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Демографическое развитие России до 2030 года глазами экспертов (по результатам экспертного опроса 2023 года)
Гл. 1.3. С. 93–126.
The results of the 2023 expert survey of demographers on 4 scenarios of the country's macroeconomic development on trends fertility, mortality and migration are analyzed. The results of the population forecast are presented, based on scenarios of changes in fertility, mortality and migration, developed based on the results of this expert survey.
In book
М.: Прометей, 2024.
Mkrtchyan N. V., Известия РАН. Серия географическая 2026 Т. 90 № 1 С. 231–245
Objective of the study is to assess the provision of all settlements in four regions of the Russian Near
North (Vologda, Kostroma, Kirov, and Yaroslavl oblasts) with social infrastructure facilities and to
analyze whether the migration balance of settlements is associated with varying levels of provision of
these facilities. The study is based on data collected from open ...
Added: May 13, 2026
Kazenin K., Sergei Zakharov, Billingsley S., Population, space and place 2026 Vol. 32 No. 2 Article e70241
Russia's Maternal Capital policy initially increased total fertility rates, stimulating much discussion on whether it would result in more births or only earlier births. Effects of that policy upon different ethnic groups within Russia, however, have not received systematic attention. Varying demographic, socioeconomic and cultural characteristics of ethnic groups in Russia provide a unique opportunity ...
Added: May 5, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 1 С. 228–258
The high fertility rates that persist in Tropical African countries are a kind of anomaly, since other developing countries had lower fertility rates when having similar socio-economic development indicators — phenomenon dubbed “African pronatalism” in Western demography. Meanwhile, the lag in fertility transition contributed greatly to Africa's economic backwardness since independence, which is why the ...
Added: April 11, 2026
Stadnik N., Демографическое обозрение 2023 Т. 10 № 2 С. 18–40
Regional fertility differentiation is a significant factor of regional inequality in the long term. As previous studies show, the first demographic transition in developed countries, which was accompanied by the development of public institutions and means of communication, resulted in a surge in regional fertility differentiation followed by an unprecedented decrease.
In this study, an attempt ...
Added: April 9, 2026
Liliya А. Rodionova, Elena D. Kopnova, Kamalendinova S. et al., Population and Economics 2026 No. 10(2) P. 92–114
This article proposes an approach to forecasting fertility using Google Trends search query statistics. Unlike existing studies on fertility forecasting, this paper introduces a method for aggregating thematic search queries using machine learning techniques, reducing the dimensionality of search queries through principal component analysis, and incorporating a lag structure of search queries ranging from 1 ...
Added: April 7, 2026
Cherviakova A. A., Makarentseva A. O., Biryukova S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 1 С. 123–141
Novel measures in Russian family and demographic policy include support for women who have given birth while pursuing vocational education. This is driven by the government’s concerns about the postponement of motherhood, and by a desire to reduce the risks of economic vulnerability for this group of women with children. In this paper we examine ...
Added: March 30, 2026
Karacharovskiy V., ЭКО 2026 Т. 56 № 2 С. 85–108
The article introduces the concept of sovereign human capital as a form of human capital that meets the needs of a sovereign economy. The criteria for assessing the SCC are proposed and justified from the point of view of: (1) unwillingness to "drain" within the migration processes, (2) spatial allocation ensuring the connectivity of the ...
Added: March 24, 2026
Grigoryev L. M., Современная мировая экономика 2025 Т. 3 № 2 С. 6–26
The American Revolution was a complex process, the military and political events of which are well documented. This article focuses on the socioeconomic aspects of the process in which the 13 American colonies broke away from the British Empire. By this point, the colonies had reached a level of development comparable to that of the ...
Added: March 21, 2026
Фаузер В. В., Smirnov A., Арктика: экология и экономика 2020 № 4 С. 4–18
Population migration continues to be the main factor affecting the population dynamics in the Russian Arctic. The article discusses the theoretical provisions that reveal the essence of population migration, presents the main migration theories that explain the mobility of the population in the Arctic conditions. The object of the study is 75 urban and municipal ...
Added: March 19, 2026
Smirnov A., Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз 2021 Т. 12 № 6 С. 258–274
Russia has achieved a high level of Internet connectivity and the use of digital technologies; this helps to accumulate and systematize huge amounts of population data. Modern challenges, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, require a more prompt and detailed analysis of the demographic situation. Understanding the information collected by digital platforms and services can improve ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Экономика региона 2022 Т. 18 № 1 С. 133–145
The nature and intensity of migration processes are constantly changing. Demographic statistics are not suitable for obtaining up-to-date information and making timely decisions in the field of demographic and social policy. Thus, digital demography is becoming increasingly important, as this area of population research uses new methods and data sources resulting from the Internet expansion ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Демографическое обозрение 2022 Т. 9 № 2 С. 42–64
The digitalization of the economy and public life has expanded the possibilities of studying the population using digital traces – information that accumulates in the digital environment. Using digital traces, the article explores the migration of the population of the Russian Arctic, a huge macro-region that has experienced a significant outflow of population over the ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Панарина И. А., Народонаселение 2025 Т. 28 № 4 С. 54–67
The article considers life expectancy of the population of the regions of Russian North in 1993–2023. Despite the large contribution of the northern territories to the economy, some of them remain among the most lagging in mortality rates. Using the Russian Fertility and Mortality database, the authors calculated the losses in life expectancy in the ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Демографическое обозрение 2025 Т. 12 № 2 С. 35–68
The article summarizes the application of the network approach to the analysis of migration flows in Russia from the late Soviet period to 2023. Eleven datasets on international, interregional and intermunicipal migration flows were compiled. The data sources include the 1989, 2002, 2010, 2020 (2021) population censuses, vital statistics for 2015-2023 and the “digital traces” ...
Added: March 18, 2026
Smirnov A., Лыткина У. В., Чупрова Е. А., Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз 2025 Т. 18 № 2 С. 194–211
The North of Russia comprises cities and districts that differ in fertility and reproductive behavior; this fact makes the territory an interesting object for demographic research. The paper considers fertility in the North of Russia at the regional and municipal levels, both in conditional and in real generations. Such an approach helps to identify spatial ...
Added: March 18, 2026