Система показателей оценки использования социально-экономического потенциала региона
Вестник Самарского государственного экономического университета. 2012. № 6(92). С. 14-17.
Borodin A. I., Белокрылова О. С.
Research target: Economics and Management
Priority areas: economics
, Oriental Studies 2012 № 1 С. 117-122
In article the system of indicators of an estimation of use of social and economic potential of region, approaches to its forecasting and maintenance of unity of received estimations are considered. ...
Added: December 3, 2012
, Региональная экономика: теория и практика 2012 № 8 С. 33-43
Предложен и раскрыт методический подход к оценке потенциала ипотечного жилищного кредитования региона, базирующийся на расчете интегрального показателя и методе кластеризации, позволяющий оценить и сравнить результаты расчетов ипотечного потенциала российских регионов, а также выработать предложения в области совершенствования действующего механизма ипотечного жилищного кредитования. ...
Added: November 14, 2014
, , Wishful Bias in Predicting US Recessions: Indirect Evidence / Высшая школа экономики. Series EC "Economics". 2016. No. 135.
There is evidence in the economic literature that professional forecasters are unsuccessful in predicting recessions, but the reasons for these failures are still not clear. Meanwhile, this phenomenon has been little studied on the basis of quarterly estimates for various target horizons. We analysed quarterly consensus forecasts of real GDP growth rates and probabilities of ...
Added: May 19, 2016
, , , Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2015 Vol. 95 P. 294-308
The role of China in the world economy is constantly growing. In particular we observe that it plays more and more important role in the support of theworld economic growth (as well as high prices of certain very important commodities). In the meantime the perspectives of the Chinese economy (as well as possible fates of ...
Added: October 25, 2014
, , Демографическое обозрение 2019 Т. 6 № 2 С. 104-141
According to the May Presidential Decree (2018), one of the national goals and strategic objectives of the development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2024 is “ensuring sustainable natural growth in the population of the Russian Federation and increasing life expectancy to 78 years”. Thus, the increased need to monitor the current demographic situation, the study ...
Added: September 2, 2019
, , Вестник Университета (Государственный университет управления) 2013 № 12 С. 39-46
The paper researches restrictive factors in the Russian regional innovation infrastructure development. In the framework of the country’s regional clusters, economic measures able to contribute towards the Russian regions economic growth, are underpinned on the basis of international experience. ...
Added: February 15, 2019
Прогнозирование основных показателей фондового рынка России авторегрессионными моделями с распределенными лагами
, , et al., Аудит и финансовый анализ 2016 № 3 С. 128-133
This work is devoted to the analysis and forecasting of the main indicators of the Russian stock market ‒ the indices of the Russian Trading System and the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange. Autoregressive models with distributed lags describing the behavior of these indices are constructed. On the basis of the proposed models, a retrospective forecasting ...
Added: June 26, 2016
Краткосрочное прогнозирование производства с использованием комплекснозначной модели производственной функции
, , Экономика и предпринимательство 2015 № 4 (ч.1) С. 486-488
Article considers problems of an assessment of efficiency of company’s activity on the basis of complex indicators of production results and resources. Tools of complex-valued economy – the new scientific direction having the theory of functions of complex variables as the basis – are used to modeling of economic dependences. The properties of exponential production ...
Added: June 5, 2015
Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys during the Great Recession: Evidence for Russia
, , , Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys during the Great Recession: Evidence for Russia / KOF Swiss Economic Institute. Series KOF "KOF Working Papers". 2012. No. 306.
This study investigates usefulness of business tendency surveys in industrial sector for out-of-sample prediction of growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time data vintages of the index of industrial production in Russia we conclude that the use ...
Added: April 12, 2013
Концепция/технология совместного планирования, прогнозирования и пополнение запасов (CPFR) как пример интеграции партнеров в цепи поставок
, , Логистика и управление цепями поставок 2007 № 3 С. 64-80
Recently the technology «Mutual planning, forecasting and stock replenishment» is attracting more and more attention of logisticians, marketing and strategic management specialists. The basic idea of CPFR consists of combining efforts of contactors within constructed supply chain for satisfying needs of clients by integrating basic marketing and logistic business processes. The aim of the article ...
Added: December 14, 2012
Метод прогнозирования вероятностей актуализации последствий принятых решений в условиях неопределенности
, Менеджмент в России и за рубежом 2013 № 6 С. 21-29
A new method to predict the probabilities of future events that are consequences of the subject, are presented. The method is based on combining the two types of forecasts – forecasted events using statistical data predictions for previous periods, as well as subjective, using expert estimates, using new information. Shows that an objective forecast is ...
