Типы политических режимов и риски революционной дестабилизации в XXI веке
Социологическое обозрение. 2022. Т. 21. № 2. С. 9-65.
, , et al., Cross-Cultural Research 2017 Vol. 51 No. 1 P. 26-50
In this article, we re-analyze the hypothesis that the relationship between the type of political regime and its political instability forms an inverted U shape. Following this logic, consistent democracies and autocracies are more stable regimes, whereas intermediate regimes (anocracies) display the lowest levels of political stability. We re-test this hypothesis using a data set ...
Added: November 30, 2016
(Re-)Bulding the Ship of State at Sea? State Capacity and Regime Dynamics in Post-Communist Countries
, , / Высшая школа экономики. Series PS "Political Science". 2012. No. 07.
The relationship between stateness and state capacity, on the one hand, and political regimes and their dynamics, on the other, has received increasing attention in comparative politics in recent years. Though empirical research does not provide consistent findings, arguments currently under discussion vary from “stateness first” (democratization only after effective state-building) to “building or ...
Added: January 17, 2013
, , , Comparative Sociology 2021 Vol. 20 No. 3 P. 344-379
This article proposes a new explanation of the positive correlation between democracy and terrorism detected in many previous studies. It is shown that this might be accounted for by the fact that factional democracies are subjected to more terrorist attacks than the other political regimes. A positive relationship between the democratic regime and the level ...
Added: August 24, 2021
, , , Сравнительная политика 2016 Т. 7 № 4 С. 72-94
Проведенные нами исследования показали, что между подушевым ВВП и интенсивностью антиправительственных демон- страций не отрицательная корреляция, а криволинейная U-образная зависимость: наиболее высокая интенсивность антиправительствен- ных демонстраций характерна для стран ни с самым низкими, ни с самыми высоким, а со средними значениями ВВП на душу населения. Таким образом для более высоких значений подушевого ВВП харак- терна ...
Added: January 27, 2017
, Democratization 2021 Vol. 28 No. 5 P. 992-1016
Recent accounts of democratic backsliding are negligent about the cultural foundations of autocracy-vs-democracy. To bring culture back in, I demonstrate that (1) the countries’ membership in culture zones explains some 70% of the global variation in autocracy-vs-democracy and (2) that this culture-bound variation has remained astoundingly constant over time – in spite of all the ...
Added: November 30, 2021
, , , / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Economics/EC". 2015. No. 109/EC/2015.
This paper deals with a model of economic growth, which we expand to include endogenous policy switching based on retrospective voting. It is shown that under certain conditions the solution has a special form that we call a cyclically balanced growth path. This type of solution is an analogue to balanced growth paths, which often ...
Added: November 18, 2015
, Век глобализации 2021 № 2 С. 57-74
In this article the author focuses on some aspects of the long-term impact of Islamism (especially radical Islamism) and in general of the religious factor on possible processes of destabilization in the Afrasian macrozone of instability in the future. This macrozone includes the Sahel region in sub-Saharan Africa, North Africa, and the Middle East, including ...
Added: January 12, 2022
, , Islamic Quarterly 2019 Vol. 63 No. 3 P. 427-452
In the paper Islamism is described as a multi-faceted, multi-dimensional, changing and inconsistent phenomenon. Islamism possesses many levels and manifestations. It is impossible to comprehend modern Muslim (and all the more Arab) societies without an account of the impact of Islam as simultaneously an ideology, cultural environment, modus agenda and mode of life. It would ...
Added: December 3, 2020
, , in : Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change. : Springer, 2022. Ch. 23. P. 517-547.
For almost 30 years of independence, Kyrgyzstan has become a “country of three revolutions”. While many other post-Soviet countries have had revolutions (Georgia and Ukraine have had even two each), Kyrgyzstan is unique in the frequency of its political upheavals. ...
Added: October 11, 2022
, , Cross-Cultural Research 2023 Vol. 57 No. 4 P. 352-390
Is there a relationship between education and the type of revolutionary action – violent or nonviolent? Past studies found a positive relationship between the education and nonviolence, but the influence that education produces on the form that revolution takes has not yet been explored. We show several possible mechanisms that push the educated population to ...
Added: March 7, 2023
, , Cross-Cultural Research 2022 Vol. 56 No. 4 P. 385-418
The Internet provides a medium for the rapid mobilization of dissatisfied citizens and potentially contributes to various forms of political instability, including terrorism. However, the spread of the Internet may not lead to a higher intensity of terrorist attacks because direct perpetrators rely on close personal offline ties, and the national security agencies derive symmetrical ...
Added: April 23, 2022
, , Frontiers in Political Science 2021 Vol. 3 P. 1-6
Peace and democracy are intertwined concepts. Immanuel Kant, writing in 1796, proposed that, if ‘the consent of the citizens is required to decide whether or not war is to be declared, it is very natural that they will have great hesitation in embarking on so dangerous an enterprise’. Kant therefore suggested that a ‘republican constitution’ ...
