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Анализ и прогнозирование российской рождаемости на основе специальных таблиц рождаемости с учетом очередности рождения для условных и реальных поколений
С. 34-37.
Language:
Russian
In book
Т. XIII: тематическая конференция «ДЕМОГРАФИЯ И ПЕНСИОННЫЕ СИСТЕМЫ». , [б.и.], 2020
Zakharov S. V., Isupova O. G., Sakevich V. I. et al., В кн. : Население России 2014. Двадцать второй ежегодный демографический доклад. : М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2016. Гл. 4. С. 113-196.
В главе рассматриваются краткосрочные и долгосрочные тренды в рождаемости, в планировании семьи и в семейной политике в России на фоне соответствующих изменения в странах ОЭСР ...
Added: March 6, 2017
Zakharov S. V., , in : Россия 2016. Ежегодный доклад Франко-российского аналитического центра Обсерво. : М. : Обсерво, 2016. P. 323-328.
The author examines the latest trends in Russia's fertility in light of the pro-natalistfamily policy. Changes in period and cohort fertility indicators in the context of the changes in age- and birth order profile of fertility are under discussion. In particular, the author is showing that, given the very modest increase in cohort total fertility ...
Added: September 28, 2016
Захаров С.В., Богоявленский Д.Д., Исупова О.Г. et al., В кн. : Население России 2012: двадцатый ежегодный демографический доклад. : М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2014. Гл. 3. С. 99-238.
The analysis of current trends of fertility, family planning and family policy in Russia is presented in chapter. The special attention is paid to changes in age profile of fertility, changes in structure of firtility by birth order, current and expected cohort total fertility, to ethnic and regional differentials in fertlity and in abortion prevalence, ...
Added: January 22, 2015
Zakharov S. V., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 1 С. 4-43
The article presents the results of the author's demographic research in the field of reconstruction of the historical evolution of total fertility in Russia from the beginning of the Demographic Transition to the present. Based on the author's estimates of continuous historic series of period and cohort total fertility indicators, obtained by direct and indirect methods using modeling elements, ...
Added: August 25, 2023
Frejka T., Zakharov S. V., Population and Development Review 2013 Vol. 39 No. 4 P. 635-647
Russia has a long history of pronatalist policies dating back to the 1930s. Two sets of pronatalist measures were implemented during the past 40 years. The one designed in the early 1980s proved to be a clear failure. Instead of raising fertility, completed cohort fertility declined from 1.8 births per woman for the 1960 to ...
Added: November 15, 2013
Zakharov S. V., Демоскоп Weekly 2017 № 731-732 С. 1-19
The article discusses the main changes in Russia's model of fertility in recent years against the background of its long-term evolution in post-war period and cohort indicators. The structural components of the changes are analyzed in detail: the age and marital structure of the population, the structure of parents by status in citizenship, the age ...
Added: December 5, 2017
Zakharov S. V., Демографическое обозрение 2016 P. 4-46
The idea of an extraordinary growth in fertility in Russia is widespread in the Russian expert community and media space. This increase is believed to be indicative of the positive results of the special financial measures taken by the government after 2006 to stimulate fertility. The author’s viewpoint is more reserved. There are some positive ...
Added: December 10, 2017
Zakharov S. V., Social Science Front 2020 Vol. 304 No. 10 P. 211-235
The idea of an extraordinary growth in fertility in Russia is widespread in the Russian expert community and media space. This increase is believed to be indicative of the positive results of the special financial measures taken by the government after 2006 to stimulate fertility. The author’s viewpoint is more reserved. There are some positive developments, ...
Added: October 12, 2020
Zakharov S. V., Демоскоп Weekly 2017 № 733-+734 С. 1-10
The article discusses the main changes in Russia’s model of fertility in recent years against the background of its long-term evolution in post-war period and cohort indicators. The structural components of the changes are analyzed in detail: the age and marital structure of the population, the structure of parents by status in citizenship, the age ...