Added: September 2, 2013
, , , Пермь : Пермский государственный университет, 2011
Пособие подготовлено авторами на основе опыта преподавания эконометрики для студентов экономических факультетов ПермГНИУ и НИУ ВШЭ – Пермь. В учебном пособии изложены основные сведения по разделам курса «Эконометрика». Помимо необходимого теоретического материала приведено много примеров практического применения теоретических результатов. Большое количество практических примеров, приложений и статистических таблиц, а также заданий для самостоятельной работы студентов призвано ...
Added: February 5, 2013
, Проблемы управления 2017 № 4 С. 37-44
This research is devoted to the investigation of the changes in the nature of the largest Russian banks policies regarding the control of risks and capital adequacy caused by the implementation of the new international business standards. The dynamic analysis of indicators used by banks internally for the capital adequacy assessment was performed within this ...
Added: November 27, 2017
, Вопросы экономики 2016 № 12 С. 129-146
The article compares the accuracy of point forecasts made with a structural dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE) to those made with vector autoregressions estimated by OLS (VAR) and by Bayesian methods (BVAR).The main question addressed in the article is whether DSGE-based forecasts are as accurate as non-structural model forecasts. The comparison is made on ...
Added: December 9, 2016
, , Regional Science Policy & Practice 2020 Vol. 12 No. 4 P. 657-670
The paper considers how the productivity and innovations of Russian regions are associated with the heterogeneity of the population by ethno-linguistic affiliation, as well as by country and region of origin. The study contributes to the corpus of papers on economic impact of cultural diversity with the focus on Russia and addresses questions what are ...
Added: February 5, 2020
Взаимодействие региональных рынков труда в России: анализ с помощью пространственных эконометрических моделей
, , Пространственная экономика 2016 № 3 С. 57-80
With the help of spatial regression models and classical models of panel data the study identifies and assesses the various factors’ influence on the unemployment rate in Russian regions from 2005 to 2010. Using the spatial autoregressive lag model the authors revealed that the change (increase or decrease) in the level of unemployment in one ...
Added: October 2, 2016
, , , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 473-490
Purpose Dynamic changes in the world bring challenges for making long-term future-oriented policy and strategy. A number of recent developments like drops in oil prices, increasing global conflicts, mass immigration, and economic stagnation have had disruptive effects on long-term policies and strategies. This new fast-changing landscape requires approaches and tools, which may help to practice adaptive ...
Added: September 12, 2017
, , Научно-технические ведомости Санкт-Петербургского государственного политехнического университета. Экономические науки 2013 № 5(180) С. 29-33
In the article the main issues related to the support of innovation at the regional level are described. The prospects of innovation development are also defined. ...
Added: November 18, 2013
Прогнозирование добычи природного газа ПАО «Газпром» и его производственного потенциала в условиях внешнеэкономических ограничений
, Экономика и математические методы 2017 Т. 53 № 4 С. 26-35
This study is devoted to forecasting the Russian Gazprom natural gas production from the Tyumen region's fields and its production potential under in the context of the Russian economy crises and foreign economic restrictions that has been occurred since 2014, including a reduction in external and domestic demand for all Russian natural gas as well ...
Added: August 31, 2017
, Экономика и менеджмент систем управления 2013 № 1.1(7) С. 181-189
Method for estimating the probabilities of future events is developed. It is shown that in the presence of statistical data on the accuracy of past forecasts, the probabilities of future events are eigenvector of matrix for accuracy expert corresponding to its eigenvalue. ...
Added: September 2, 2013
, , Ученые записки Международного банковского института 2018 № 1 (23) С. 7-18
In the article results of research of necessity and preconditions of an estimation of a business reputation of the transport organization on the basis of questioning of workers of transport branch are resulted. Based on the results of the study, the choice of methods for assessing the business reputation of a transport organization is justified. ...
Added: July 3, 2018
, PolitBook 2016 № 4 С. 31-46
The article is devoted to the problems of identification of the political elite and its structure, and peculiarities of institutionalization. This study has experience of case stady - a regional case. The process of elite construction in the Lipetsk region has a number of similar features with elite construction in other constituent entities of the ...
Added: August 20, 2017
Inverse problems in Pareto’s demand theory and their applications to analysis of stock market crises
, , , Journal of Inverse and Ill-posed problems 2016 Vol. 26 No. 1 P. 95-108
We develop an approach to analysis of stock market crises based on the generalized nonparametric method. The generalized nonparametric method is based on solvability and regularization of ill-posed inverse problem in Pareto's demand theory. Our approach allows one to select a few companies that may be considered as the main reason for the crisis. We ...
Added: March 5, 2019
, , Forecasting Russian macroeconomic indicators with BVAR / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2015. No. 105.
This paper evaluates the forecast performance of Bayesian vector autoregressions on Russian data. We estimate BVAR models of different size and compare the accuracy of their out-of-sample forecasts with those obtained with unrestricted VARs and RW with drift. We show that many Russian macroeconomic indicators can be forecast by Bayesian VAR more accurately than by ...
Added: October 23, 2015