Added: August 29, 2021
, , / SAGE advance. Series "social sciences & humanities". 2022.
Added: August 26, 2022
, , , / Высшая школа экономики. Series PS "Political Science". 2021.
Is there a relationship between education and the type of revolutionary action – violent or nonviolent? Past studies found a positive relationship between the education and nonviolence, but the influence that education produces on the form that revolution takes has not yet been explored. This paper examines it at a cross-national level with an analysis ...
Added: December 1, 2021
, Политическая наука 2013 № 3 С. 151-169
В статье рассматривается соотношение государственной состоятельности и качества институтов, с одной стороны, и характеристик политических режимов – прежде всего, современных постсоветских автократий и гибридных режимов. В частности, осуществлена эмпирическая проверка распространенной в литературе теории так наз. J-кривой, в соответствии с которой автократии могут обладать хорошие институтами (обеспечение закона и порядка, гарантии прав собственности, ограничение коррупции, ...
Added: November 28, 2013
, , Социология власти 2022 Т. 34 № 3-4 С. 102-127
This article is devoted to the study of the influence of elections on the risks of revolutionary destabilization. The authors study different approaches to estimating the probability of the occurrence of revolutionary events in the election year. The types of revolutionary actions are distinguished within the scope of the degree of use of political violence ...
Added: November 13, 2023
О методике оценки текущего состояния и прогноза социальной нестабильности в странах Центральной Азии
, , Полис. Политические исследования 2019 № 2 С. 59-78
This paper examines sustainability factors of political regimes in Central Asia after the Arab Spring. According to the contemporary political notion, Central Asia consists of five states, viz. Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan. The countries of Central Asia have a number of similarities with the states of the Arab world which became the epicenter ...
Added: October 18, 2017
, Космополис 2007 № 1(17) С. 121-132
В статье анализируется роль неправительственных организаций в процессе демократизации глобальной экономики. В этом ключе рассмотрена роль транснациональных неправительственных организаций (НПО), а также вклад российских НПО согласно предложенной типологии форм взаимодействия международных финансовых институтов с гражданским обществом. ...
Added: December 13, 2012
, , В кн. : Демократия в российском зеркале. : М. : МГИМО-Университет, 2013. Гл. 14. С. 429-477.
В главе рассматриваются структурные и процедурные факторы, содействующие или тормозящие демократические транзиты и объясняющие появление целого спектра посткоммунистических режимных трансформаций - от консолидированных демократий и демократий "с изъянами"до гибридных режимов и новых автократий. Предложенная теоретико-методологическая модель получает эмпирическую апробацию на материале трансформаций политических режимов в странах Центральной Азии, Закавказья и Восточной Европы ...
Added: August 2, 2013
, , , Социологическое обозрение 2019 Т. 18 № 3 С. 9-48
The authors analyze the relationship between the type of political regime and the level of terrorist activity, with a particular emphasis on the so-called factional democracies. The key difference of factional democracies from other political regimes is the presence of polarization between opposing factions. It has been reported that political polarization transforms the conventional institutionalized political ...
Added: October 1, 2019
, , / Высшая школа экономики. Series PS "Political Science". 2017. No. WP BRP 44/PS/2017.
This article analyses the ideologies of authoritarian and neo-authoritarian regimes. The analysis is carried out in three clusters: “rudimentary” authoritarian regimes, post-colonial dictatorships, neo-authoritarian regimes. The first cluster is subdivided into two subgroups: authoritarian monarchies and “communist regimes”. The regimes in the third cluster are also subdivided into two subgroups: post-Soviet regimes and neo-authoritarian regimes in ...
Added: February 13, 2017
, , Comparative Sociology 2023 Vol. 22 No. 1 P. 95-137
In recent years, the question of what form a revolutionary uprising will take – armed or unarmed – has been raised more often. This is because, as shown by numerous studies, revolutionary nonviolence can explain why an uprising fails or succeeds to lead to democracy. In the recent decades the likelihood of revolution being nonviolent appears to ...
Added: March 7, 2023
, Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2020 № 35 С. 147-165
In modern political realities, the number of local conflicts between countries is growing, which leads to increasing attention from the governments of these countries to creation and improvement instruments of foreign policy pressure on rebellious states. Current practice shows that sanctions as a way of economic pressure continue to be used by democratic countries as ...
Added: May 22, 2020
, Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2012 № 8 С. 3-11
The question of correlation between liberalism and democracy is a key one for contemporary political theory and the practice of public governance. The significance of the theme proposed is stipulated by the dynamic development of political actuality in the countries of Western Europe and North America, which means the emergence and efficient existence of liberal ...
Added: January 17, 2013