initiative in the Loess Plateau. The land use changes induced by GFG project have the potential to alter the spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC), yet its impact on the lateral loss of SOC was not well understood or insufficiently quantified. This study ...
Added: June 8, 2026
Atomistic modeling of phengite and molecular mechanisms of NH4+ and K+ diffusional mobility in its structure
Tararushkin E., Glushak A., Rudmin M. et al., Applied Clay Science 2026 Vol. 291 Article 108288
Phengite is one of the important hydrous phyllosilicate minerals capable of transporting water and potassium in subducting slabs down to the Earth’s upper mantle. Being able to incorporate significant amounts of ammonium in its structure, phengite is also a major contributor to the nitrogen cycle in subduction zones. Employing classical molecular dynamic simulations with the ...
Added: June 6, 2026
Динамика озёр у ледника Малый Азау на Эльбрусе за последние 20 лет и их прорыв в 2025 году
Павлюкевич Е. Д., Крыленко И. Н., Кидяева В. М. et al., Лед и снег 2026 Т. 66 № 2 С. 298–318
Рассматриваются механизмы и причины прорыва озера Азау 6 августа 2025 г. На основе данных дистанционного зондирования и батиметрических съёмок определены основные изменения ледника Малый Азау и озёр, формирующихся в его моренном комплексе. Площадь ледника Малый Азау за 2000–2025 гг. сократилась на 14% (с 9.1 ± 0.4 км2 в 2000 г. до 7.9 ± 0.1 км² ...
Added: June 5, 2026
Migration in Regions of the Near North of Russia with Respect to Provision of Settlements with Social Infrastructure
N. V. Mkrtchyan, Regional Research of Russia 2026 Vol. 16 No. 1 P. 170–181
The aim of the study is to assess the provision of all settlements in four regions of the Near North of Russia (Vologda, Kostroma, Kirov, and Yaroslavl oblasts) with social infrastructure institutions and to analyze whether the migration balance of settlements is associated with different provision of these institutions. The study was conducted using data ...
Added: May 16, 2026
Four Decades of Climate Change (1981–2020) in the South-Eastern Baltic Region: trends and spatial patterns of air temperature and precipitation extremes
Gaeva D. V., Barinova G. M., Romanchuk A. Y., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2026 Vol. 157 Article 302
The objective of the paper was the spatio-temporal analysis of the dynamics of extreme climate indices for the south-eastern coast of the Baltic Sea over the 40-year period 1981–2020, employing 10 extreme indices proposed by Expert Team (ET) on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI), characterizing hazardous phenomena as: extremely high temperatures, heat waves and ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Миграция населения в регионах Ближнего Севера России во взаимосвязи с обеспеченностью населенных пунктов социальной инфраструктурой
Mkrtchyan N. V., Известия РАН. Серия географическая 2026 Т. 90 № 1 С. 231–245
Objective of the study is to assess the provision of all settlements in four regions of the Russian Near North (Vologda, Kostroma, Kirov, and Yaroslavl oblasts) with social infrastructure facilities and to analyze whether the migration balance of settlements is associated with varying levels of provision of these facilities. The study is based on data collected from open ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Проявления Камчатского цунами 2025 года на побережье острова Шумшу (Северные Курилы): полевые наблюдения и численное моделирование
Зайцев А. И., Pelinovsky E., Костенко И. С. et al., Морской гидрофизический журнал 2026 Т. 42 № 2 С. 263–274
Purpose. The purpose of this study is to investigate the parameters of the Kamchatka tsunami induced by the earthquake of July 29 (30), 2025, off the Kamchatka Peninsula, and its manifestations on the northern coast of Shumshu Island (Northern Kuril Islands), based on field survey results and numerical simulations. Methods and Results. The results of ...
Added: May 4, 2026
Лесоторговое районирование России: разработка методики кластеризации
Rusakov D., Елютин М. С., Синицын Н. А. et al., Известия РАН. Серия географическая 2024 Т. 88 № 2 С. 214–230
Network analysis of the Russian timber industry was based on the information about timber transactions between Russian companies in 2020. The data were collected from the Unified State Automated Information System Accounting Timber and Transactions with It. The method of graph clustering was developed. The first step is clustering of the hole graph by Leiden algorithm. The ...
