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  • Проблемы измерения деловых циклов: развитие концептуальных конструкций и основных параметров наблюдения

Article

Проблемы измерения деловых циклов: развитие концептуальных конструкций и основных параметров наблюдения

Вопросы статистики. 2013. № 4. С. 22-28.

Annotation Improvement of national information infrastructure in the country of forming market, when the most important question is optimization of macro economical policy in conditions of in accumulation of significant risks due to the potential slowdown of growth in the developed market economies, increasingly offers advanced features measurement of uneven economic development, monitoring cycles in its dynamics. This article presents a brief history of the development of the basic concepts and definitions of the factors related to the measurement cycles of economic processes, considers the key prerequisites for the inclusion of qualitative indicators of the business climate in the short-term monitoring of the cyclic development of the basic branches of the Russian economy. In future articles, the authors suggest elaborating on the information and analytical content of indicator approach in the cyclical monitoring of macroeconomic dynamics, based on the combined use of both traditional statistics, as well as the results of industrial conjectural monitoring