Оценка влияния агломерационных факторов на экономическую активность (микроэкономический анализ)

Экономика региона. 2023. Т. 19. № 3. С. 766–781.

Коломак Е.А., Шерубнева А.И.

While agglomeration effects are an essential element of the economic environment deter-mining the decision-making on the capacity allocation and implementation of infrastructure projects, their impact in the East of Russia is questioned. Development conditions of Novosibirsk oblast can have a con-tradictory effect on agglomeration forces. The paper aims to obtain quantitative estimates of the impact of agglomeration effects on enterprise performance by analysing the SPARK-Interfax database for 2019. To this end, the visualisation of the spatial distribution of the sample data, average output and profit charac-teristics was performed. Additionally, the econometric analysis of the influence of agglomeration factors on enterprise performance was conducted. As a result, the microeconomic analysis showed a statistically sig-nificant impact of agglomeration effects on the productivity of firms in Novosibirsk oblast. A two-fold in-crease in the distance to the regional capital leads to a reduction in output and profitability of enterprises by 3.5 %. This finding supports the development and implementation of private and public infrastructure projects. The analysis demonstrated a higher differentiation of profit indicators in cities, as well as a sig-nificant drop in performance and efficiency of companies located in the immediate neighbourhood of the regional capital. The revealed patterns characterising the heterogeneous functioning of Novosibirsk econ-omy can be considered by regional and local authorities when making decisions to support and develop business.

Keywords: эмпирический анализ, город, region, прибыль, agglomeration effects, агломерационные эффекты, регион, city, предприятия, empirical analysis, муниципальное образование, profit, Новосибирская область, Novosibirsk region, выпуск, municipality, enterprises, output