Планирование потребности в предметах снабжения на основе методов прогнозирования
For problems of a choice of the best decision at management of purchases by many criteria, the illustration of phenomena of inadequate optimization in a format of traditional methods is given. Necessity of working out of new approaches to optimization is underlined to give the chance to the manager to eliminate such phenomena.
The paper contains empirical estimates of how behavioral factor (an attitude towards risk), rationality and uncertainty influence on investment decisions (capital investment) of Russian companies. The research is guided by the models of Sandmo (1971), Bo and Sterken (2007). We have tested a hypothesis, that risk preferring companies tend to grow investment, while risk averse companies are more likely to decrease the number of investment projects under uncertainty. The following rational variables, explaining investment policy, are included into the model: sales growth, market power, return on equity, debt to equity ratio, current liquidity. Since the time span of the research includes both the crisis period (years 2008, 2009) and the period before the crisis (2004-2007) we have also estimated the time effect on the companies’ investments.
The following estimators have been used to get the results: ordinary least squares; fixed effects model; random effects model; panel data models with binary variables controlling time effects; Hausman-Teylor’s model, generalized method of moments.
Smoking is a problem, bringing signifi cant social and economic costs to Russiansociety. However, ratifi cation of the World health organization Framework conventionon tobacco control makes it possible to improve Russian legislation accordingto the international standards. So, I describe some measures that should be taken bythe Russian authorities in the nearest future, and I examine their effi ciency. By studyingthe international evidence I analyze the impact of the smoke-free areas, advertisementand sponsorship bans, tax increases, etc. on the prevalence of smoking, cigaretteconsumption and some other indicators. I also investigate the obstacles confrontingthe Russian authorities when they introduce new policy measures and the public attitudetowards these measures. I conclude that there is a number of easy-to-implementanti-smoking activities that need no fi nancial resources but only a political will.
One of the most important indicators of company's success is the increase of its value. The article investigates traditional methods of company's value assessment and the evidence that the application of these methods is incorrect in the new stage of economy. So it is necessary to create a new method of valuation based on the new main sources of company's success that is its intellectual capital.