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Рождаемость
Гл. 4. С. 113–196.
Keywords: рождаемостьабортысемейная политикаfamily policyпланирование семьиfertilityabortioncontraceptionконтрацепцияreproduction of populationитоговая рождаемость условных и реальных поколенийвнебрачная рождаемостьfamily planningnonmarital fertilityвозрастной профиль рождаемостиочередность рожденияage fertility patternparity progression ratios (PPR)age at childbearingcohort and period total fertilitybirth orderвероятность увеличения семьивоспроизводство населения Россиисредний возраст матери при рождении ребенкаinstruments of family policyинструменты семейной политики
Publication based on the results of:
In book
М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2016.
Kazenin K., Zakharov S. V., Billingsley S., Population, space and place 2026 Vol. 32 No. 2 P. 1–19
Russia's Maternal Capital policy initially increased total fertility rates, stimulating much discussion on whether it would result in more births or only earlier births. Effects of that policy upon different ethnic groups within Russia, however, have not received systematic attention. Varying demographic, socioeconomic and cultural characteristics of ethnic groups in Russia provide a unique opportunity ...
Added: May 5, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 1 С. 228–258
The high fertility rates that persist in Tropical African countries are a kind of anomaly, since other developing countries had lower fertility rates when having similar socio-economic development indicators — phenomenon dubbed “African pronatalism” in Western demography. Meanwhile, the lag in fertility transition contributed greatly to Africa's economic backwardness since independence, which is why the ...
Added: April 11, 2026
Sakevich V. I., Denisov B., Rivkin-Fish M., Journal of Social Policy Studies 2016 Vol. 14 No. 4 P. 461 – 478
The article analyzes the changes in the Russian Federation's state policy in the field of birth control in the post-Soviet period and their impact on the access to abortion and its incidence in the country. The sources of information on regulatory documents are the automated system for ensuring the legislative activity of the State Duma ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Victoria Sakevich, Denisov B., Демографическое обозрение 2024 Vol. 11 No. 3 P. 67–87
The article presents a spatial analysis of abortion rates in Russia. The study draws on official abortion statistics, which, following methodological revisions in 2018, now include information that was not available in previous years. Regional differences are examined in terms of the incidence of induced and spontaneous abortions, the share of abortions performed in the ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Stadnik N., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 2 С. 18–40
Regional fertility differentiation is a significant factor of regional inequality in the long term. As previous studies show, the first demographic transition in developed countries, which was accompanied by the development of public institutions and means of communication, resulted in a surge in regional fertility differentiation followed by an unprecedented decrease.
In this study, an attempt ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Liliya А. Rodionova, Elena D. Kopnova, Kamalendinova S. et al., Population and Economics 2026 No. 10(2) P. 92–114
This article proposes an approach to forecasting fertility using Google Trends search query statistics. Unlike existing studies on fertility forecasting, this paper introduces a method for aggregating thematic search queries using machine learning techniques, reducing the dimensionality of search queries through principal component analysis, and incorporating a lag structure of search queries ranging from 1 ...
Added: April 7, 2026
Cherviakova A. A., Makarentseva A. O., Biryukova S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 1 С. 123–141
Novel measures in Russian family and demographic policy include support for women who have given birth while pursuing vocational education. This is driven by the government’s concerns about the postponement of motherhood, and by a desire to reduce the risks of economic vulnerability for this group of women with children. In this paper we examine ...
Added: March 30, 2026
Smirnov A., Лыткина У. В., Чупрова Е. А., Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз 2025 Т. 18 № 2 С. 194–211
The North of Russia comprises cities and districts that differ in fertility and reproductive behavior; this fact makes the territory an interesting object for demographic research. The paper considers fertility in the North of Russia at the regional and municipal levels, both in conditional and in real generations. Such an approach helps to identify spatial ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Vakulenko E., Evgrafova R., I. A. Trofimenko, Population Research and Policy Review 2026 Vol. 45 Article 19
This research focuses on analyzing the relationship between credit obligations, including mortgages, housing conditions, and the probability of having a child in the family in Russia. The research novelty lies in a complex approach towards analyzing the association between mortgages and reproductive behavior. A longitudinal household survey covering the period 2007–2022 was used. We estimated ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Larionov A., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 26: Государственный аудит 2025 № 4 С. 52–65
Представленное исследование раскрывает концептуальный подход к проведению государственного аудита мер демографической политики в России. Стратегический ориентир на сохранение населения России определяет необходимость совершенствования мер государственного управления, направленных на повышение рождаемости населения, снижение смертности, а также улучшение общественного здоровья в России. Вместе с тем меры управления оказывают комплексное воздействие на данные социальные процессы с различным уровнем ...
Added: February 10, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Демографическое обозрение 2025 Т. 12 № 4 С. 100–122
Formal demographic analysis, including the construction of life tables, standardization of indicators, decomposition of changes, and modeling of demographic processes, requires complex calculations and data manipulation. Despite the advances in methods, many of them have not yet been implemented as ready-to-use, convenient tools in modern statistical environments. To address this issue, we present the demor ...
Added: December 30, 2025
Larionov A., Вестник Российского экономического университета им. Г.В. Плеханова 2025 № 6 С. 15–34
Представленное исследование раскрывает меры государственного управления по повышению рождаемости населения в России, что является стратегическим ориентиром для обеспечения национальной безопасности России. На основе данных выборочного наблюдения репродуктивных планов населения в 2022 году построены эконометрические модели, определяющие значимые факторы, влияющие на рождение трех и более детей. По результатам проведенного исследования раскрывается методический подход «Куб управления народонаселением», ...
Added: December 4, 2025
Fu L., Tomsk State University Journal of Philosophy, Sociology and Political Science 2025 No. 86 P. 116–127
China has shifted from the one-child policy to the two- and three-child policies to cope with the low fertility rate and the aging of the population, but the fertility rate continues to be declining. The aim of this research is to answer the question: What paradoxes do Chinese women face under these pro-natalist policies? Through ...
Added: November 18, 2025
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., / Series Soc " SocArXiv". 2025.
Research of the impact of kin alloparenting on reproduction mainly focuses on mother’s parents and parents-in-law. The impact on fertility of extended families and the alloparental help with childcare they can provide has received much less attention. Moreover, there is an important lacuna in the existing studies of this problem, as it is mostly approached ...
Added: November 11, 2025