Added: May 2, 2026
Интеллектуальный анализ данных в нефтегазовой отрасли
М.: ООО «Геомодель Развитие», 2024.
Интеллектуальный анализ данных в нефтегазовой отрасли, Калининград, Россия, 2024, ООО «Геомодель Развитие» ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Natural hazard database from Internet publications: text mining with a large language model
Derkacheva A., Sakirkina M., Kraev G. et al., /. 2026.
Comprehensive data on natural hazards and their consequences are crucial for effective for risk assessment, adaptation planning, and emergency response. However, many countries face challenges with fragmented, inconsistent, and inaccessible data, particularly regarding local-scale events. To address this data gap in Russia, we developed an end-to-end processing pipeline that scrapes news from various online sources, ...
Added: April 28, 2026
Quantifying and Modelling the Effect of Cloud Shadows on the Surface Irradiance at Tropical and Midlatitude Forests
Kivalov S., Fitzjarrald D., Boundary-Layer Meteorology 2018 Vol. 166 No. 2 P. 165–198
Cloud shadows lead to alternating light and dark periods at the surface, with the most abrupt changes occurring in the presence of low-level forced cumulus clouds. We examine multiyear irradiance time series observed at a research tower in a midlatitude mixed deciduous forest (Harvard Forest, Massachusetts, USA: 42.53◦N, 72.17◦W) and one made at a similar tower in a tropical ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Observing whole-canopy short-term dynamic response to natural step changes in incident light: Characteristics of tropical and temperate forests.
Kivalov S., Fitzjarrald D., Boundary-Layer Meteorology 2019 Vol. 173 No. 1 P. 1–52
We examine the physical and biological responses of forest canopies to step changes in light caused by passing low cumulus clouds that intermittently block the direct solar beam. Using data obtained at a tropical rainforest and at a midlatitude deciduous forest, we estimate the course of sensible heat flux, net ecosystem exchange, evapotranspiration, and water-use efficiency in response ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Addressing effects of environment on eddy-covariance flux estimates at a temperate sedge-grass marsh
Sergey N. Kivalov, Dušek J., Czerný R. et al., Boundary-Layer Meteorology 2023 Vol. 186 P. 217–250
We examined the net-ecosystem-exchange (NEE)-based annual carbon-balance estimates obtained from eddy-covariance (EC) measurements at an unmanaged sedge-grass marsh ecosystem (Tˇreboˇn, Czech Republic, 49°1′ N, 14°46′ E), seeking methods to improve the EC measurements in inhomogeneous environment. The data filtering procedure was developed using three thresholds: (a) a stationarity test; (b) a stability u∗-threshold; and (c) a high relative humidity RH-threshold. ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Soil Temperature, Organic-Carbon Storage, and Water-Holding Ability Should Be Accounted for the Empirical Soil Respiration Model Selection in Two Forest Ecosystems
Sergey Kivalov, Lopes de Gerenyu V., Khoroshaev D. et al., Forests 2023 Vol. 14 No. 8 Article 1568
Soil respiration (SR) is a main component of the carbon cycle in terrestrial ecosystems, and being strongly affected by changes in the environment, it is a good indicator of the ecosystem’s ability to cope with climate change. This research aims to find better empirical SR models using 25-year-long SR monitoring in two forest ecosystems formed on sandy Entic ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Сравнение пульсационного и камерного методов измерения дыхания почвы: предварительные результаты
Касицкий В. А., Kivalov S., Лопес де Гереню В. О. et al., АгроЭкоИнфо 2025 № 5
Оценка дыхания почвы - одного из основных источников углекислого газа в атмосферу – необходима для корректного определения углеродного баланса в наземных экосистемах. Сравнение пульсационного и камерного методов измерения дыхания почвы, проведенные в березняке постагрогенном в регионе южного Подмосковья, показывает хорошую сопоставимость этих методов с коэффициентом детерминации R2=0.75 (p-value=7.546e-12). С учетом высокой пространственной и временной неоднородности ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Identifying optimal cloud cover for enhanced forest carbon uptake: Periodic-case NEE-overshoot modelling
Sergey N Kivalov, Ecological Modelling 2024 Vol. 498 Article 110904
On certain kinds of cloudy days, many forested ecosystems exhibit enhanced carbon uptake and water-use efficiency-the cloudy-day forest flux anomaly. Using ensemble methods to analyze eddy-covariance fluxes, we have diagnosed net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and water-use efficiency (WUE) of a temperate broadleaf forest and a tropical evergreen forest as they responded to natural fluctuating-light regimes. Here we ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Modeling of CO2 Efflux from Forest and Grassland Soils Depending on Weather Conditions
Sergey Kivalov, Kurganova I., Bykhovets S. et al., Soil Systems 2025 Vol. 9 No. 1 Article 25
Carbon dioxide (CO₂) efflux from soil (or soil respiration, SR) is one of the most important yet variable characteristics of soil. When evaluating large areas, CO₂ efflux modeling serves as a viable alternative to direct measurements. This research aims to identify site-specific differences and their effects on empirical CO₂ efflux modeling. The experimental data from ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Карбоновые полигоны: мониторинг, геоинформационные системы, секвестрационные технологии
Гулев С. К., Дурманов Н. Д., Ольчев А. В. et al., М.: Научный мир, 2025.
