Статус философского предсказания: «Новое Средневековье» Н.А. Бердяева

Философский журнал. 2026. Т. 19. № 1. С. 134–146.

Morozov D.

The article examines the status of philosophical prediction as a distinct type of historiosophical discourse. The specificity of such prediction is analyzed through the case study of N. A. Berdyaev's work “The New Middle Ages”, published in 1924. It presents a substantive vision of an impending era characterized by a revival of a religious worldview. The article emphasizes the relevance of Berdyaev's work for 21st-century debates, particularly concerning the theory of post-secularity. The focus of the research is not on verifying the prediction's accuracy but on elucidating the structure and specificity of philosophical prediction itself. In analyzing its essential features author systematically examines: 1) the problem of criteria and temporal horizons for prediction's fulfillment; 2) the dichotomy of explicit and implicit meaning within the historiosophical concept; 3) the role of metaphors (“day-night”) and analogies (“the Middle Ages”) in epochal thinking; 4) the personal and performative aspects of philosopher's prophetic role; 5) the formulation of specific demands addressed to humanity, and their feasibility.  The study contextualizes Berdyaev's prophetic thought within the intellectual tradition of Russian philosophy, arguing that “The New Middle Ages” constitutes not merely a forecast of future events, but an act of philosophical participation in history.  The model of philosophical prediction derived from this analysis opens avenues for further study and comparison of prognostic statements across other intellectual traditions

Keywords: будущее, Бердяев, New Middle Ages, Новое Средневековье, предсказание, prediction, Berdyaev, постсекулярность, future, prophecy, философия истории и культуры, philosophy of history and culture, post-secularity