?
Динамика государственной состоятельности Буркина-Фасо в XXI веке
The article examines the dynamics of the main parameters of state solvency in Burkina Faso in the 21st century. Based on the analysis of the aggregated index of state solvency and its key components: coercive, administrative, bureaucratic and extractive abilities of the state. The study focuses on Burkina Faso as one of the most unstable Sahel countries facing a statehood crisis. The analysis of the aggregated index reveals the general trajectory of the country's state solvency development from periods of "fragile equilibrium" to the "downward spiral" phase, when each new crisis irrevocably reduces the level of state solvency to a lower value. A comprehensive analysis of various aspects of state viability makes it possible to identify the multidirectionality and unevenness of changes in individual abilities of the state. Coercive ability developed according to the "cyclical degradation" model, when periods of fragile instability were followed by collapses and subsequent stages of partial recovery. Administrative and bureaucratic capacity has experienced a collapse, especially after the military coups of 2022. Extractive capacity has demonstrated the paradox of "adaptive degradation": while maintaining quantitative indicators, there has been a qualitative simplification of the fiscal system and a narrowing of the available resource base. The conclusion states that the military will come to power in 2022. He did not become a catalyst for the restoration of Burkina Faso's state viability. The achieved "stability" is tactical and unstable, since it is based on the systematic weakening of the institutional foundations of the state and the depletion of the resource base, which calls into question the long-term sustainability of the country's statehood.