Нужна ли Китаю политическая реформа для дальнейшего экономического роста и приведет ли дальнейший экономический рост к демократизации политического режима КНР?

С. 1–16.

Korolev A.

The paper explores the relationship between economic growth and democratization at both theoretical level and within the context of China’s political reality. It is demonstrated that such relationship is neither linear nor stable, but is rather contingent and variable. There are no scientifically-proved reasons to argue that economic growth leads to democratization, or that democratization helps economy grow. There is nothing surprising that China is successful in reforming its economy without democratizing its political system. It is premature to expect a growthdriven democratization in China. Conversely, it is unjustified to assume that democracy is needed for China’s further economic growth.

Keywords: демократия, Китай, экономика, economy, политическая реформа, China, democracy, political reform

In book

3-й пленум ЦК КПК: новое руководство и стратегия реформ

М.: Учреждение Российской академии наук Институт Дальнего Востока РАН, 2014.