Added: December 5, 2017
Frejka T., Zakharov S. V., / Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. Series "MPIDR Technical Report". 2012. No. WP2012-027.
The transformation of traditional childbearing patterns of early family formation to later family formation characterized recent fertility trends in Russia. These were intrinsically interwoven with fundamental changes in all aspects of life of young people in the 1990s and the 2000s. The past quarter century was also marked by concern with low fertility and attempts ...
Added: December 25, 2012
Zakharov S. V., Демографическое обозрение 2016 Т. 3 № 4 С. 6-26
The point of view of the extraordinary growth of fertility in Russia is widespread in the Russian expert community and media space. This increase is believed to be indicative of the positive results of the special financial measures taken by the State after 2006 in order to stimulate the birth rate. Do demographers have strong ...
Added: March 6, 2017
Zakharov S. V., Soroko E. L., В кн. : Население России 2018: двадцать шестой ежегодный демографический доклад. : М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2020. Гл. 4. С. 125-168.
The chapter is devoted to various approaches to assessing the total fertility for conventional and real generations. The fundamental conclusion from the analysis of various indicators of the total fertility in dynamics over several decades is as follows: the average level of the cohort total fertility rate (CTFR) in Russia, both over the past four decades and ...
Added: July 29, 2021
Zakharov S. V., Население (Naselenie Review), Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Bulgaria 2019 Т. 37 № 1 С. 209-243
The article presents the results of an analysis of fertility trends in Russia based on the
most powerful statistical and demographic tool known to the international community as period
and cohort age- and parity-specific fertility tables, constructed for calendar years in retrospective
of four decades (1979-2017), and for generations of women born from 1955 to 1990. The results
are ...
Added: October 9, 2019
Zakharov S. V., Демоскоп Weekly 2012 № 495-496
В последние время усилиями, главным образом, политиков и специалистов-недемографов широко распространилась точка зрения о «необыкновенном росте» рождаемости в России, в особенности с 2007 года, когда государством были приняты специальные меры по материальному стимулированию рождаемости. Несмотря на то, что профессиональные демографы как публично, так и в научных статьях демонстрируют намного меньший оптимизм в оценках динамики рождаемости ...
Added: December 25, 2012
Zakharov S. V., В кн. : Россия 2016. Ежегодный доклад Франко-российского аналитического центра Обсерво. : М. : Обсерво, 2016. С. 320-325.
В статье рассматриваются новейшие тенденции рождаемости в России в свете пронаталистской семейной политики. Анализиуются изменения в показателях рождаемости для условных и реальных поколений в разрезе возрастного профиля рождаемости и очередности рождений. В частности, показано, что на фоне весьма скромного увеличения итоговой рождаемости реальных поколений, в России продолжает увеличиваться число окончательно бездетных женщин, а также растет ...
Added: June 10, 2016
Zakharov S. V., Демографическое обозрение 2016 Т. 3 № 3 С. 6-38
The idea of the extraordinary growth of fertility in Russia is widespread in the Russian expert community and media space. This increase is believed to be indicative of the positive results of the special financial measures taken by the State after 2006 in order to stimulate the rise of fertility level. The author's viewpoint is ...
Added: March 6, 2017
Zakharov S. V., Sakevich V. I., В кн. : Население России 2019: двадцать седьмой ежегодный демографический доклад. : М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2022. Гл. 4. С. 113-154.
Added: May 27, 2022
Anatoly Vishnevsky, Jasilioniene A., Kotowska I. et al., / University of Oxford. Series "Barnet Papers in Social Research". 2015. No. 15-01 (9).
This paper examines fertility and family policies in 15 Central and East European (CEE) countries to establish firstly, whether cohort fertility is likely to further decline, stabilise or increase in the coming decade; and secondly, to provide an overview of family policies in CEE countries, and to assess their impact on the direction of cohort ...
Added: June 3, 2015