Коллективная монография представляет результаты трехлетних научных исследований, про­водимых научными коллективами в рамках реализации пилотного проекта Министерства науки и высшего образования РФ по карбоновым полигонам. Пилотный проект ставит целью организацию системы наблюдений за потоками парниковых газов в природных экосистемах посредством назем­ных и дистанционных методов измерений, а также развитие и отработку технологических решений контроля эмиссии и поглощения ...
Added: April 24, 2026
The partitioning of mobile fractions of chemical elements in the mineral loamy soils during natural regeneration after plowing in Western Russia
Enchilik P. R., G.V.Klink, Semenkov I. N., Science of the Total Environment 2025 Vol. 998 Article 180219
Natural regeneration of forest soils affected by agricultural practices is a common phenomenon in many regions worldwide, particularly in boreal ecosystems. Affecting soil quality, the partitioning of extractable fractions of heavy metals and metalloids (HMMs) is not studied during natural regeneration. The following stages of natural regeneration after plowing have been identified in the Smolenskoye ...
Added: April 19, 2026
Трансформация локальных ледниковых депрессий по данным бурения и электротомографии, Борисоглебская возвышенность, центр Восточно-Европейской равнины
Гаранкина Е. В., Юрченко А. П., Шоркунов И. Г. et al., Геоморфология и палеогеография (ранее - Геоморфология) 2025 Т. 56 № 4 С. 678–700
Late Pleistocene transformation of European glacial landscapes is often narrowed down to the impact of postglacial linear erosion. Yet in the marginal zone of MIS 6 glaciation extensive watersheds were protractedly affected by the postglacial flattening in periglacial and interglacial conditions. Local sediment sinks such as kettle holes and dry valleys infilled throughout the postglacial stage can serve ...
Added: April 18, 2026
Размыв берегов на реках Западной Сибири
Куракова А. А., Е.Д. Павлюкевич, Большаков Д. В., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 5: География 2025 Т. 80 № 4 С. 40–48
В последние десятилетия изменение климата и деятельность человека оказывают все большее воздействие на реки, что во многом может провоцировать или усиливать проявление опасных русловых процессов (размывов берегов). Доступность спутниковых снимков с глобальным охватом предоставляет широкие возможности для изучения плановых деформаций русла и их количественной оценки. Это все стало основой для активного развития методов дистанционного зондирования, ...
Added: April 3, 2026
The Impact of Climate Change and Glacier Degradation on the Water Regime in the High-Mountain Part of the Terek River Basin
Pavlyukevich Ekaterina D., Krylenko I., Motovilov Y. et al., Water Resources 2025 Vol. 52 No. 2 P. S159–S171
A set of hydrometeorological models, has been used to assess the likely changes in Terek River runoff in the 21st century, taking into account climate and glaciation changes in the basin. It has been shown that runoff changes will range from –2 to +5% under the RCP 2.6 scenario and from –8 to +14% under ...
Added: April 3, 2026
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit