Working paper
A generalization of the conjunction rule for aggregating contradictory sources of information based on generalized credal sets
In the paper we continue investigations started in the paper presented at ISIPTA’15, where the notions of lower and upper generalized credal sets has been introduced. Generalized credal sets are models of imprecise probabilities, where it is possible to describe contradiction in information, when the avoiding sure loss condition is not satisfied. The paper contains the basic principles of approximate reasoning: models of uncertainty based on upper previsions and generalized credal sets, natural extension, and coherence principles.
To model conflict, non-specificity and contradiction in information, upper and lower generalized credal sets are introduced. Any upper generalized credal set is a convex subset of plausibility measures interpreted as lower probabilities whose bodies of evidence consist of singletons and a certain event. Analogously, contradiction is modelled in the theory of evidence by a belief function that is greater than zero at empty set. Based on generalized credal sets, we extend the conjunctive rule for contradictory sources of information, introduce constructions like natural extension in the theory of imprecise probabilities and show that the model of generalized credal sets coincides with the model of imprecise probabilities if the profile of a generalized credal set consists of probability measures. We give ways how the introduced model can be applied to decision problems.
The motion detection in video is considered. We break non-binary motion mask on blocks and calculate a certain statistics for each block. Then we use prior information about statistics distribution to classify blocks on background and foreground. The estimation framework for classification confidence is presented.
We show that if preferences can be defined with an additive utility function then decision making models based on the theory of criteria importance can be defined with imprecise probabilities. With this idea, we analyze new approaches to decision making in the theory of criteria importance.
This proceedings publication is a compilation of selected contributions from the “Third International Conference on the Dynamics of Information Systems” which took place at the University of Florida, Gainesville, February 16–18, 2011. The purpose of this conference was to bring together scientists and engineers from industry, government, and academia in order to exchange new discoveries and results in a broad range of topics relevant to the theory and practice of dynamics of information systems. Dynamics of Information Systems: Mathematical Foundation presents state-of-the art research and is intended for graduate students and researchers interested in some of the most recent discoveries in information theory and dynamical systems. Scientists in other disciplines may also benefit from the applications of new developments to their own area of study.